Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $27.5468 (1.71%) ($26.6493 - $27.6554) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.9% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $27.5468(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.95% (StdDev 3.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.57(3.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.66(7.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.77(6.89%)
To recent high   -21.5%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 3.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(29%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -4.9%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.81%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2015	30.58	25.77	25.66	26.57	26.7	27.07	27.55(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	110	20	52	5.94	42%	-0.2	25.5	3.9%	0	1.7	61	0
2	Oct_7_2015	30.64	25.67	25.37	26.07	25.97	26.72	27.08(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	190	18	24	11.91	42%	-0.2	11.8	3.94%	0	1.5	51	0
3	Oct_6_2015	30.7	25.58	25.17	25.61	25.43	26.34	26.37(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	230	28	1	7.33	42%	-0.2	1.9	3.93%	0	0.9	44	0
4	Oct_5_2015	30.76	25.57	25.03	25.12	24.96	25.21	26.69(6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	13	50	26	-26	9.81	42%	-0.19	-17	3.92%	0	1.2	48	0
5	Oct_2_2015	30.82	25.47	24.94	24.53	24.36	24.53	25.18(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	30	-5	-58	16.04	39%	-0.23	-51.3	3.88%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Oct_1_2015	30.89	25.51	24.95	24.62	24.41	24.71	25.02(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	60	6	-56	9.77	41%	-0.23	-58.4	3.88%	0	-0.5	46	0
7	Sep_30_2015	30.96	25.55	25.09	24.57	24.61	24.19	24.79(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-110	-1	-55	5.27	41%	-0.23	-63.2	3.91%	0	-0.8	48	0
8	Sep_29_2015	31.03	25.56	25.34	24.67	24.62	24.11	23.91(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-150	-20	-50	5.87	39%	-0.26	-56.5	3.89%	0	-1.8	45	0
9	Sep_28_2015	31.11	25.73	25.64	24.92	24.98	25.04	23.76(-7.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	20	-12	-36	7.58	39%	-0.26	-40.9	3.97%	0	-2.2	39	0
10	Sep_25_2015	31.19	25.95	25.88	25.39	25.14	25.13	25.62(3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-30	3	-10	6.28	40%	-0.19	-30.7	3.88%	0	-0.4	57	0

11	Sep_24_2015	31.25	26.06	25.92	25.32	25.23	24.92	24.78(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-100	-12	-18	5.92	40%	-0.16	-44.6	3.86%	0	-1.2	46	0
12	Sep_23_2015	31.3	26.14	26.02	25.69	25.45	25.15	25.3(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-110	-17	-9	3.53	40%	-0.19	-68.9	3.86%	0	-0.8	49	0
13	Sep_22_2015	31.36	26.08	26.05	26.12	25.93	25.54	25.15(-3.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-130	-14	10	5.92	41%	-0.19	-93.4	3.86%	0	-0.8	54	0
14	Sep_21_2015	31.42	26.1	26.18	26.48	26.44	25.75	26.1(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-190	-7	21	4.58	41%	-0.16	-121.3	3.85%	0	0	46	0
15	Sep_18_2015	31.47	26.23	26.06	26.43	26.57	26.31	25.29(-5.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-50	-15	-2	6.62	41%	-0.16	-125.2	3.84%	0	-0.8	41	0

16	Sep_17_2015	31.52	26.53	26.15	26.59	26.67	27.13	26.65(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	130	11	3	7.47	43%	-0.13	-94.7	3.81%	0	0.1	44	0
17	Sep_16_2015	31.56	26.84	26.06	26.38	26.32	26.83	27.42(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	130	20	-3	3.37	43%	-0.09	-73.2	3.8%	0	0.3	55	0
18	Sep_15_2015	31.59	27.15	26.06	25.98	25.9	26.2	26.96(4.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	70	8	-17	3.55	43%	-0.13	-63.1	3.8%	0	-0.1	63	0
19	Sep_14_2015	31.63	27.5	25.79	25.87	25.84	25.8	25.85(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	-10	7	-11	2.65	41%	-0.16	-56.7	3.75%	0	-0.5	53	0
20	Sep_11_2015	31.68	27.9	25.99	25.64	25.89	25.6	26.05(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-50	-2	-27	2.95	41%	-0.16	-54	3.76%	0	-0.5	44	0

21	Sep_10_2015	31.73	28.26	26.18	25.65	25.68	25.89	25.6(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	60	-6	-48	5.4	43%	-0.16	-52.4	3.75%	0	-0.7	38	0
22	Sep_9_2015	31.78	28.64	26.25	25.69	25.85	26.18	25.42(-3.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	110	14	-76	4.53	43%	-0.16	-52.3	3.8%	0	-0.9	34	0
23	Sep_8_2015	31.83	29.06	26.12	25.54	25.65	25.47	26.42(7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-40	-2	-140	4.18	43%	-0.06	-52.7	3.77%	0	-0.7	34	0
24	Sep_4_2015	31.85	29.47	26.02	25.72	25.4	25.51	24.69(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-10	-24	-195	4.96	39%	-0.19	-49.7	3.64%	0	-1.2	29	0
25	Sep_3_2015	31.91	29.94	26.43	26.4	26.04	25.83	26.1(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-100	-5	-196	4.47	41%		-47.4	3.6%	0	-1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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