Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $29.1167 (-4.1%) ($29.0772 - $30.6767) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $29.1167(-4.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-9%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.22(-30.56%)
Resistance Level   $30.21
5 Day Moving Average   $28.61(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.33(-0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.21(-3.62%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.63% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.58%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 8.66%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.18%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2015	29.19	30.21	29.33	28.61	28.92	29.91	29.12(-4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	270	15	-68	6.36	54%	-0.17	-27.9	3.25%	0	-0.8	43	INF
2	Dec_16_2015	29.24	30.32	29.37	28.59	28.33	29.3	30.36(4.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	210	29	-73	8.84	57%	-0.1	-28.2	3.23%	0	0	48	INF
3	Dec_15_2015	29.27	30.3	29.42	28.31	28.13	27.93	29.09(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-70	3	-95	5.41	57%	-0.14	-38.1	3.19%	0	-0.9	43	INF
4	Dec_14_2015	29.31	30.35	29.7	28.48	28.32	27.36	27.32(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-250	-39	-105	7.03	53%	-0.2	-38.8	3.13%	0	-2.2	34	INF
5	Dec_11_2015	29.37	30.45	30.1	29.22	29.04	28.33	27.16(-6.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-54	-190	-43	-85	8.68	53%	-0.24	-37.9	3.13%	0	-2.7	32	INF

6	Dec_10_2015	29.44	30.6	30.55	30.13	29.95	29.27	29(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-180	-15	-45	3.6	58%	-0.2	-29.6	3.03%	0	-1.6	39	INF
7	Dec_9_2015	29.5	30.72	30.78	30.25	30.38	29.76	28.97(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-130	-26	-47	7.02	58%	-0.2	-27.1	3.03%	0	-1.9	40	INF
8	Dec_8_2015	29.56	30.84	31.01	30.67	30.64	30.63	29.96(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10	-19	-23	4.67	64%	-0.17	-14.7	3.04%	0	-1	54	INF
9	Dec_7_2015	29.61	30.89	31.15	31.11	31.02	31	30.98(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10	4	9	4.13	67%	-0.1	-1.1	3.12%	0	0.1	58	INF
10	Dec_4_2015	29.64	30.93	31.21	31.14	31.17	30.65	31.73(7.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	1	-110	-6	22	6.63	62%	-0.1	10.7	3.13%	0	1	67	INF

11	Dec_3_2015	29.67	30.9	31.16	31.08	31.3	31.03	29.59(-4.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-8	-40	-19	25	5.33	58%	-0.13	10.6	3.09%	0	-1.6	53	INF
12	Dec_2_2015	29.71	30.97	31.35	31.08	31.5	31.69	31.06(-3.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	50	3	47	3.9	65%	-0.1	19.3	3.03%	0	0.1	50	INF
13	Dec_1_2015	29.74	30.96	31.25	31.38	31.38	31.57	32.16(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	40	10	42	4.34	60%	0	29.3	3.03%	0	1.6	54	INF
14	Nov_30_2015	29.74	30.9	31.03	31.21	31.15	31.3	31.16(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	30	-0	26	2.99	58%	-0.03	31.8	3.25%	0	0.4	52	INF
15	Nov_27_2015	29.75	30.84	30.82	31.29	31.18	31.19	31.41(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10	2	14	1.46	62%	0	32.5	3.25%	0	0.8	46	INF

16	Nov_25_2015	29.75	30.81	30.65	31.28	31.27	31	31.09(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-60	-3	3	2.6	62%	-0.03	43.9	3.56%	0	0.4	49	INF
17	Nov_24_2015	29.76	30.82	30.64	31.32	31.3	31.16	31.07(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-30	-0	7	4.7	55%	0	62.5	3.66%	0	0.3	52	INF
18	Nov_23_2015	29.76	30.74	30.65	31.07	31.27	31.53	31.33(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	80	8	4	2.9	55%	0.03	56.9	3.97%	0	0.7	52	INF
19	Nov_20_2015	29.75	30.67	30.59	30.8	30.91	31.44	31.54(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	14	130	18	-0	3.2	49%	0	57.1	4.13%	0	1.1	53	INF
20	Nov_19_2015	29.75	30.6	30.6	30.27	30.34	31	31.37(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	11	160	17	-6	4.06	48%	-0.03	48.9	4.18%	0	0.9	59	INF

21	Nov_18_2015	29.76	30.5	30.58	29.93	29.82	30.38	31.32(5.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	120	10	-17	5.4	48%	0.03	39	4.19%	0	0.9	52	INF
22	Nov_17_2015	29.75	30.34	30.52	29.89	29.68	29.69	29.81(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-20	-2	-25	4.84	46%	-0.03	45.2	4.15%	0	-0.5	42	INF
23	Nov_16_2015	29.76	30.29	30.64	30.19	30.01	29.25	29.97(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-200	-11	-15	3.41	46%	-0.1	57.7	4.15%	0	-0.3	55	INF
24	Nov_13_2015	29.79	30.22	30.75	30.37	30.43	29.67	28.89(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-170	-27	-12	5.4	46%	-0.13	62.5	4.13%	0	-1.1	48	INF
25	Nov_12_2015	29.83	30.2	30.88	30.97	30.98	30.78	29.67(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-40	-14	8	5.24	46%		77.6	4.12%	0	-0.4	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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