Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $28.9390 (-0.51%) ($28.7119 - $29.5215) on Thu. Oct. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $28.9390(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.54(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.51(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.57(1.29%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.83%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2016	27.78	28.57	28.51	28.54	28.67	28.99	28.94(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	90	16	8	2.39	39%	0.04	-10.9	1.92%	0	0.8	51	0
2	Oct_19_2016	27.77	28.57	28.49	28.34	28.53	28.74	29.09(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	70	19	4	2.69	39%	0.04	-11.9	1.92%	0	1	59	0
3	Oct_18_2016	27.76	28.57	28.44	28.23	28.25	28.35	28.49(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	30	3	-15	2.29	36%	0.04	-7.9	1.9%	0	-0.2	44	0
4	Oct_17_2016	27.75	28.6	28.41	28.17	28.22	28.33	27.96(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	30	-5	-28	1.87	32%	0	-11	1.89%	0	-1.4	45	0
5	Oct_14_2016	27.75	28.63	28.45	28.39	28.31	28.15	28.21(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-50	-5	-17	3.73	32%	0	-10.7	1.89%	0	-0.9	50	0

6	Oct_13_2016	27.75	28.62	28.5	28.48	28.47	28.12	27.97(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-90	-18	-22	3.82	32%	0	-14	1.91%	0	-1.4	41	0
7	Oct_12_2016	27.75	28.66	28.52	28.64	28.69	28.47	28.53(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-50	-11	-26	1.85	40%	0.04	-24.8	1.89%	0	-0.3	41	0
8	Oct_11_2016	27.74	28.64	28.59	28.64	28.74	28.81	28.18(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	20	-3	-20	3.41	40%	0.11	-49.7	1.93%	0	-1	44	0
9	Oct_10_2016	27.71	28.65	28.65	28.68	28.78	28.92	29.07(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	40	16	-10	1.76	44%	0.07	-63.7	1.9%	0	0.8	55	0
10	Oct_7_2016	27.69	28.68	28.58	28.51	28.57	28.67	28.67(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	30	1	-26	2.89	52%	0.11	-83.7	1.99%	0	-0	53	0

11	Oct_6_2016	27.66	28.69	28.64	28.53	28.49	28.64	28.76(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	30	9	-9	1.79	52%	0.11	-72.6	1.99%	0	0.1	57	0
12	Oct_5_2016	27.63	28.78	28.72	28.39	28.5	28.47	28.7(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	0	-1	-12	2.76	47%	0.11	-65.5	1.99%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	Oct_4_2016	27.6	28.87	28.77	28.5	28.49	28.34	28.21(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-40	-11	1	4.07	47%	0.11	-54.8	2.04%	0	-0.8	53	0
14	Oct_3_2016	27.57	28.99	28.8	28.61	28.66	28.53	28.2(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-30	-4	11	2.35	47%	0.11	-47.6	2.05%	0	-0.9	51	0
15	Sep_30_2016	27.54	29.12	28.83	28.65	28.69	28.64	28.78(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-10	-8	0	3.63	52%	0.07	-36.5	2.04%	0	-0.4	44	0

16	Sep_29_2016	27.52	29.19	28.76	28.76	28.68	28.8	28.06(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	20	-13	-4	4.84	56%	0.07	-27.1	2.07%	0	-1.2	47	0
17	Sep_28_2016	27.5	29.31	28.83	29.09	28.89	28.74	29.25(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-60	2	2	2.66	66%	0.07	-10.3	2.13%	0	-0.1	42	0
18	Sep_27_2016	27.48	29.37	28.71	29.08	29.07	28.56	28.74(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-120	-10	-26	2.57	57%	0.11	-4.1	2.29%	0	-0.6	39	0
19	Sep_26_2016	27.45	29.42	28.67	29.08	29.17	29.04	28.43(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-20	-11	-45	2.61	57%	0.07	-1.5	2.52%	0	-1	38	0
20	Sep_23_2016	27.43	29.46	28.8	29.02	29.19	29.57	29.32(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	110	13	-34	2.02	52%	0.15	0	3.1%	0	-0.1	41	0

21	Sep_22_2016	27.39	29.45	28.75	28.75	28.94	29.3	29.73(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	110	17	-50	3.54	52%	0.15	-7.3	3.17%	0	0.3	47	0
22	Sep_21_2016	27.35	29.45	28.81	28.53	28.54	28.8	29.2(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	60	10	-61	5.46	52%	0.11	-13.8	3.17%	0	-0.2	42	0
23	Sep_20_2016	27.32	29.41	28.96	28.31	28.4	28.58	28.45(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	50	6	-69	1.8	52%	0.04	-18.6	3.15%	0	-1	38	0
24	Sep_19_2016	27.31	29.44	29.17	28.28	28.3	28.28	28.43(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-0	-5	-71	2.46	52%	0.07	-20.6	3.16%	0	-1.1	43	0
25	Sep_16_2016	27.29	29.46	29.4	28.56	28.33	28.21	27.94(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-50	-8	-54	2.49	52%		-12.1	3.16%	0	-1.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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