Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $27.5172 (1.49%) ($27.1025 - $27.6456) on Tue. Apr. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.71% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $27.5172(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    IBUY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.855% (StdDev 3.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.21(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.66(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.39(8.38%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   68.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5.79% (three month std-dev: 3.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.1%(75%) Average negative next day return: -4.23%(25%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.86%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.2%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.09%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2016	23.67	25.39	26.66	27.21	27.13	27.18	27.52(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	5	119	2.91	56%	-0.17	60.1	3.71%	0	1.4	70	0
2	Apr_25_2016	23.71	25.21	26.34	27.09	27.09	26.99	27.11(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-30	3	120	2.64	53%	-0.21	59.2	3.76%	0	1.3	71	0
3	Apr_22_2016	23.76	25.04	25.98	26.9	27.01	27.07	27.29(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	7	107	3.73	55%	-0.08	54.1	3.85%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Apr_21_2016	23.78	24.84	25.58	26.57	26.7	27.2	26.69(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	150	9	87	4.31	55%	-0.21	48	3.9%	0	1.4	58	0
5	Apr_20_2016	23.83	24.7	25.2	26.39	26.36	26.95	27.46(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	150	20	78	4.36	52%	-0.17	49.6	3.88%	0	2.2	65	0

6	Apr_19_2016	23.87	24.54	24.86	26.03	25.96	26.21	26.9(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	60	19	63	4.19	52%	-0.21	54.2	3.95%	0	2.2	62	0
7	Apr_18_2016	23.92	24.41	24.52	25.49	25.61	25.76	26.17(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	60	16	41	3.97	52%	-0.21	52.8	3.94%	0	2	62	0
8	Apr_15_2016	23.97	24.32	24.35	24.91	25.11	25.72	25.63(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	190	18	28	3.83	50%	0.04	45.9	3.96%	0	1.6	62	0
9	Apr_14_2016	23.96	24.24	24.27	24.41	24.55	25.46	25.8(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	280	28	23	4.97	50%	-0.21	44.3	4.06%	0	2.1	65	0
10	Apr_13_2016	24.01	24.11	24.11	23.83	23.96	24.51	25.65(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	17	180	21	3	6.84	47%	-0.25	32.6	4.07%	0	2.3	60	0

11	Apr_12_2016	24.07	23.98	23.98	23.53	23.45	23.64	24.17(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	50	4	-13	4.92	44%	-0.29	33.2	4.13%	0	0.3	48	0
12	Apr_11_2016	24.14	23.94	23.97	23.44	23.48	23.41	23.3(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-20	-4	-22	4.49	44%	-0.37	30.1	4.11%	0	-1	41	0
13	Apr_8_2016	24.23	23.96	24.02	23.71	23.57	23.26	23.15(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-110	-14	-23	4.65	42%	-0.37	47.5	4.11%	0	-1.3	39	0
14	Apr_7_2016	24.32	23.91	24.08	24.09	23.95	23.55	22.86(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-13	-130	-13	-13	4.59	40%	-0.37	49.5	4.15%	0	-1.4	43	0
15	Apr_6_2016	24.41	23.89	24.2	24.41	24.27	23.88	24.17(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-130	-8	3	3.35	40%	-0.25	53.7	4.22%	0	0.3	59	0

16	Apr_5_2016	24.47	23.78	24.23	24.48	24.42	24.35	23.7(-3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-30	-7	13	4.21	40%	-0.24	50.7	4.25%	0	-0.1	57	0
17	Apr_4_2016	24.53	23.75	24.32	24.57	24.6	24.66	24.66(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	8	29	2.91	38%	-0.2	69	4.22%	0	1	65	0
18	Apr_1_2016	24.58	23.67	24.31	24.38	24.32	24.49	25.06(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	40	7	28	4.5	38%	-0.16	78.7	4.28%	0	1.5	65	0
19	Mar_31_2016	24.62	23.56	24.21	24.07	24.13	24.54	24.46(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	130	8	30	3.19	38%	-0.28	87.8	4.3%	0	1.1	74	0
20	Mar_30_2016	24.69	23.46	24.1	23.97	23.85	24.16	24.55(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	80	6	34	3.57	38%	-0.32	101.1	4.31%	0	1.3	74	0

21	Mar_29_2016	24.77	23.33	23.97	23.95	23.74	23.71	24.13(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-40	-1	38	3.8	40%	-0.28	114.7	4.31%	0	0.9	73	0
22	Mar_28_2016	24.84	23.13	23.89	24.05	23.89	23.53	23.72(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-130	-8	41	3.08	40%	-0.6	90.5	4.33%	0	0.5	57	0
23	Mar_24_2016	24.99	22.99	23.88	24.24	24.12	23.76	23.5(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-120	-10	51	3.75	40%	-0.28	84.8	4.32%	0	0.4	54	0
24	Mar_23_2016	25.06	22.83	23.75	24.36	24.44	24.25	23.96(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-40	1	56	2.98	41%	-0.32	81.3	4.32%	0	0.8	60	0
25	Mar_22_2016	25.14	22.62	23.57	24.22	24.29	24.48	24.47(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	60	5	52	3.45	41%		73.3	4.34%	0	1.2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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