Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $24.0714 (-5.7%) ($24.0294 - $25.5055) on Thu. Oct. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $24.0714(-5.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VT(83%)    XLI(82%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-31%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    GLD(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.76(-22.07%)
Resistance Level   $25.7
5 Day Moving Average   $25.03(-3.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.1(-4.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.7(-6.34%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.95%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.44%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.88%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2014	24.91	25.7	25.1	25.03	25.04	24.82	24.07(-5.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-60	-7	-62	15.6	45%	0.08	-41.7	2.18%	0	-1.9	35	0
2	Oct_8_2014	24.89	25.82	25.21	25.15	25.22	24.84	25.53(5.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-100	-2	-79	10.57	51%	0.16	-43	2.06%	0	-0.4	39	0
3	Oct_7_2014	24.85	25.86	25.28	24.96	25.14	25.27	24.29(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	60	-18	-106	10.21	44%	-0.32	-51.7	1.98%	0	-2	36	0
4	Oct_6_2014	24.93	25.95	25.45	25.19	25.17	25.6	25.59(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	120	17	-89	8.33	51%	0.16	-52.6	1.89%	0	-0.5	45	0
5	Oct_3_2014	24.89	26	25.52	25.18	25.12	25	25.67(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-18	-40	7	-91	7.58	51%	0.2	-51.7	1.9%	0	-0.5	48	0

6	Oct_2_2014	24.84	26.05	25.65	25.2	25.09	24.73	24.69(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-110	-21	-95	8.87	44%	0.08	-46.5	1.85%	0	-1.9	40	0
7	Oct_1_2014	24.82	26.15	25.91	25.29	25.34	25.23	24.58(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-20	-23	-80	10.35	44%	0.08	-46.9	1.85%	0	-2.5	38	0
8	Sep_30_2014	24.8	26.26	26.13	25.64	25.52	25.23	25.42(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-40	-6	-47	5.25	50%	0.12	-38.1	1.82%	0	-1.6	44	0
9	Sep_29_2014	24.77	26.32	26.24	25.73	25.66	25.44	25.53(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-70	-16	-41	6.44	50%	0.12	-32.1	1.82%	0	-1.6	48	0
10	Sep_26_2014	24.74	26.37	26.3	25.92	25.87	25.59	25.78(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-80	-24	-39	6.18	50%	0.16	-18	1.81%	0	-1.3	43	0

11	Sep_25_2014	24.7	26.39	26.35	26.18	26.16	25.88	25.13(-4.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-33	-80	-34	-31	10.4	44%	0.12	-2.3	1.79%	0	-2.7	38	0
12	Sep_24_2014	24.67	26.39	26.35	26.63	26.6	26.16	26.33(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-120	-16	6	4.82	56%	0.2	47	1.69%	0	-0.4	48	0
13	Sep_23_2014	24.62	26.46	26.49	26.7	26.85	26.44	25.89(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-17	-90	-24	5	7.55	51%	0.16	72	1.7%	0	-1.6	43	0
14	Sep_22_2014	24.58	26.49	26.51	26.8	26.97	27.04	26.46(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	40	-1	15	6.26	60%	0.16	104.8	1.68%	0	-0.1	48	0
15	Sep_19_2014	24.54	26.45	26.53	26.73	26.85	27.26	27.09(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	25	120	25	25	8.54	73%	0.2	107.9	1.65%	0	1.7	60	0

16	Sep_18_2014	24.49	26.4	26.49	26.54	26.53	26.9	27.37(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	25	100	27	19	7.62	73%	0.25	120.3	1.65%	0	2.8	68	0
17	Sep_17_2014	24.43	26.29	26.39	26.35	26.31	26.43	26.68(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	30	14	2	7.85	64%	0.21	121.8	1.63%	0	1.1	55	0
18	Sep_16_2014	24.38	26.21	26.38	26.27	26.2	26.17	26.41(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-20	4	-7	5.19	64%	0.21	109.8	1.66%	0	0.5	49	0
19	Sep_15_2014	24.33	26.15	26.4	26.18	26.18	26.18	26.1(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	0	-8	-13	5.69	64%	0.16	101	1.66%	0	-0.1	49	0
20	Sep_12_2014	24.29	26.06	26.43	26.31	26.22	26.22	26.15(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10	-6	4	4.56	64%	0.16	88.3	1.66%	0	0.1	59	0

21	Sep_11_2014	24.25	25.98	26.43	26.42	26.33	26.19	26.41(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-50	-3	15	3.77	64%	0.17	94.1	1.67%	0	0.6	57	0
22	Sep_10_2014	24.21	25.87	26.42	26.45	26.4	26.21	26.28(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-60	-13	26	4.2	64%	0.17	91.4	1.69%	0	0.5	65	0
23	Sep_9_2014	24.17	25.75	26.44	26.51	26.52	26.47	25.99(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10	-12	50	5.39	64%	0.21	86.3	1.68%	0	0.2	65	0
24	Sep_8_2014	24.12	25.64	26.47	26.64	26.64	26.59	26.72(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10	5	87	4.6	100%	0.08	83.1	1.65%	0	1	78	0
25	Sep_5_2014	24.1	25.48	26.38	26.56	26.6	26.56	26.7(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10	3	102	5.21	100%		79.1	1.66%	0	1.1	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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