Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $29.4253 (6.75%) ($27.4703 - $29.5511) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.92% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $29.4253(6.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    VYM(87%)    IWM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.46% (StdDev 2.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.02(-42.16%)
Resistance Level   $29.78
5 Day Moving Average   $27.8(5.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.46(3.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.78(-1.19%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 6.08% (three month std-dev: 2.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.89%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.96%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.18%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	27.93	29.78	28.46	27.8	27.71	28.01	29.43(6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	70	20	-72	8.08	56%	0.11	-37.3	2.92%	0	-0.2	42	0
2	Jan_21_2015	27.9	29.9	28.44	27.45	27.36	27.55	27.56(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	40	-4	-118	4.32	55%	0.04	-32.4	2.82%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	Jan_20_2015	27.89	30.1	28.55	27.7	27.38	27.42	27.42(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-20	-8	-133	5.78	55%	0.04	-23.7	2.9%	0	-1.4	28	0
4	Jan_16_2015	27.88	30.3	28.78	28.03	27.74	27.18	27.75(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-170	-18	-142	7.6	57%	0.07	-19.2	2.9%	0	-1.4	31	0
5	Jan_15_2015	27.86	30.41	29.14	28.42	28.29	27.34	26.82(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-250	-43	-145	8.31	52%	0	-17.2	2.88%	0	-2.1	25	0

6	Jan_14_2015	27.86	30.48	29.61	29.21	29.04	28.31	27.71(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-190	-32	-118	10.27	54%	0.04	-17.8	2.92%	0	-1.8	27	0
7	Jan_13_2015	27.85	30.53	30.08	29.56	29.8	29.23	28.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-110	-9	-95	7.24	55%	0.11	-21.6	2.87%	0	-1.1	34	0
8	Jan_12_2015	27.82	30.56	30.46	29.51	29.83	29.77	29.05(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	20	-13	-92	5.04	55%	0.14	-29.6	2.89%	0	-1	40	0
9	Jan_9_2015	27.78	30.66	30.78	29.64	29.79	30.37	29.7(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	150	-0	-77	5.3	50%	0.11	-27.8	2.9%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	Jan_8_2015	27.75	30.71	31.05	29.99	29.81	29.9	30.77(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	0	6	-45	5.35	55%	0.22	-22.8	2.96%	0	0	60	0

11	Jan_7_2015	27.69	30.75	31.2	30.11	30.08	29.21	29.49(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-210	-29	-28	6.44	50%	0.18	-16.6	2.97%	0	-0.8	65	0
12	Jan_6_2015	27.64	30.87	31.46	30.72	30.77	29.73	28.52(-3.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-33	-230	-46	8	8.52	48%	0.11	0.6	3.02%	0	-1.5	57	0
13	Jan_5_2015	27.61	31.04	31.78	31.54	31.6	30.95	29.69(-5.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-140	-31	59	6.08	50%	0.22	20.3	2.98%	0	-0.9	57	0
14	Jan_2_2015	27.55	31.1	31.98	32.07	32.15	31.81	31.48(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-70	-14	93	5.27	56%	0.4	33.7	2.92%	0	0.3	54	0
15	Dec_31_2014	27.44	31.07	31.8	32.24	32.38	32.26	31.39(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10	-9	97	4.27	53%	0.29	41.2	2.92%	0	0.2	55	0

16	Dec_30_2014	27.36	31.01	31.46	32.45	32.48	32.48	32.53(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	0	3	87	3.68	56%	0.33	46.5	2.91%	0	1.1	52	0
17	Dec_29_2014	27.27	30.86	31.05	32.33	32.46	32.48	32.61(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	20	7	63	4.16	56%	0.33	45.1	2.91%	0	1.2	52	0
18	Dec_26_2014	27.18	30.74	30.69	32.08	32.26	32.49	32.33(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	70	8	39	2.56	57%	0.52	46.2	2.92%	0	1.2	52	0
19	Dec_24_2014	27.04	30.62	30.52	31.88	31.98	32.43	32.36(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	110	24	38	1.71	55%	0.33	48	2.97%	0	1.3	56	0
20	Dec_23_2014	26.95	30.5	30.31	31.28	31.55	32.04	32.42(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	130	40	21	4.46	54%	0.34	40	2.98%	0	1.5	57	0

21	Dec_22_2014	26.86	30.37	30.2	30.3	30.61	31.53	31.93(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	23	240	33	-9	4.32	52%	0.34	23.4	2.99%	0	1.3	57	0
22	Dec_19_2014	26.77	30.24	30.2	29.57	29.69	31.07	31.36(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	25	340	40	-20	5.69	52%	0.3	8.9	3%	0	1	59	0
23	Dec_18_2014	26.69	30.13	30.16	29.1	29.06	29.7	31.32(6.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	13	150	28	-34	8.42	54%	0.23	-3.2	3.01%	0	1.1	55	0
24	Dec_17_2014	26.63	30.13	30.1	29.01	28.79	28.31	29.36(6.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-140	-13	-52	6.51	50%	0.19	-6.8	2.91%	0	-0.6	48	0
25	Dec_16_2014	26.58	30.01	30.24	29.23	29.39	28.41	27.53(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-47	-220	-44	-54	8.45	47%		-1.9	2.8%	0	-2.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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