Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $32.1577 (3.2%) ($31.3481 - $32.1676) on Tue. Dec. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.03% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $32.1577(3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SDY(89%)    IWN(88%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-9%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.515% (StdDev 3.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.38(2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.25(2.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.96(3.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 3.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(69%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 8.09%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.25%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2015	29.74	30.96	31.25	31.38	31.38	31.57	32.16(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	40	10	42	4.34	60%	0	29.3	3.03%	0	1.6	54	INF
2	Nov_30_2015	29.74	30.9	31.03	31.21	31.15	31.3	31.16(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	30	-0	26	2.99	58%	-0.03	31.8	3.25%	0	0.4	52	INF
3	Nov_27_2015	29.75	30.84	30.82	31.29	31.18	31.19	31.41(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10	2	14	1.46	62%	0	32.5	3.25%	0	0.8	46	INF
4	Nov_25_2015	29.75	30.81	30.65	31.28	31.27	31	31.09(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-60	-3	3	2.6	62%	-0.03	43.9	3.56%	0	0.4	49	INF
5	Nov_24_2015	29.76	30.82	30.64	31.32	31.3	31.16	31.07(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-30	-0	7	4.7	55%	0	62.5	3.66%	0	0.3	52	INF

6	Nov_23_2015	29.76	30.74	30.65	31.07	31.27	31.53	31.33(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	80	8	4	2.9	55%	0.03	56.9	3.97%	0	0.7	52	INF
7	Nov_20_2015	29.75	30.67	30.59	30.8	30.91	31.44	31.54(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	14	130	18	-0	3.2	49%	0	57.1	4.13%	0	1.1	53	INF
8	Nov_19_2015	29.75	30.6	30.6	30.27	30.34	31	31.37(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	11	160	17	-6	4.06	48%	-0.03	48.9	4.18%	0	0.9	59	INF
9	Nov_18_2015	29.76	30.5	30.58	29.93	29.82	30.38	31.32(5.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	120	10	-17	5.4	48%	0.03	39	4.19%	0	0.9	52	INF
10	Nov_17_2015	29.75	30.34	30.52	29.89	29.68	29.69	29.81(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-20	-2	-25	4.84	46%	-0.03	45.2	4.15%	0	-0.5	42	INF

11	Nov_16_2015	29.76	30.29	30.64	30.19	30.01	29.25	29.97(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-200	-11	-15	3.41	46%	-0.1	57.7	4.15%	0	-0.3	55	INF
12	Nov_13_2015	29.79	30.22	30.75	30.37	30.43	29.67	28.89(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-170	-27	-12	5.4	46%	-0.13	62.5	4.13%	0	-1.1	48	INF
13	Nov_12_2015	29.83	30.2	30.88	30.97	30.98	30.78	29.67(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-40	-14	8	5.24	46%	-0.1	77.6	4.12%	0	-0.4	50	INF
14	Nov_11_2015	29.86	30.12	31.02	31.29	31.49	31.2	31.13(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-50	2	31	2.93	47%	-0.1	72.7	4.08%	0	0.7	62	INF
15	Nov_10_2015	29.89	29.89	31.04	31.22	31.49	31.17	31.29(1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-40	-7	41	3.9	48%	-0.1	64.8	4.09%	0	0.9	69	INF

16	Nov_9_2015	29.92	29.68	30.86	31.17	31.41	31.78	30.87(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	110	2	48	6.23	48%	-0.07	65.5	4.11%	0	0.7	62	INF
17	Nov_6_2015	29.94	29.51	30.78	31.19	31.29	31.64	31.86(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	90	17	63	7.2	48%	-0.07	67.3	4.09%	0	1.4	69	INF
18	Nov_5_2015	29.96	29.28	30.59	30.8	30.88	31.04	31.28(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	4	57	3.57	48%	-0.07	69.3	4.09%	0	1.3	68	INF
19	Nov_4_2015	29.98	29.09	30.4	30.73	30.72	30.94	30.81(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	50	1	63	4.06	48%	-0.07	78	4.08%	0	1.1	68	INF
20	Nov_3_2015	30	28.9	30.13	30.83	30.73	30.72	31.01(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10	9	80	3.28	48%	-0.07	86.5	4.08%	0	1.3	75	INF

21	Nov_2_2015	30.02	28.67	29.9	30.5	30.62	30.5	31(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-20	2	78	3.9	48%	-0.07	90.6	4.08%	0	1.5	69	INF
22	Oct_30_2015	30.04	28.45	29.63	30.3	30.33	30.5	29.88(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	100	0	78	3.95	48%	-0.1	94.5	4.06%	0	0.9	63	INF
23	Oct_29_2015	30.07	28.22	29.47	30.34	30.2	30.74	30.95(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	110	18	94	4.32	49%	-0.1	90.1	4.04%	0	1.6	69	INF
24	Oct_28_2015	30.1	27.92	29.16	30.01	29.93	29.92	31.3(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10	17	87	5.65	49%	0	85.5	4.05%	0	2	68	INF
25	Oct_27_2015	30.1	27.6	28.65	29.34	29.55	29.67	29.39(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	50	1	60	3.47	45%		74	3.97%	0	1.1	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.