Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $31.9306 (1.83%) ($31.3358 - $32.0170) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.99% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $31.9306(1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    VYM(87%)    IWM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.495% (StdDev 2.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.3(5.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.2(5.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.37(5.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   44.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.85% (three month std-dev: 2.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.03%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	26.86	30.37	30.2	30.3	30.61	31.53	31.93(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	23	240	33	-9	4.32	52%	0.34	23.4	2.99%	0	1.3	57	0
2	Dec_19_2014	26.77	30.24	30.2	29.57	29.69	31.07	31.36(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	25	340	40	-20	5.69	52%	0.3	8.9	3%	0	1	59	0
3	Dec_18_2014	26.69	30.13	30.16	29.1	29.06	29.7	31.32(6.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	13	150	28	-34	8.42	54%	0.23	-3.2	3.01%	0	1.1	55	0
4	Dec_17_2014	26.63	30.13	30.1	29.01	28.79	28.31	29.36(6.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-140	-13	-52	6.51	50%	0.19	-6.8	2.91%	0	-0.6	48	0
5	Dec_16_2014	26.58	30.01	30.24	29.23	29.39	28.41	27.53(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-47	-220	-44	-54	8.45	47%	0.08	-1.9	2.8%	0	-2.2	38	0

6	Dec_15_2014	26.56	30.1	30.55	30.08	30.15	29.26	28.3(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-37	-200	-43	-19	9.81	47%	0.15	18.7	2.78%	0	-1.8	42	0
7	Dec_12_2014	26.52	30.14	30.71	30.81	30.75	30.37	29(-5.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-19	-90	-30	16	8.22	47%	0.11	40	2.76%	0	-1.2	50	0
8	Dec_11_2014	26.49	30.16	30.86	31.33	31.29	31.03	30.84(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-60	-3	59	3.53	50%	0.23	57.1	2.65%	0	0.7	68	0
9	Dec_10_2014	26.43	30.08	30.8	31.34	31.39	31.14	30.49(-4.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-50	-8	66	5.58	50%	0.19	58.8	2.65%	0	0.4	66	0
10	Dec_9_2014	26.38	30.03	30.76	31.39	31.31	31.55	31.78(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	50	8	84	6.05	51%	0.27	64.9	2.59%	0	1.8	79	0

11	Dec_8_2014	26.31	29.91	30.58	31.09	31.14	31.64	31.92(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	43	120	28	88	9.12	51%	0.27	69.7	2.62%	0	2.4	82	0
12	Dec_5_2014	26.24	29.77	30.33	30.62	30.67	31.07	31.62(2.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	33	100	20	71	7.44	51%	0.27	71.5	2.62%	0	2.6	81	0
13	Dec_4_2014	26.17	29.63	30.07	30.34	30.24	30.63	30.87(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	80	12	56	4.61	51%	0.19	74.4	2.6%	0	2.1	71	0
14	Dec_3_2014	26.12	29.54	29.88	30.2	30.14	30.27	30.74(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	20	13	50	3.93	51%	0.23	101.1	2.6%	0	2.3	68	0
15	Dec_2_2014	26.06	29.42	29.72	30.05	30.03	29.86	30.29(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-40	-2	37	4.58	51%	0.19	119.8	2.6%	0	1.8	62	0

16	Dec_1_2014	26.01	29.33	29.58	29.99	30.04	30.02	29.57(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	0	-3	30	4.87	51%	0.19	142.9	2.59%	0	0.5	49	0
17	Nov_28_2014	25.96	29.26	29.52	29.97	30.08	30.2	30.23(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	40	11	34	2.57	51%	0.27	151.3	2.57%	0	1.7	67	0
18	Nov_26_2014	25.89	29.2	29.41	29.74	29.91	30.06	30.15(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	50	12	24	2.23	51%	0.19	129.2	2.56%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Nov_25_2014	25.84	29.02	29.31	29.51	29.6	29.96	29.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	90	12	16	4.61	52%	0.19	113.1	2.56%	0	1	66	0
20	Nov_24_2014	25.79	28.85	29.24	29.34	29.33	29.76	30(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	100	18	18	5.23	52%	0.16	95.7	2.57%	0	1	74	0

21	Nov_21_2014	25.75	28.63	29.19	29.12	29.13	29.24	29.49(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	12	14	8.67	54%	0.16	88.2	2.57%	0	0.7	71	0
22	Nov_20_2014	25.71	28.44	29.16	29	28.92	28.91	29.06(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10	-3	11	2.88	54%	0.16	83	2.58%	0	0.4	71	0
23	Nov_19_2014	25.67	28.24	29.17	29.03	28.97	29.02	29.01(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	10	-0	13	4.93	54%	0.16	81	2.59%	0	0.5	48	0
24	Nov_18_2014	25.63	28.01	29.18	29.08	29.03	28.94	29.15(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-30	-1	35	2.61	54%	0.2	83.2	2.58%	0	0.6	74	0
25	Nov_17_2014	25.58	27.8	29.11	29.13	29.05	28.92	28.91(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-40	-9	51	3.14	54%		80.6	2.6%	0	0.5	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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