Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $34.4484 (-0.6%) ($34.0742 - $34.7248) on Fri. Jul. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.17% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $34.4484(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    VYM(87%)    IWM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.085% (StdDev 2.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.81(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.63(5.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.53(5.9%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.9% (three month std-dev: 2.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.09%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.2%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.72%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2015	31.53	32.53	32.63	33.81	33.9	34.51	34.45(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	130	30	114	3.23	53%	0.1	17.9	2.17%	0	1.5	55	0
2	Jul_16_2015	31.5	32.48	32.35	33.32	33.46	34.07	34.66(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	140	48	92	4.53	53%	0.1	9.2	2.23%	0	1.8	58	0
3	Jul_15_2015	31.47	32.39	32.08	32.55	32.79	33.29	33.81(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	130	39	45	4.06	51%	0.1	-9.5	2.21%	0	1.3	51	0
4	Jul_14_2015	31.44	32.34	31.78	31.83	32.16	32.85	33.23(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	180	29	-16	2.5	51%	0.06	-22.1	2.2%	0	0.8	45	0
5	Jul_13_2015	31.42	32.34	31.5	31.55	31.57	32.3	32.91(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	10	160	31	-54	3.48	51%	0.06	-24.9	2.2%	0	0.6	45	0

6	Jul_10_2015	31.4	32.3	31.47	31.29	31.24	31.48	31.99(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	50	18	-75	2.87	49%	0.03	-27.6	2.17%	0	-0.3	45	0
7	Jul_9_2015	31.39	32.37	31.5	31.26	31.08	30.85	30.81(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-70	-15	-105	3.04	46%	0	-21.3	2.12%	0	-1.4	36	0
8	Jul_8_2015	31.39	32.49	31.73	31.53	31.3	31	30.21(-5.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-90	-17	-94	4.01	46%	-0.03	-12.3	2.1%	0	-2.2	39	0
9	Jul_7_2015	31.4	32.49	32.11	31.67	31.67	31.32	31.84(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-80	2	-77	4.48	50%	0.03	-10.7	2.01%	0	-0.8	44	0
10	Jul_6_2015	31.39	32.58	32.29	31.42	31.61	31.61	31.6(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	20	-18	-90	2.77	50%	0.03	-19.2	2.01%	0	-1	47	0

11	Jul_2_2015	31.38	32.58	32.44	31.67	31.62	32.03	31.81(-1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	90	3	-70	2.84	50%	0.06	-10.1	2.01%	0	-0.9	45	0
12	Jul_1_2015	31.36	32.61	32.64	31.8	31.84	31.61	32.19(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-50	0	-61	3.58	50%	0.06	-10.3	2.01%	0	-0.5	45	0
13	Jun_30_2015	31.34	32.62	32.73	32	32.08	31.21	30.9(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-57	-180	-51	-76	5.13	50%	0.03	-4.9	1.94%	0	-1.8	39	0
14	Jun_29_2015	31.33	32.69	32.97	32.62	32.67	32.07	30.58(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-46	-120	-51	-32	6.63	50%	0.03	15.8	2%	0	-2.4	48	0
15	Jun_26_2015	31.32	32.76	33.2	33.26	33.35	32.94	32.87(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-80	-15	27	2.08	56%	0.1	36.1	1.79%	0	0.1	61	0

16	Jun_25_2015	31.29	32.76	33.23	33.3	33.61	33.28	32.48(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	-40	-25	35	2.82	52%	0.13	32.2	1.79%	0	-0.3	55	0
17	Jun_24_2015	31.25	32.7	33.23	33.59	33.71	33.76	33.15(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	20	-4	75	3.42	54%	0.16	40.6	1.85%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Jun_23_2015	31.2	32.67	33.33	33.56	33.73	33.95	34.03(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	60	17	91	2.38	57%	0.22	35.1	1.84%	0	1.7	60	0
19	Jun_22_2015	31.13	32.55	33.1	33.38	33.52	33.65	33.77(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	40	16	81	2.87	57%	0.23	25.7	1.85%	0	1.6	62	0
20	Jun_19_2015	31.06	32.48	32.88	33.15	33.25	33.51	33.08(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	60	7	62	2.59	58%	0.19	21.7	1.88%	0	0.9	60	0

21	Jun_18_2015	31	32.45	32.78	33.14	33.02	33.38	33.93(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	70	16	72	4.18	61%	0.23	22.4	1.87%	0	2.2	67	0
22	Jun_17_2015	30.93	32.45	32.55	33.04	32.89	32.99	33(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	10	7	57	3.76	58%	0.16	30.3	1.86%	0	1	54	0
23	Jun_16_2015	30.88	32.39	32.49	33.07	32.94	32.67	33.15(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-70	7	59	2.76	61%	0.13	44.1	1.86%	0	1.2	54	0
24	Jun_15_2015	30.84	32.36	32.36	32.78	32.88	32.78	32.6(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10	-0	42	3.34	61%	0.13	39.1	1.89%	0	0.4	57	0
25	Jun_12_2015	30.8	32.33	32.28	32.55	32.66	33.21	33.04(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	130	17	30	2.15	65%		27.9	1.9%	0	1.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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