Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $33.6091 (-2.58%) ($33.2240 - $34.4296) on Wed. Aug. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $33.6091(-2.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    VYM(87%)    IWM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    IYT(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $34.01
5 Day Moving Average   $34.13(-1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.07(-1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.01(-1.18%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.74%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.61%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.77%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2015	32.34	34.01	34.07	34.13	34.11	34.18	33.61(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2	10	-1	-3	4.11	46%	0.12	-22.4	2.14%	0	-0.8	44	INF
2	Aug_18_2015	32.3	34.08	34.15	34.09	34.02	34.34	34.5(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	60	15	2	1.85	48%	0.12	-14.4	2.12%	0	0.8	52	INF
3	Aug_17_2015	32.26	34.08	34.1	33.99	33.65	34.04	34.61(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	50	7	-1	2.14	48%	0.16	-8.9	2.13%	0	1	61	INF
4	Aug_14_2015	32.21	34.07	34.04	34.06	33.61	33.7	34.31(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-20	10	14	1.95	50%	0.16	9.6	2.13%	0	0.5	63	INF
5	Aug_13_2015	32.16	34.08	34.02	33.98	33.82	33.26	33.62(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-130	-8	7	2.24	50%	0.09	26.6	2.15%	0	-0.9	51	INF

6	Aug_12_2015	32.13	34.13	34.1	34.02	33.87	33.52	33.4(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-21	-90	-29	2	5	50%	0.09	61.9	2.14%	0	-1.4	45	INF
7	Aug_11_2015	32.1	34.15	34.19	34.02	34.14	34.38	34.02(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	40	2	17	2.62	50%	0.06	100	2.13%	0	-0.2	42	INF
8	Aug_10_2015	32.08	34.12	34.14	34.2	34.24	34.23	34.92(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	0	14	13	2.38	52%	0.09	103.4	2.11%	0	1.3	52	INF
9	Aug_7_2015	32.05	34.02	33.93	34.04	34.1	33.9	33.93(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-10	-18	2.95	54%	0.09	89.2	2.14%	0	-0.1	44	INF
10	Aug_6_2015	32.02	33.93	33.9	34.07	34.17	34.24	33.8(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	20	-5	-21	2.36	54%	0.06	68.2	2.16%	0	-0.1	45	INF

11	Aug_5_2015	32	33.8	33.94	34.2	34.22	34.29	34.31(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	6	-14	2.22	52%	0.09	52.3	2.15%	0	0.4	47	INF
12	Aug_4_2015	31.97	33.61	34	34.19	34.15	34.09	34.01(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-20	3	-7	1.77	54%	0.06	48.6	2.17%	0	0.3	53	INF
13	Aug_3_2015	31.95	33.51	34.04	34.06	34.08	34.14	34.15(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	10	8	-2	2.02	54%	0.13	48.9	2.19%	0	0.5	58	INF
14	Jul_31_2015	31.91	33.39	34.09	33.79	33.87	34.22	34.09(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	80	12	1	1.37	54%	0.09	38.6	2.21%	0	0.5	60	INF
15	Jul_30_2015	31.88	33.28	34.13	33.69	33.53	34.01	34.45(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	90	13	15	2.11	52%	0.19	34	2.21%	0	0.8	68	INF

16	Jul_29_2015	31.82	33.16	34.14	33.65	33.47	33.53	34.25(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-0	4	37	2.47	52%	0.16	30.5	2.24%	0	0.8	73	INF
17	Jul_28_2015	31.77	33	34.1	33.81	33.68	33.05	33.33(1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-140	-20	63	2.89	50%	0.09	23	2.21%	0	0.2	73	INF
18	Jul_27_2015	31.74	32.87	34.11	34.05	34.06	33.42	32.82(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-130	-36	81	3.07	50%	0.09	16.6	2.21%	0	-0	57	INF
19	Jul_24_2015	31.71	32.88	34.14	34.43	34.5	34.31	33.62(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-30	-16	120	2.97	52%	0.09	23.3	2.19%	0	0.5	63	INF
20	Jul_23_2015	31.68	32.82	34.01	34.6	34.69	34.71	34.21(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	34	10	-2	140	2.74	52%	0.09	22.5	2.18%	0	0.9	64	INF

21	Jul_22_2015	31.65	32.75	33.69	34.69	34.65	34.7	35.09(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	10	8	143	2.69	56%	0.13	25.6	2.16%	0	1.6	66	INF
22	Jul_21_2015	31.61	32.68	33.22	34.43	34.59	34.68	34.5(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	12	131	2.45	56%	0.09	24.7	2.17%	0	1.3	70	INF
23	Jul_20_2015	31.58	32.63	32.95	34.18	34.34	34.61	34.73(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	70	18	134	3.18	56%	0.16	24.2	2.17%	0	1.6	73	INF
24	Jul_17_2015	31.53	32.53	32.63	33.81	33.9	34.51	34.45(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	130	30	114	3.23	53%	0.1	17.9	2.17%	0	1.5	55	INF
25	Jul_16_2015	31.5	32.48	32.35	33.32	33.46	34.07	34.66(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	140	48	92	4.53	53%		9.2	2.23%	0	1.8	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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