Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $36.5415 (1.45%) ($36.2848 - $37.0846) on Wed. Nov. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.38% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $36.5415(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.19% (StdDev 2.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.29(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.9(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.61(8.72%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 9.82% (three month std-dev: 2.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.14%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.73%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.32%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2016	29.66	33.61	35.9	36.29	36.33	36.35	36.54(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	10	11	93	3.6	54%	0.34	60.4	2.38%	0	0.9	81	INF
2	Nov_29_2016	29.56	33.2	35.77	36.22	36.19	35.99	36.02(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-40	-6	125	2.53	54%	0.34	57.3	2.39%	0	0.8	85	INF
3	Nov_28_2016	29.46	32.85	35.69	36.18	36.22	36.31	35.74(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	20	0	172	3.05	54%	0.37	56.7	2.4%	0	0.8	85	INF
4	Nov_25_2016	29.35	32.51	35.5	36.13	36.16	36.39	36.71(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	70	50	16	231	1.12	57%	0.58	56.2	2.38%	0	1.2	93	INF
5	Nov_23_2016	29.18	32.1	35.17	35.85	35.87	36.13	36.46(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	82	50	18	273	3.53	57%	0.45	55.7	2.36%	0	1.3	92	INF

6	Nov_22_2016	29.05	31.73	34.68	35.44	35.56	35.93	36.15(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	86	80	16	294	2.89	57%	0.24	54.8	2.36%	0	1.4	91	INF
7	Nov_21_2016	28.98	31.36	34.04	35.26	35.14	35.62	35.82(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	90	14	307	3.63	57%	0.38	57.3	2.36%	0	1.5	83	INF
8	Nov_18_2016	28.87	31.02	33.4	35.15	34.92	35.2	35.53(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	97	40	23	320	2.97	57%	0.38	62.4	2.36%	0	1.5	77	INF
9	Nov_17_2016	28.76	30.68	32.6	34.77	34.74	34.67	35.3(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	-20	16	300	3.72	57%	0.38	64.4	2.36%	0	1.7	77	INF
10	Nov_16_2016	28.65	30.34	31.84	34.37	34.3	34.64	34.42(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	84	60	17	283	3.68	55%	0.42	67.5	2.35%	0	1.6	75	INF

11	Nov_15_2016	28.53	30.06	31.15	33.77	33.91	34.8	35.21(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	114	200	62	268	5.12	55%	0.49	66.5	2.33%	0	2.2	76	INF
12	Nov_14_2016	28.39	29.7	30.43	32.61	32.86	33.97	35.3(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	108	260	73	212	8.07	55%	0.42	60.1	2.33%	0	2.7	76	INF
13	Nov_11_2016	28.27	29.31	29.75	31.37	31.46	33.01	33.62(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	99	350	80	157	5.84	51%	0.25	51.4	2.26%	0	2.7	71	INF
14	Nov_10_2016	28.2	29.02	29.22	30.11	30.37	31.74	33.29(5.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	94	340	94	95	11.23	51%	0.28	34.6	2.26%	0	3.3	71	INF
15	Nov_9_2016	28.12	28.73	28.73	28.94	29.03	29.91	31.43(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	48	220	57	20	11.12	45%	0.21	10.2	2.16%	0	3.1	65	INF

16	Nov_8_2016	28.06	28.57	28.47	28.16	28.27	29	29.39(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	18	190	35	-35	3.57	37%	0.14	-22.1	1.99%	0	1.3	52	INF
17	Nov_7_2016	28.02	28.51	28.47	27.94	27.91	28.15	29.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	0	60	17	-50	3.96	37%	0.14	-33.8	1.99%	0	1	56	INF
18	Nov_4_2016	27.98	28.5	28.42	27.91	27.85	27.54	27.31(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-80	-20	-57	2.55	34%	0.07	-29.5	1.91%	0	-2	46	INF
19	Nov_3_2016	27.96	28.57	28.61	28.19	28.24	27.68	27.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-130	-27	-36	2.26	34%	0.11	-19.4	1.91%	0	-2.1	45	INF
20	Nov_2_2016	27.93	28.64	28.76	28.46	28.54	28.16	27.51(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-29	-80	-34	-13	3.19	34%	0.11	0.6	1.93%	0	-2.5	49	INF

21	Nov_1_2016	27.9	28.64	28.93	28.79	28.89	28.8	28.27(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10	-11	22	3.41	37%	0.07	18	1.93%	0	-1.1	49	INF
22	Oct_31_2016	27.88	28.71	28.97	28.96	28.98	28.92	28.99(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10	-4	39	1.87	39%	0.11	23.1	1.9%	0	0.7	61	INF
23	Oct_28_2016	27.85	28.71	28.88	29.02	29.03	28.97	28.71(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10	-7	32	3.49	39%	0.04	25.7	1.9%	0	0.1	46	INF
24	Oct_27_2016	27.84	28.67	28.83	29.09	29.18	29.05	28.82(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	9	-20	-0	35	2.26	39%	0.04	24	1.91%	0	0.4	52	INF
25	Oct_26_2016	27.83	28.64	28.76	29.11	29.1	29.08	29.17(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-6	27	1.67	39%		7.1	1.9%	0	1.2	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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