Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $30.0028 (1.75%) ($29.7042 - $30.1139) on Mon. Nov. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $30.0028(1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VT(83%)    XLI(82%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.34(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.24(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.85(4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2014	25.79	28.85	29.24	29.34	29.33	29.76	30(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	100	18	18	5.23	52%	0.16	95.7	2.57%	0	1	74	0
2	Nov_21_2014	25.75	28.63	29.19	29.12	29.13	29.24	29.49(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	12	14	8.67	54%	0.16	88.2	2.57%	0	0.7	71	0
3	Nov_20_2014	25.71	28.44	29.16	29	28.92	28.91	29.06(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10	-3	11	2.88	54%	0.16	83	2.58%	0	0.4	71	0
4	Nov_19_2014	25.67	28.24	29.17	29.03	28.97	29.02	29.01(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	10	-0	13	4.93	54%	0.16	81	2.59%	0	0.5	48	0
5	Nov_18_2014	25.63	28.01	29.18	29.08	29.03	28.94	29.15(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-30	-1	35	2.61	54%	0.2	83.2	2.58%	0	0.6	74	0

6	Nov_17_2014	25.58	27.8	29.11	29.13	29.05	28.92	28.91(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-40	-9	51	3.14	54%	0.16	80.6	2.6%	0	0.5	74	0
7	Nov_14_2014	25.54	27.54	29.07	29.26	29.22	29.13	28.88(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-30	-4	83	2.95	54%	0.2	77.9	2.61%	0	0.6	77	0
8	Nov_13_2014	25.49	27.25	29.07	29.33	29.31	29.17	29.18(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-40	-2	110	3.32	54%	0.16	71.5	2.61%	0	0.8	80	0
9	Nov_12_2014	25.45	26.92	29	29.32	29.28	29.31	29.27(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	0	-1	148	3.37	54%	0.2	64.4	2.61%	0	0.9	83	0
10	Nov_11_2014	25.4	26.57	28.73	29.28	29.25	29.44	29.39(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	40	10	174	3.48	54%	0.2	57.5	2.61%	0	1.1	85	0

11	Nov_10_2014	25.35	26.26	28.44	29.09	29.12	29.25	29.6(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	30	13	185	3.84	54%	0.16	54.1	2.61%	0	1.3	80	0
12	Nov_7_2014	25.31	25.92	28.04	28.85	28.82	29.06	29.19(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	60	10	195	5.43	54%	0.2	48.1	2.62%	0	1.3	83	0
13	Nov_6_2014	25.26	25.63	27.67	28.85	28.62	28.98	29.15(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	90	11	212	4.52	54%	0.2	43.6	2.63%	0	1.5	84	0
14	Nov_5_2014	25.21	25.36	27.24	28.63	28.36	28.58	29.08(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	77	30	20	248	5.45	54%	0.16	45.9	2.63%	0	1.7	85	0
15	Nov_4_2014	25.17	25.16	26.75	28.1	28.43	28.26	28.45(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	76	-10	20	245	4.48	54%	0.2	44.5	2.65%	0	1.6	85	0

16	Nov_3_2014	25.12	24.93	26.38	27.67	27.95	28.13	28.39(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	80	14	240	5.06	54%	0.2	38.8	2.66%	0	1.8	74	0
17	Oct_31_2014	25.07	24.77	25.88	27.09	27.37	28.6	28.08(-3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	86	350	38	230	7.83	54%	0.16	33.1	2.68%	0	1.9	74	0
18	Oct_30_2014	25.03	24.62	25.36	26.55	26.7	27.76	29.18(10.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	102	290	66	210	3.31	56%	0.2	26.7	2.73%	0	2.8	74	0
19	Oct_29_2014	24.98	24.37	24.65	25.67	25.65	26.14	26.41(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	130	30	154	8.43	50%	0.04	13.1	2.41%	0	1.6	62	0
20	Oct_28_2014	24.97	24.27	24.22	25.21	25.29	25.63	26.29(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	100	25	94	6.62	50%	0.08	-3.5	2.42%	0	1.7	51	0

21	Oct_27_2014	24.95	24.21	23.89	24.89	24.92	25.16	25.52(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	70	22	66	5.36	47%	0.04	-13.4	2.39%	0	1.1	55	0
22	Oct_24_2014	24.94	24.19	23.61	24.47	24.65	24.96	25.35(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	110	29	18	6.13	47%	0.04	-27.2	2.4%	0	1	48	0
23	Oct_23_2014	24.93	24.2	23.41	23.98	24.16	24.67	24.77(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	16	170	32	-31	9.58	47%	0.04	-44.2	2.39%	0	0.5	45	0
24	Oct_22_2014	24.92	24.21	23.31	23.46	23.66	24.35	24.12(-2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	230	39	-66	7.48	45%	0.04	-60.9	2.37%	0	-0.1	48	0
25	Oct_21_2014	24.91	24.31	23.42	23.05	22.96	23.65	24.68(5.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	200	33	-85	13.09	45%		-69.3	2.35%	0	0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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