Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $34.9223 (2.91%) ($34.4878 - $34.9322) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $34.9223(2.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    VYM(87%)    IWM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.2(2.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.14(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.12(2.35%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.14%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.66%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.93%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.29%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2015	32.08	34.12	34.14	34.2	34.24	34.23	34.92(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	0	14	13	2.38	52%	0.09	103.4	2.11%	0	1.3	52	0
2	Aug_7_2015	32.05	34.02	33.93	34.04	34.1	33.9	33.93(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-10	-18	2.95	54%	0.09	89.2	2.14%	0	-0.1	44	0
3	Aug_6_2015	32.02	33.93	33.9	34.07	34.17	34.24	33.8(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	20	-5	-21	2.36	54%	0.06	68.2	2.16%	0	-0.1	45	0
4	Aug_5_2015	32	33.8	33.94	34.2	34.22	34.29	34.31(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	6	-14	2.22	52%	0.09	52.3	2.15%	0	0.4	47	0
5	Aug_4_2015	31.97	33.61	34	34.19	34.15	34.09	34.01(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-20	3	-7	1.77	54%	0.06	48.6	2.17%	0	0.3	53	0

6	Aug_3_2015	31.95	33.51	34.04	34.06	34.08	34.14	34.15(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	10	8	-2	2.02	54%	0.13	48.9	2.19%	0	0.5	58	0
7	Jul_31_2015	31.91	33.39	34.09	33.79	33.87	34.22	34.09(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	80	12	1	1.37	54%	0.09	38.6	2.21%	0	0.5	60	0
8	Jul_30_2015	31.88	33.28	34.13	33.69	33.53	34.01	34.45(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	90	13	15	2.11	52%	0.19	34	2.21%	0	0.8	68	0
9	Jul_29_2015	31.82	33.16	34.14	33.65	33.47	33.53	34.25(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-0	4	37	2.47	52%	0.16	30.5	2.24%	0	0.8	73	0
10	Jul_28_2015	31.77	33	34.1	33.81	33.68	33.05	33.33(1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-140	-20	63	2.89	50%	0.09	23	2.21%	0	0.2	73	0

11	Jul_27_2015	31.74	32.87	34.11	34.05	34.06	33.42	32.82(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-130	-36	81	3.07	50%	0.09	16.6	2.21%	0	-0	57	0
12	Jul_24_2015	31.71	32.88	34.14	34.43	34.5	34.31	33.62(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-30	-16	120	2.97	52%	0.09	23.3	2.19%	0	0.5	63	0
13	Jul_23_2015	31.68	32.82	34.01	34.6	34.69	34.71	34.21(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	34	10	-2	140	2.74	52%	0.09	22.5	2.18%	0	0.9	64	0
14	Jul_22_2015	31.65	32.75	33.69	34.69	34.65	34.7	35.09(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	10	8	143	2.69	56%	0.13	25.6	2.16%	0	1.6	66	0
15	Jul_21_2015	31.61	32.68	33.22	34.43	34.59	34.68	34.5(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	12	131	2.45	56%	0.09	24.7	2.17%	0	1.3	70	0

16	Jul_20_2015	31.58	32.63	32.95	34.18	34.34	34.61	34.73(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	70	18	134	3.18	56%	0.16	24.2	2.17%	0	1.6	73	0
17	Jul_17_2015	31.53	32.53	32.63	33.81	33.9	34.51	34.45(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	130	30	114	3.23	53%	0.1	17.9	2.17%	0	1.5	55	0
18	Jul_16_2015	31.5	32.48	32.35	33.32	33.46	34.07	34.66(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	140	48	92	4.53	53%	0.1	9.2	2.23%	0	1.8	58	0
19	Jul_15_2015	31.47	32.39	32.08	32.55	32.79	33.29	33.81(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	130	39	45	4.06	51%	0.1	-9.5	2.21%	0	1.3	51	0
20	Jul_14_2015	31.44	32.34	31.78	31.83	32.16	32.85	33.23(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	180	29	-16	2.5	51%	0.06	-22.1	2.2%	0	0.8	45	0

21	Jul_13_2015	31.42	32.34	31.5	31.55	31.57	32.3	32.91(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	10	160	31	-54	3.48	51%	0.06	-24.9	2.2%	0	0.6	45	0
22	Jul_10_2015	31.4	32.3	31.47	31.29	31.24	31.48	31.99(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	50	18	-75	2.87	49%	0.03	-27.6	2.17%	0	-0.3	45	0
23	Jul_9_2015	31.39	32.37	31.5	31.26	31.08	30.85	30.81(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-70	-15	-105	3.04	46%	0	-21.3	2.12%	0	-1.4	36	0
24	Jul_8_2015	31.39	32.49	31.73	31.53	31.3	31	30.21(-5.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-90	-17	-94	4.01	46%	-0.03	-12.3	2.1%	0	-2.2	39	0
25	Jul_7_2015	31.4	32.58	32.11	31.67	31.67	31.32	31.84(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-80	2	-77	4.48	50%		-10.7	2.01%	0	-0.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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