Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $24.8613 (-1.1%) ($24.7441 - $25.3352) on Fri. Jul. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.44% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $24.8613(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.72% (StdDev 3.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.4(-54.15%)
Resistance Level   $25.28
5 Day Moving Average   $23.63(5.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.43(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.28(-1.66%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 6.8% (three month std-dev: 3.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.71%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.76%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.88%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.2%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.35%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2016	24.67	25.28	24.43	23.63	23.94	24.83	24.86(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	300	25	-41	3.73	47%	0.37	-61.6	3.44%	0	-0.2	48	0
2	Jun_30_2016	24.58	25.4	24.42	23.28	23.14	24.2	25.14(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	300	10	-70	6.7	47%	0.29	-63.9	3.43%	0	-0.1	46	0
3	Jun_29_2016	24.51	25.55	24.4	23.65	22.83	23.05	24.21(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-40	2	-76	8.61	45%	0.29	-56	3.4%	0	-0.7	39	0
4	Jun_28_2016	24.44	25.75	24.46	23.9	23.56	22.08	22.74(7.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-480	-30	-102	7.69	40%	0.21	-50.7	3.31%	0	-1.6	31	0
5	Jun_27_2016	24.39	26.02	24.68	24.48	24.37	22.6	21.22(-8.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-80	-520	-68	-117	8.15	34%	0.04	-41.4	3.19%	0	-2.6	23	0

6	Jun_24_2016	24.38	26.38	25.16	25.3	25.33	25.05	23.08(-14.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-46	-70	-32	-88	10.56	38%	0.12	-31.1	3.05%	0	-2.2	27	0
7	Jun_23_2016	24.35	26.63	25.16	25.65	25.89	26.14	26.99(5.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	100	29	-74	4.48	50%	0.29	-22.6	2.46%	0	0.3	44	0
8	Jun_22_2016	24.28	26.67	25.51	25.25	25.47	25.6	25.48(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	60	7	-117	3.01	43%	0.21	-25.1	2.37%	0	-0.9	25	0
9	Jun_21_2016	24.23	26.77	25.73	25.12	25.2	25.65	25.61(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	130	13	-125	2.63	43%	0.21	-21.7	2.37%	0	-0.9	28	0
10	Jun_20_2016	24.18	26.8	25.92	24.96	25.08	25.34	25.31(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	90	12	-138	4.2	43%	0.12	-24.5	2.37%	0	-1.2	28	0

11	Jun_17_2016	24.15	26.86	26.17	25.04	24.92	24.76	24.83(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-60	-15	-149	3.41	43%	0.21	-21.3	2.37%	0	-1.6	22	0
12	Jun_16_2016	24.1	26.92	26.44	25.35	25.19	24.81	25.01(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-120	-27	-140	4.88	43%	0.21	-17.6	2.41%	0	-1.6	30	0
13	Jun_15_2016	24.05	27.01	26.78	25.82	25.66	25.09	24.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-58	-170	-37	-119	4.52	43%	0.21	-6.6	2.41%	0	-2	26	0
14	Jun_14_2016	24	27.05	27.13	26.44	26.23	25.58	24.83(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-50	-200	-39	-84	5.8	43%	0.21	1.8	2.41%	0	-2.1	35	0
15	Jun_13_2016	23.95	27.12	27.47	27.01	26.91	26.23	25.67(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-190	-33	-40	4.3	46%	0.25	17.3	2.38%	0	-1.5	51	0

16	Jun_10_2016	23.89	27.13	27.73	27.45	27.37	26.89	26.38(-3.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-18	-130	-24	1	4.6	58%	0.29	26.8	2.51%	0	-0.8	56	0
17	Jun_9_2016	23.82	27.14	27.88	27.67	27.71	27.58	27.37(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-30	-11	33	3.48	63%	0.29	35.8	2.47%	0	0.2	67	0
18	Jun_8_2016	23.75	27.08	27.95	27.88	27.69	27.85	27.93(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	20	-2	62	2.65	56%	0.34	43.8	2.45%	0	0.8	63	0
19	Jun_7_2016	23.67	27.03	27.9	27.94	27.77	27.83	27.7(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-0	5	84	2.13	56%	0.17	50.8	2.53%	0	0.7	69	0
20	Jun_6_2016	23.63	26.95	27.76	28	27.75	27.52	27.86(1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-80	-7	88	2.91	56%	0.3	48.2	2.53%	0	0.9	64	0

21	Jun_3_2016	23.56	26.87	27.61	28.07	27.87	27.71	27.48(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-60	-8	99	5.12	56%	0.21	50	2.53%	0	0.6	65	0
22	Jun_2_2016	23.51	26.78	27.45	28.1	28.04	27.98	28.44(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-20	2	105	2.55	61%	0.3	45.1	2.49%	0	1.6	63	0
23	Jun_1_2016	23.44	26.64	27.25	28.02	28	28.02	28.23(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	0	3	105	3.27	68%	0.21	36.4	2.5%	0	1.7	63	0
24	May_31_2016	23.39	26.53	26.96	27.85	28.05	28.1	28.02(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	17	88	4.54	61%	0.21	27.4	2.53%	0	1.7	54	0
25	May_27_2016	23.34	26.48	26.74	27.47	27.74	27.98	28.18(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	90	15	62	2.79	68%		17.5	2.81%	0	2.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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