Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $24.5453 (1.72%) ($24.4071 - $24.9797) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.31% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $24.5453(1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -2.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-18%)    SPLV(-11%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.155% (StdDev 4.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.97(2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.1(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.46(4.63%)
To recent high   -16.8%
To recent low   49.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 4.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.38%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 8.29%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2016	24.69	23.46	24.1	23.97	23.85	24.16	24.55(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	80	6	34	3.57	38%	-0.32	101.1	4.31%	0	1.3	74	INF
2	Mar_29_2016	24.77	23.33	23.97	23.95	23.74	23.71	24.13(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-40	-1	38	3.8	40%	-0.28	114.7	4.31%	0	0.9	73	INF
3	Mar_28_2016	24.84	23.13	23.89	24.05	23.89	23.53	23.72(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-130	-8	41	3.08	40%	-0.6	90.5	4.33%	0	0.5	57	INF
4	Mar_24_2016	24.99	22.99	23.88	24.24	24.12	23.76	23.5(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-120	-10	51	3.75	40%	-0.28	84.8	4.32%	0	0.4	54	INF
5	Mar_23_2016	25.06	22.83	23.75	24.36	24.44	24.25	23.96(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-40	1	56	2.98	41%	-0.32	81.3	4.32%	0	0.8	60	INF

6	Mar_22_2016	25.14	22.62	23.57	24.22	24.29	24.48	24.47(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	60	5	52	3.45	41%	-0.28	73.3	4.34%	0	1.2	67	INF
7	Mar_21_2016	25.21	22.37	23.32	23.97	23.99	24.63	24.58(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	190	14	47	3.28	41%	-0.2	71.4	4.36%	0	1.4	72	INF
8	Mar_18_2016	25.26	22.16	23.15	23.71	23.59	24.11	24.67(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	140	15	57	5.02	39%	-0.28	74.5	4.37%	0	1.6	81	INF
9	Mar_17_2016	25.33	21.91	22.97	23.49	23.26	23.36	24.1(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	0	12	64	5.4	38%	-0.28	83.5	4.45%	0	1.4	73	INF
10	Mar_16_2016	25.4	21.68	22.84	23.06	23.12	23.08	23.27(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-0	6	63	4.59	40%	-0.27	84.3	4.45%	0	1.1	72	INF

11	Mar_15_2016	25.47	21.5	22.75	22.81	22.86	23.16	23.2(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	100	7	73	3.61	42%	-0.27	85	4.49%	0	1.1	75	INF
12	Mar_14_2016	25.54	21.3	22.63	22.55	22.62	23.17	23.3(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	180	10	80	4.13	42%	-0.27	85.7	4.57%	0	1.3	75	INF
13	Mar_11_2016	25.61	21.05	22.31	22.49	22.36	22.56	23.59(7.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	50	7	77	6.01	41%	-0.23	77.6	4.56%	0	1.6	67	INF
14	Mar_10_2016	25.67	20.69	22.01	22.4	22.32	22.08	21.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-90	-6	77	7.11	38%	-0.23	56.8	4.53%	0	0.7	66	INF
15	Mar_9_2016	25.73	20.49	21.86	22.58	22.59	22.16	22.01(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-130	-7	91	4.41	38%	-0.27	52	4.53%	0	0.8	67	INF

16	Mar_8_2016	25.8	20.29	21.62	22.67	22.72	22.56	21.92(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-40	-5	96	5.33	37%	-0.23	46.9	4.54%	0	0.9	64	INF
17	Mar_7_2016	25.86	20.09	21.39	22.68	22.69	23.01	23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	100	16	111	5.59	38%	-0.23	38	4.52%	0	1.6	74	INF
18	Mar_4_2016	25.92	19.9	21.13	22.07	22.27	22.88	23.11(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	220	21	107	6.43	40%	-0.19	24.9	4.53%	0	1.8	78	INF
19	Mar_3_2016	25.97	19.75	20.77	21.56	21.56	22.37	22.88(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	44	260	22	109	4.85	39%	-0.12	20	4.63%	0	2	83	INF
20	Mar_2_2016	26	19.59	20.41	21.04	21.07	21.66	22.46(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	200	26	105	6.09	39%	-0.19	12.6	4.65%	0	2.1	70	INF

21	Mar_1_2016	26.05	19.45	20.13	20.43	20.51	20.76	21.97(10.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	100	17	93	7.16	40%	-0.23	-0.8	4.66%	0	2	69	INF
22	Feb_29_2016	26.11	19.4	19.83	19.93	19.95	20.48	19.92(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	190	1	81	4.02	36%	-0.27	-4.2	4.44%	0	0.4	62	INF
23	Feb_26_2016	26.18	19.48	19.67	20.04	19.83	20.26	20.55(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	120	14	84	5.33	36%	-0.27	1.9	4.43%	0	0.8	54	INF
24	Feb_25_2016	26.25	19.44	19.27	19.85	19.77	19.43	20.28(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-130	5	47	4.34	36%	-0.3	-0.6	4.46%	0	0.7	48	INF
25	Feb_24_2016	26.33	19.42	19.02	19.7	19.65	19.39	19.44(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-100	-11	20	6.94	36%		-2.9	4.41%	0	0	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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