Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $27.4407 (2.38%) ($26.4336 - $27.5715) on Thu. Jan. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $27.4407(2.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VYM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $28.74
5 Day Moving Average   $28.07(-2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.94(-1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.74(-4.52%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.31% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.04%(43%) Average negative next day return: -2.43%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.79%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -3.29%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.96%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.54%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2015	28.01	28.74	27.94	28.07	27.98	27.41	27.44(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-150	-24	-46	6.69	48%	0.04	-81.7	3.02%	0	-1	35	0
2	Jan_28_2015	28	28.98	27.97	28.46	28.46	28	26.8(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-110	-15	-39	7.46	50%	0.04	-66.9	3%	0	-1.6	40	0
3	Jan_27_2015	27.99	29.26	28.18	28.62	28.69	28.54	28.26(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-30	-0	-26	5.82	53%	0.04	-54.7	2.95%	0	-0.7	50	0
4	Jan_26_2015	27.98	29.46	28.25	28.45	28.47	28.93	29.13(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	120	11	-34	2.92	55%	0.11	-49.8	2.92%	0	-0.2	48	0
5	Jan_23_2015	27.95	29.61	28.28	28.17	28.2	28.84	28.7(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	160	28	-49	4.76	56%	0.07	-44	2.93%	0	-0.5	39	0

6	Jan_22_2015	27.93	29.78	28.46	27.8	27.71	28.01	29.43(6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	70	20	-72	8.08	56%	0.11	-37.3	2.92%	0	-0.2	42	0
7	Jan_21_2015	27.9	29.9	28.44	27.45	27.36	27.55	27.56(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	40	-4	-118	4.32	55%	0.04	-32.4	2.82%	0	-1.2	29	0
8	Jan_20_2015	27.89	30.1	28.55	27.7	27.38	27.42	27.42(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-20	-8	-133	5.78	55%	0.04	-23.7	2.9%	0	-1.4	28	0
9	Jan_16_2015	27.88	30.3	28.78	28.03	27.74	27.18	27.75(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-170	-18	-142	7.6	57%	0.07	-19.2	2.9%	0	-1.4	31	0
10	Jan_15_2015	27.86	30.41	29.14	28.42	28.29	27.34	26.82(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-250	-43	-145	8.31	52%	0	-17.2	2.88%	0	-2.1	25	0

11	Jan_14_2015	27.86	30.48	29.61	29.21	29.04	28.31	27.71(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-190	-32	-118	10.27	54%	0.04	-17.8	2.92%	0	-1.8	27	0
12	Jan_13_2015	27.85	30.53	30.08	29.56	29.8	29.23	28.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-110	-9	-95	7.24	55%	0.11	-21.6	2.87%	0	-1.1	34	0
13	Jan_12_2015	27.82	30.56	30.46	29.51	29.83	29.77	29.05(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	20	-13	-92	5.04	55%	0.14	-29.6	2.89%	0	-1	40	0
14	Jan_9_2015	27.78	30.66	30.78	29.64	29.79	30.37	29.7(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	150	-0	-77	5.3	50%	0.11	-27.8	2.9%	0	-0.6	43	0
15	Jan_8_2015	27.75	30.71	31.05	29.99	29.81	29.9	30.77(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	0	6	-45	5.35	55%	0.22	-22.8	2.96%	0	0	60	0

16	Jan_7_2015	27.69	30.75	31.2	30.11	30.08	29.21	29.49(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-210	-29	-28	6.44	50%	0.18	-16.6	2.97%	0	-0.8	65	0
17	Jan_6_2015	27.64	30.87	31.46	30.72	30.77	29.73	28.52(-3.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-33	-230	-46	8	8.52	48%	0.11	0.6	3.02%	0	-1.5	57	0
18	Jan_5_2015	27.61	31.04	31.78	31.54	31.6	30.95	29.69(-5.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-140	-31	59	6.08	50%	0.22	20.3	2.98%	0	-0.9	57	0
19	Jan_2_2015	27.55	31.1	31.98	32.07	32.15	31.81	31.48(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-70	-14	93	5.27	56%	0.4	33.7	2.92%	0	0.3	54	0
20	Dec_31_2014	27.44	31.07	31.8	32.24	32.38	32.26	31.39(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10	-9	97	4.27	53%	0.29	41.2	2.92%	0	0.2	55	0

21	Dec_30_2014	27.36	31.01	31.46	32.45	32.48	32.48	32.53(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	0	3	87	3.68	56%	0.33	46.5	2.91%	0	1.1	52	0
22	Dec_29_2014	27.27	30.86	31.05	32.33	32.46	32.48	32.61(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	20	7	63	4.16	56%	0.33	45.1	2.91%	0	1.2	52	0
23	Dec_26_2014	27.18	30.74	30.69	32.08	32.26	32.49	32.33(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	70	8	39	2.56	57%	0.52	46.2	2.92%	0	1.2	52	0
24	Dec_24_2014	27.04	30.62	30.52	31.88	31.98	32.43	32.36(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	110	24	38	1.71	55%	0.33	48	2.97%	0	1.3	56	0
25	Dec_23_2014	26.95	30.5	30.31	31.28	31.55	32.04	32.42(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	130	40	21	4.46	54%		40	2.98%	0	1.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.