Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $31.0025 (3.77%) ($29.9559 - $31.1901) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.08% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $31.0025(3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -2.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-10%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.04% (StdDev 4.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.5(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.9(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.67(8.14%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 4.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 7.11%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.91%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.87%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.82%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.35%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	30.02	28.67	29.9	30.5	30.62	30.5	31(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-20	2	78	3.9	48%	-0.07	90.6	4.08%	0	1.5	69	INF
2	Oct_30_2015	30.04	28.45	29.63	30.3	30.33	30.5	29.88(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	100	0	78	3.95	48%	-0.1	94.5	4.06%	0	0.9	63	INF
3	Oct_29_2015	30.07	28.22	29.47	30.34	30.2	30.74	30.95(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	110	18	94	4.32	49%	-0.1	90.1	4.04%	0	1.6	69	INF
4	Oct_28_2015	30.1	27.92	29.16	30.01	29.93	29.92	31.3(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10	17	87	5.65	49%	0	85.5	4.05%	0	2	68	INF
5	Oct_27_2015	30.1	27.6	28.65	29.34	29.55	29.67	29.39(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	50	1	60	3.47	45%	-0.07	74	3.97%	0	1.1	64	INF

6	Oct_26_2015	30.12	27.33	28.41	29.2	29.31	29.94	29.96(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	160	15	65	2.94	45%	-0.07	64.8	3.98%	0	1.5	71	INF
7	Oct_23_2015	30.14	27.02	28.15	28.87	28.95	29.42	30.09(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	120	20	62	4.93	44%	-0.07	56.7	3.98%	0	1.8	69	INF
8	Oct_22_2015	30.16	26.79	27.84	28.48	28.47	28.68	29.28(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	50	9	58	6.29	44%	-0.1	54.9	3.98%	0	1.6	73	INF
9	Oct_21_2015	30.19	26.56	27.65	28.19	28.25	28.48	27.97(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	60	12	65	4.29	42%	-0.13	47.3	3.94%	0	1	70	INF
10	Oct_20_2015	30.23	26.42	27.57	27.83	27.94	28.26	28.69(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	90	13	68	3.26	42%	-0.1	34.4	3.93%	0	1.6	77	INF

11	Oct_19_2015	30.26	26.24	27.33	27.48	27.46	28.03	28.3(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	140	10	70	3.28	42%	-0.1	23.5	3.92%	0	1.6	79	INF
12	Oct_16_2015	30.29	26.11	27.16	27.31	27.23	27.62	28.15(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	90	14	84	4.92	43%	-0.16	22.1	3.92%	0	1.6	79	INF
13	Oct_15_2015	30.34	25.96	26.87	27.12	27.04	26.88	27.83(6.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-50	1	73	5.47	43%	-0.13	16.3	3.93%	0	1.6	61	INF
14	Oct_14_2015	30.38	25.89	26.6	27.07	27.09	26.83	26.19(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-60	-9	72	4.83	40%	-0.2	19.7	3.86%	0	0.3	60	INF
15	Oct_13_2015	30.44	25.94	26.48	27.24	27.25	27.21	26.93(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10	1	82	4.63	42%	-0.13	31.8	3.85%	0	0.9	59	INF

16	Oct_12_2015	30.48	25.93	26.2	27.13	27.21	27.35	27.43(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	5	74	3.1	42%	-0.16	32.1	3.86%	0	1.3	63	INF
17	Oct_9_2015	30.53	25.84	25.84	26.98	27.01	27.29	27.22(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	80	13	61	4.01	44%	-0.16	34.9	3.89%	0	1.3	55	INF
18	Oct_8_2015	30.58	25.77	25.66	26.57	26.7	27.07	27.55(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	110	20	52	5.94	42%	-0.2	25.5	3.9%	0	1.7	61	INF
19	Oct_7_2015	30.64	25.67	25.37	26.07	25.97	26.72	27.08(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	190	18	24	11.91	42%	-0.2	11.8	3.94%	0	1.5	51	INF
20	Oct_6_2015	30.7	25.58	25.17	25.61	25.43	26.34	26.37(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	230	28	1	7.33	42%	-0.2	1.9	3.93%	0	0.9	44	INF

21	Oct_5_2015	30.76	25.57	25.03	25.12	24.96	25.21	26.69(6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	13	50	26	-26	9.81	42%	-0.19	-17	3.92%	0	1.2	48	INF
22	Oct_2_2015	30.82	25.47	24.94	24.53	24.36	24.53	25.18(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	30	-5	-58	16.04	39%	-0.23	-51.3	3.88%	0	-0.3	48	INF
23	Oct_1_2015	30.89	25.51	24.95	24.62	24.41	24.71	25.02(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	60	6	-56	9.77	41%	-0.23	-58.4	3.88%	0	-0.5	46	INF
24	Sep_30_2015	30.96	25.55	25.09	24.57	24.61	24.19	24.79(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-110	-1	-55	5.27	41%	-0.23	-63.2	3.91%	0	-0.8	48	INF
25	Sep_29_2015	31.03	25.56	25.34	24.67	24.62	24.11	23.91(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-150	-20	-50	5.87	39%		-56.5	3.89%	0	-1.8	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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