Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $31.3185 (5.07%) ($30.0389 - $31.3678) on Wed. Nov. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.19% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $31.3185(5.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -2.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-9%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.095% (StdDev 4.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.93(4.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.58(2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.5(2.68%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   31.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 4.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.48%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2015	29.76	30.5	30.58	29.93	29.82	30.38	31.32(5.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	120	10	-17	5.4	48%	0.03	39	4.19%	0	0.9	52	INF
2	Nov_17_2015	29.75	30.34	30.52	29.89	29.68	29.69	29.81(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-20	-2	-25	4.84	46%	-0.03	45.2	4.15%	0	-0.5	42	INF
3	Nov_16_2015	29.76	30.29	30.64	30.19	30.01	29.25	29.97(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-200	-11	-15	3.41	46%	-0.1	57.7	4.15%	0	-0.3	55	INF
4	Nov_13_2015	29.79	30.22	30.75	30.37	30.43	29.67	28.89(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-170	-27	-12	5.4	46%	-0.13	62.5	4.13%	0	-1.1	48	INF
5	Nov_12_2015	29.83	30.2	30.88	30.97	30.98	30.78	29.67(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-40	-14	8	5.24	46%	-0.1	77.6	4.12%	0	-0.4	50	INF

6	Nov_11_2015	29.86	30.12	31.02	31.29	31.49	31.2	31.13(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-50	2	31	2.93	47%	-0.1	72.7	4.08%	0	0.7	62	INF
7	Nov_10_2015	29.89	29.89	31.04	31.22	31.49	31.17	31.29(1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-40	-7	41	3.9	48%	-0.1	64.8	4.09%	0	0.9	69	INF
8	Nov_9_2015	29.92	29.68	30.86	31.17	31.41	31.78	30.87(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	110	2	48	6.23	48%	-0.07	65.5	4.11%	0	0.7	62	INF
9	Nov_6_2015	29.94	29.51	30.78	31.19	31.29	31.64	31.86(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	90	17	63	7.2	48%	-0.07	67.3	4.09%	0	1.4	69	INF
10	Nov_5_2015	29.96	29.28	30.59	30.8	30.88	31.04	31.28(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	4	57	3.57	48%	-0.07	69.3	4.09%	0	1.3	68	INF

11	Nov_4_2015	29.98	29.09	30.4	30.73	30.72	30.94	30.81(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	50	1	63	4.06	48%	-0.07	78	4.08%	0	1.1	68	INF
12	Nov_3_2015	30	28.9	30.13	30.83	30.73	30.72	31.01(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10	9	80	3.28	48%	-0.07	86.5	4.08%	0	1.3	75	INF
13	Nov_2_2015	30.02	28.67	29.9	30.5	30.62	30.5	31(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-20	2	78	3.9	48%	-0.07	90.6	4.08%	0	1.5	69	INF
14	Oct_30_2015	30.04	28.45	29.63	30.3	30.33	30.5	29.88(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	100	0	78	3.95	48%	-0.1	94.5	4.06%	0	0.9	63	INF
15	Oct_29_2015	30.07	28.22	29.47	30.34	30.2	30.74	30.95(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	110	18	94	4.32	49%	-0.1	90.1	4.04%	0	1.6	69	INF

16	Oct_28_2015	30.1	27.92	29.16	30.01	29.93	29.92	31.3(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10	17	87	5.65	49%	0	85.5	4.05%	0	2	68	INF
17	Oct_27_2015	30.1	27.6	28.65	29.34	29.55	29.67	29.39(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	50	1	60	3.47	45%	-0.07	74	3.97%	0	1.1	64	INF
18	Oct_26_2015	30.12	27.33	28.41	29.2	29.31	29.94	29.96(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	160	15	65	2.94	45%	-0.07	64.8	3.98%	0	1.5	71	INF
19	Oct_23_2015	30.14	27.02	28.15	28.87	28.95	29.42	30.09(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	120	20	62	4.93	44%	-0.07	56.7	3.98%	0	1.8	69	INF
20	Oct_22_2015	30.16	26.79	27.84	28.48	28.47	28.68	29.28(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	50	9	58	6.29	44%	-0.1	54.9	3.98%	0	1.6	73	INF

21	Oct_21_2015	30.19	26.56	27.65	28.19	28.25	28.48	27.97(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	60	12	65	4.29	42%	-0.13	47.3	3.94%	0	1	70	INF
22	Oct_20_2015	30.23	26.42	27.57	27.83	27.94	28.26	28.69(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	90	13	68	3.26	42%	-0.1	34.4	3.93%	0	1.6	77	INF
23	Oct_19_2015	30.26	26.24	27.33	27.48	27.46	28.03	28.3(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	140	10	70	3.28	42%	-0.1	23.5	3.92%	0	1.6	79	INF
24	Oct_16_2015	30.29	26.11	27.16	27.31	27.23	27.62	28.15(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	90	14	84	4.92	43%	-0.16	22.1	3.92%	0	1.6	79	INF
25	Oct_15_2015	30.34	25.96	26.87	27.12	27.04	26.88	27.83(6.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-50	1	73	5.47	43%		16.3	3.93%	0	1.6	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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