Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $28.6230 (-1.93%) ($28.4947 - $29.2451) on Wed. Aug. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $28.6230(-1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.73(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.28(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.02(2.15%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   34.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.22%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.47%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2016	26.21	28.02	28.28	28.73	28.96	29.03	28.62(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	40	4	32	2.1	54%	0.19	119.6	3.25%	0	1	61	INF
2	Aug_9_2016	26.16	27.93	28.21	28.56	28.67	29.16	29.19(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	130	17	31	2.21	54%	0.15	127.9	3.27%	0	2	62	INF
3	Aug_8_2016	26.12	27.81	28.08	28.15	28.22	28.9	29.07(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	21	180	21	19	3.19	54%	0.19	121.6	3.27%	0	1.9	63	INF
4	Aug_5_2016	26.07	27.66	27.95	27.9	27.77	28.18	29.07(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	90	16	10	4.36	54%	0.19	106.1	3.27%	0	1.8	64	INF
5	Aug_4_2016	26.02	27.48	27.95	27.69	27.6	27.53	27.69(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	0	-30	-0	1	1.37	51%	0.15	80.2	3.22%	0	0.2	57	INF

6	Aug_3_2016	25.98	27.32	27.83	27.78	27.69	27.37	27.77(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-90	-6	3	1.92	49%	0.19	69	3.23%	0	0.4	55	INF
7	Aug_2_2016	25.93	27.15	27.84	27.8	27.82	27.68	27.12(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-10	8	2.65	49%	0.15	66.2	3.25%	0	-0	57	INF
8	Aug_1_2016	25.89	27.01	27.91	27.98	27.95	28	27.84(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	10	0	25	2.5	49%	0.15	79.1	3.25%	0	0.6	68	INF
9	Jul_29_2016	25.85	26.87	27.89	27.99	27.93	27.97	28.01(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	0	1	36	2.18	49%	0.27	83.5	3.27%	0	0.8	78	INF
10	Jul_28_2016	25.78	26.72	27.82	28	27.9	27.9	28.16(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	15	-10	3	50	2.59	49%	0.23	77.2	3.28%	0	1	83	INF

11	Jul_27_2016	25.72	26.53	27.75	27.88	27.88	27.9	27.87(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	0	0	66	3.31	49%	0.23	69.2	3.3%	0	0.9	87	INF
12	Jul_26_2016	25.66	26.28	27.66	27.89	27.85	27.89	28.01(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	10	2	86	2.79	49%	0.2	55.1	3.31%	0	1	89	INF
13	Jul_25_2016	25.61	25.96	27.54	27.83	27.84	27.88	27.87(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	10	3	105	1.95	49%	0.2	36.9	3.31%	0	1	89	INF
14	Jul_22_2016	25.56	25.72	27.35	27.77	27.74	27.88	28.07(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	10	4	113	2.09	49%	0.2	31.5	3.31%	0	1.2	76	INF
15	Jul_21_2016	25.51	25.65	27.1	27.62	27.64	27.8	27.59(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	40	3	112	2.57	49%	0.2	35.5	3.31%	0	1	70	INF

16	Jul_20_2016	25.46	25.53	26.78	27.6	27.58	27.67	27.91(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	20	8	117	2.28	49%	0.24	38.3	3.33%	0	1.3	78	INF
17	Jul_19_2016	25.4	25.4	26.41	27.38	27.56	27.48	27.72(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-0	5	120	1.96	49%	0.32	39	3.34%	0	1.3	83	INF
18	Jul_18_2016	25.32	25.27	26.04	27.2	27.38	27.49	27.55(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	50	7	136	2.08	49%	0.32	37.2	3.35%	0	1.4	86	INF
19	Jul_15_2016	25.24	25.12	25.77	26.87	27.17	27.64	27.32(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	150	18	143	3.29	49%	0.28	29.1	3.36%	0	1.4	69	INF
20	Jul_14_2016	25.17	24.99	25.54	26.49	26.76	27.27	27.48(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	160	29	122	4.24	49%	0.32	16.7	3.36%	0	1.7	51	INF

21	Jul_13_2016	25.09	24.85	25.2	25.84	26.12	26.69	26.85(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	190	25	86	2.87	53%	0.28	-5.4	3.35%	0	1.4	54	INF
22	Jul_12_2016	25.02	24.73	24.79	25.29	25.5	26.25	26.8(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	230	30	47	3.81	53%	0.28	-27	3.43%	0	1.6	54	INF
23	Jul_11_2016	24.95	24.66	24.24	24.73	24.78	25.56	25.9(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	230	21	-5	3.9	51%	0.24	-48.9	3.44%	0	1	53	INF
24	Jul_8_2016	24.89	24.67	23.95	24.52	24.33	24.74	25.45(5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	90	13	-29	5.62	51%	0.24	-56.4	3.43%	0	0.6	53	INF
25	Jul_7_2016	24.83	24.75	24.06	24.45	24.26	24.01	24.19(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-100	0	-25	3.75	45%		-56.5	3.38%	0	-0.4	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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