Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $23.1137 (1.04%) ($22.6694 - $23.4494) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.53% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $23.1137(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SDY(89%)    IWN(88%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -2.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    GLD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.265% (StdDev 4.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.07(4.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.13(9.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.9(16.15%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   41.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 8.74% (three month std-dev: 4.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 10.33%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.64%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 17.93%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.61%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	25.92	19.9	21.13	22.07	22.27	22.88	23.11(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	220	21	107	6.43	40%	-0.19	24.9	4.53%	0	1.8	78	INF
2	Mar_3_2016	25.97	19.75	20.77	21.56	21.56	22.37	22.88(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	44	260	22	109	4.85	39%	-0.12	20	4.63%	0	2	83	INF
3	Mar_2_2016	26	19.59	20.41	21.04	21.07	21.66	22.46(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	200	26	105	6.09	39%	-0.19	12.6	4.65%	0	2.1	70	INF
4	Mar_1_2016	26.05	19.45	20.13	20.43	20.51	20.76	21.97(10.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	100	17	93	7.16	40%	-0.23	-0.8	4.66%	0	2	69	INF
5	Feb_29_2016	26.11	19.4	19.83	19.93	19.95	20.48	19.92(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	190	1	81	4.02	36%	-0.27	-4.2	4.44%	0	0.4	62	INF

6	Feb_26_2016	26.18	19.48	19.67	20.04	19.83	20.26	20.55(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	120	14	84	5.33	36%	-0.27	1.9	4.43%	0	0.8	54	INF
7	Feb_25_2016	26.25	19.44	19.27	19.85	19.77	19.43	20.28(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-130	5	47	4.34	36%	-0.3	-0.6	4.46%	0	0.7	48	INF
8	Feb_24_2016	26.33	19.42	19.02	19.7	19.65	19.39	19.44(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-100	-11	20	6.94	36%	-0.27	-2.9	4.41%	0	0	47	INF
9	Feb_23_2016	26.4	19.42	18.86	19.77	19.83	20.1	19.47(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	100	4	15	5.06	36%	-0.26	-2.6	4.41%	0	0	48	INF
10	Feb_22_2016	26.47	19.46	18.71	19.7	19.81	19.91	20.44(4.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	12	50	18	-6	4.09	37%	-0.19	-9.5	4.38%	0	0.8	44	INF

11	Feb_19_2016	26.52	19.46	18.59	19.23	19.44	19.55	19.63(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	70	17	-40	4.34	37%	-0.23	-25.1	4.34%	0	0.1	40	INF
12	Feb_18_2016	26.58	19.46	18.65	18.58	19	19.7	19.5(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	330	19	-61	5.14	39%	-0.19	-46.1	4.34%	0	0	49	INF
13	Feb_17_2016	26.63	19.45	18.69	18.23	18.17	19.33	19.82(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	440	25	-71	5.77	39%	-0.19	-66	4.4%	0	0.3	50	INF
14	Feb_16_2016	26.68	19.49	18.68	17.83	17.78	18.3	19.1(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	200	23	-91	6.46	39%	-0.11	-80.8	4.37%	0	-0.3	45	INF
15	Feb_12_2016	26.71	19.58	18.9	17.61	17.44	17.01	18.12(10.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-34	-200	-11	-102	6.43	36%	-0.26	-90	4.3%	0	-1.1	47	INF

16	Feb_11_2016	26.78	19.79	19.24	17.89	17.59	17.26	16.37(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-180	-36	-100	14.14	32%	-0.33	-85.6	4.08%	0	-2.4	33	INF
17	Feb_10_2016	26.87	20.06	19.63	18.73	18.51	17.88	17.74(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-270	-17	-60	13.07	33%	-0.3	-97.7	3.98%	0	-1.9	45	INF
18	Feb_9_2016	26.95	20.35	19.87	19.2	19.03	17.92	17.81(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-430	-31	-45	5.1	33%	-0.33	-94.6	3.99%	0	-1.9	44	INF
19	Feb_8_2016	27.04	20.62	20.15	19.64	19.59	19.14	17.99(-8.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-170	-34	-31	14.16	33%	-0.26	-99.8	4%	0	-2	40	INF
20	Feb_5_2016	27.11	20.87	20.32	20.36	20.12	20.14	19.56(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-30	-12	-3	7.2	35%	-0.26	-109.8	3.91%	0	-1	45	INF

21	Feb_4_2016	27.18	21.09	20.44	20.79	20.48	20.03	20.53(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-200	1	9	8.62	36%	-0.29	-107.5	3.88%	0	-0.4	42	INF
22	Feb_3_2016	27.26	21.35	20.34	20.67	20.66	20.09	20.11(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-190	-11	-16	15.09	36%	-0.26	-96.3	3.87%	0	-0.7	44	INF
23	Feb_2_2016	27.33	21.69	20.3	20.64	20.76	20.92	20.01(-7.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	70	-6	-41	6.31	36%	-0.22	-83.1	3.87%	0	-0.8	37	INF
24	Feb_1_2016	27.39	22.03	20.38	20.72	20.73	21.23	21.57(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	170	22	-44	4.53	38%	-0.15	-78.7	3.81%	0	-0.2	43	INF
25	Jan_29_2016	27.43	22.35	20.29	20.28	20.37	20.6	21.71(8.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	90	13	-80	6.86	38%		-83	3.83%	0	-0.3	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.