Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $25.4241 (-3.77%) ($25.2365 - $27.3494) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.8% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $25.4241(-3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SDY(89%)    SPY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.9% (StdDev 3.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $2.13(-91.62%)
Resistance Level   $28.64
5 Day Moving Average   $25.69(-1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.25(-3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.64(-11.23%)
To recent high   -27.5%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 13.2% (three month std-dev: 3.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.35%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -8.79%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.92%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2015	31.78	28.64	26.25	25.69	25.85	26.18	25.42(-3.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	110	14	-76	4.53	43%	-0.16	-52.3	3.8%	0	-0.9	34	INF
2	Sep_8_2015	31.83	29.06	26.12	25.54	25.65	25.47	26.42(7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-40	-2	-140	4.18	43%	-0.06	-52.7	3.77%	0	-0.7	34	INF
3	Sep_4_2015	31.85	29.47	26.02	25.72	25.4	25.51	24.69(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-10	-24	-195	4.96	39%	-0.19	-49.7	3.64%	0	-1.2	29	INF
4	Sep_3_2015	31.91	29.94	26.43	26.4	26.04	25.83	26.1(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-100	-5	-196	4.47	41%	-0.16	-47.4	3.6%	0	-1	32	INF
5	Sep_2_2015	31.96	30.33	26.95	26.81	26.47	25.29	25.8(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-350	-20	-199	2.97	41%	-0.19	-46.3	3.6%	0	-1.2	33	INF

6	Sep_1_2015	32.02	30.76	27.68	26.9	27.03	26.25	24.71(-9.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-190	-17	-197	7.52	38%	-0.19	-47.6	3.56%	0	-1.6	31	INF
7	Aug_31_2015	32.08	31.25	28.63	26.71	27.15	27.64	27.31(-2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-42	180	10	-198	3.24	42%	-0.09	-51.8	3.37%	0	-1.1	33	INF
8	Aug_28_2015	32.11	31.6	29.32	26.32	26.7	27.8	28.07(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-38	330	18	-206	3.39	41%	-0.06	-55.1	3.37%	0	-1	33	INF
9	Aug_27_2015	32.13	31.91	29.91	26.49	26.11	26.66	28.18(7.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-56	100	-5	-209	6.88	42%	-0.09	-54.8	3.37%	0	-1.1	37	INF
10	Aug_26_2015	32.16	32.24	30.44	27.21	26.64	25.6	26.2(10.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-340	-47	-216	8.63	37%	-0.12	-51.4	3.24%	0	-1.8	30	INF

11	Aug_25_2015	32.2	32.66	31.19	28.69	28.31	25.55	23.78(-6.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-131	-720	-103	-216	5.77	31%	-0.22	-46	2.98%	0	-3	16	INF
12	Aug_24_2015	32.27	33.19	32.28	30.83	30.36	27.67	25.39(-12.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-130	-670	-120	-158	8.75	33%	-0.22	-39.8	2.91%	0	-3.6	20	INF
13	Aug_21_2015	32.34	33.61	33.29	32.68	32.62	31.06	28.92(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-80	-340	-78	-84	8.83	38%	-0.06	-36.6	2.5%	0	-3.8	27	INF
14	Aug_20_2015	32.36	33.87	33.84	33.75	33.7	33.06	31.74(-5.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-38	-140	-40	-30	4.85	42%	0.06	-30.3	2.24%	0	-3.2	37	INF
15	Aug_19_2015	32.34	34.01	34.07	34.13	34.11	34.18	33.61(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2	10	-1	-3	4.11	46%	0.12	-22.4	2.14%	0	-0.8	44	INF

16	Aug_18_2015	32.3	34.08	34.15	34.09	34.02	34.34	34.5(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	60	15	2	1.85	48%	0.12	-14.4	2.12%	0	0.8	52	INF
17	Aug_17_2015	32.26	34.08	34.1	33.99	33.65	34.04	34.61(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	50	7	-1	2.14	48%	0.16	-8.9	2.13%	0	1	61	INF
18	Aug_14_2015	32.21	34.07	34.04	34.06	33.61	33.7	34.31(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-20	10	14	1.95	50%	0.16	9.6	2.13%	0	0.5	63	INF
19	Aug_13_2015	32.16	34.08	34.02	33.98	33.82	33.26	33.62(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-130	-8	7	2.24	50%	0.09	26.6	2.15%	0	-0.9	51	INF
20	Aug_12_2015	32.13	34.13	34.1	34.02	33.87	33.52	33.4(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-21	-90	-29	2	5	50%	0.09	61.9	2.14%	0	-1.4	45	INF

21	Aug_11_2015	32.1	34.15	34.19	34.02	34.14	34.38	34.02(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	40	2	17	2.62	50%	0.06	100	2.13%	0	-0.2	42	INF
22	Aug_10_2015	32.08	34.12	34.14	34.2	34.24	34.23	34.92(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	0	14	13	2.38	52%	0.09	103.4	2.11%	0	1.3	52	INF
23	Aug_7_2015	32.05	34.02	33.93	34.04	34.1	33.9	33.93(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-10	-18	2.95	54%	0.09	89.2	2.14%	0	-0.1	44	INF
24	Aug_6_2015	32.02	33.93	33.9	34.07	34.17	34.24	33.8(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	20	-5	-21	2.36	54%	0.06	68.2	2.16%	0	-0.1	45	INF
25	Aug_5_2015	32	33.8	33.94	34.2	34.22	34.29	34.31(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	6	-14	2.22	52%		52.3	2.15%	0	0.4	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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