Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $25.6116 (1.21%) ($25.2858 - $25.7894) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $25.6116(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.19(-36.79%)
Resistance Level   $26.77
5 Day Moving Average   $25.12(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.73(-0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.77(-4.33%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.89% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.52%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.64%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2016	24.23	26.77	25.73	25.12	25.2	25.65	25.61(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	130	13	-125	2.63	43%	0.21	-21.7	2.37%	0	-0.9	28	INF
2	Jun_20_2016	24.18	26.8	25.92	24.96	25.08	25.34	25.31(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	90	12	-138	4.2	43%	0.12	-24.5	2.37%	0	-1.2	28	INF
3	Jun_17_2016	24.15	26.86	26.17	25.04	24.92	24.76	24.83(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-60	-15	-149	3.41	43%	0.21	-21.3	2.37%	0	-1.6	22	INF
4	Jun_16_2016	24.1	26.92	26.44	25.35	25.19	24.81	25.01(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-120	-27	-140	4.88	43%	0.21	-17.6	2.41%	0	-1.6	30	INF
5	Jun_15_2016	24.05	27.01	26.78	25.82	25.66	25.09	24.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-58	-170	-37	-119	4.52	43%	0.21	-6.6	2.41%	0	-2	26	INF

6	Jun_14_2016	24	27.05	27.13	26.44	26.23	25.58	24.83(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-50	-200	-39	-84	5.8	43%	0.21	1.8	2.41%	0	-2.1	35	INF
7	Jun_13_2016	23.95	27.12	27.47	27.01	26.91	26.23	25.67(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-190	-33	-40	4.3	46%	0.25	17.3	2.38%	0	-1.5	51	INF
8	Jun_10_2016	23.89	27.13	27.73	27.45	27.37	26.89	26.38(-3.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-18	-130	-24	1	4.6	58%	0.29	26.8	2.51%	0	-0.8	56	INF
9	Jun_9_2016	23.82	27.14	27.88	27.67	27.71	27.58	27.37(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-30	-11	33	3.48	63%	0.29	35.8	2.47%	0	0.2	67	INF
10	Jun_8_2016	23.75	27.08	27.95	27.88	27.69	27.85	27.93(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	20	-2	62	2.65	56%	0.34	43.8	2.45%	0	0.8	63	INF

11	Jun_7_2016	23.67	27.03	27.9	27.94	27.77	27.83	27.7(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-0	5	84	2.13	56%	0.17	50.8	2.53%	0	0.7	69	INF
12	Jun_6_2016	23.63	26.95	27.76	28	27.75	27.52	27.86(1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-80	-7	88	2.91	56%	0.3	48.2	2.53%	0	0.9	64	INF
13	Jun_3_2016	23.56	26.87	27.61	28.07	27.87	27.71	27.48(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-60	-8	99	5.12	56%	0.21	50	2.53%	0	0.6	65	INF
14	Jun_2_2016	23.51	26.78	27.45	28.1	28.04	27.98	28.44(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-20	2	105	2.55	61%	0.3	45.1	2.49%	0	1.6	63	INF
15	Jun_1_2016	23.44	26.64	27.25	28.02	28	28.02	28.23(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	0	3	105	3.27	68%	0.21	36.4	2.5%	0	1.7	63	INF

16	May_31_2016	23.39	26.53	26.96	27.85	28.05	28.1	28.02(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	17	88	4.54	61%	0.21	27.4	2.53%	0	1.7	54	INF
17	May_27_2016	23.34	26.48	26.74	27.47	27.74	27.98	28.18(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	90	15	62	2.79	68%	0.21	17.5	2.81%	0	2.1	61	INF
18	May_26_2016	23.29	26.38	26.46	27.08	27.29	27.99	27.66(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	200	23	43	4.44	68%	0.04	-1.5	2.83%	0	1.8	59	INF
19	May_25_2016	23.28	26.33	26.32	26.7	26.85	27.51	28.01(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	190	31	34	4.65	68%	0.04	-15.2	2.82%	0	2.4	63	INF
20	May_24_2016	23.27	26.33	26.12	26.38	26.31	26.58	27.36(4.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	60	21	19	4.55	68%	0	-28.3	2.85%	0	1.6	60	INF

21	May_23_2016	23.27	26.3	26.07	25.96	26.01	26.2	26.16(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	60	6	1	2.01	60%	0.13	-42.1	2.81%	0	-0.2	50	INF
22	May_20_2016	23.24	26.34	26.06	25.9	25.86	26.04	26.2(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	40	9	-9	3.28	60%	-0.13	-37.2	2.9%	0	-0.2	43	INF
23	May_19_2016	23.27	26.39	26.05	25.75	25.73	25.83	25.74(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	20	-1	-21	5.1	60%	-0.13	-32.9	2.92%	0	-1	47	INF
24	May_18_2016	23.3	26.44	26.06	25.87	25.75	25.67	26.41(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-40	0	-24	6.8	60%	-0.17	-22.6	2.89%	0	-0	47	INF
25	May_17_2016	23.34	26.49	25.99	25.83	25.89	25.64	25.29(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-60	-16	-47	3.72	56%		-12.1	2.86%	0	-1.7	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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