Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jul. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $25.5845 (1.91%) ($25.3772 - $25.6363) on Sat. Jul. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.54% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $25.5845(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -3.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.77% (StdDev 7.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.01(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.83(3.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.62(3.92%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 7.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(59%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(41%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.53%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2014	22.88	24.62	24.83	25.01	25.08	25.34	25.58(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	80	5	14	4.45	52%	0.22	89.5	7.54%	0	2.3	71	0
2	Jul_2_2014	22.83	24.55	24.72	24.77	24.8	25.1	25.11(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	90	4	12	4.3	52%	0.18	87.7	7.54%	0	1.3	67	0
3	Jul_1_2014	22.79	24.47	24.68	24.66	24.6	24.82	25.13(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	60	4	11	7.67	52%	0.18	81.4	7.54%	0	1.4	59	0
4	Jun_30_2014	22.75	24.39	24.6	24.53	24.45	24.51	24.67(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	10	0	6	5.25	53%	0.22	72.1	7.49%	0	0.6	47	0
5	Jun_27_2014	22.7	24.32	24.51	24.58	24.47	24.38	24.58(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-40	-1	3	5.88	53%	0.09	75.2	7.49%	0	0.5	45	0

6	Jun_26_2014	22.68	24.25	24.45	24.62	24.57	24.39	24.38(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-60	-2	1	10.5	52%	0.04	79.4	7.49%	0	0.2	46	0
7	Jun_25_2014	22.67	24.19	24.42	24.66	24.68	24.56	24.56(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-30	-2	1	6.44	52%	0.09	82.1	7.5%	0	0.6	55	0
8	Jun_24_2014	22.65	24.11	24.4	24.69	24.73	24.76	24.43(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	10	0	5	9.68	52%	0.09	89.9	7.5%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Jun_23_2014	22.63	24.04	24.43	24.67	24.67	24.8	24.94(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	40	4	11	5.43	52%	0.13	29.2	7.5%	0	1.3	70	0
10	Jun_20_2014	22.6	23.91	24.41	24.42	24.46	24.7	24.79(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	70	4	11	7.23	53%	0.09	23.2	7.5%	0	1.2	70	0

11	Jun_19_2014	22.58	23.79	24.39	24.26	24.2	24.54	24.59(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	90	4	13	6.99	53%	0.09	19.4	7.51%	0	1	70	0
12	Jun_18_2014	22.56	23.66	24.35	24.13	24.04	24.21	24.71(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	40	3	14	9.11	53%	0.13	13.3	7.51%	0	1.2	73	0
13	Jun_17_2014	22.53	23.5	24.24	24.07	23.96	23.85	24.32(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-50	-2	14	8.59	54%	0.09	4.7	7.51%	0	0.9	72	0
14	Jun_16_2014	22.51	23.83	24.15	24.17	24.06	23.87	23.69(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-70	-5	16	7.28	54%	0.04	23.8	7.51%	0	-0.1	63	0
15	Jun_13_2014	22.5	23.74	24.12	24.4	24.31	24.07	23.97(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-80	-4	24	10.14	53%	0.09	25.4	7.51%	0	0.1	74	0

16	Jun_12_2014	22.48	23.63	24.05	24.54	24.51	24.26	23.98(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-80	-3	31	16.61	53%	0.04	25.6	7.53%	0	0.2	77	0
17	Jun_11_2014	22.47	23.54	23.96	24.59	24.6	24.56	24.38(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10	1	38	10.55	53%	0.13	26.4	7.52%	0	0.4	85	0
18	Jun_10_2014	22.44	23.46	23.81	24.43	24.47	24.76	24.83(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	90	6	42	6.75	53%	0.09	27.5	7.52%	0	0.6	95	0
19	Jun_9_2014	22.42	23.35	23.62	24.12	24.12	24.63	24.86(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	150	8	9	9.7	53%	0.13	25.5	7.52%	0	0.7	28	0
20	Jun_6_2014	22.39	23.21	23.37	23.81	23.72	24.17	24.66(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	120	8	6	10.47	53%	0.13	21.4	7.52%	0	0.7	65	0

21	Jun_5_2014	22.36	23.08	23.12	23.5	23.4	23.62	24.21(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	50	6	1	11.74	53%	0.13	17.5	7.52%	0	0.5	64	0
22	Jun_4_2014	22.33	22.98	22.89	23.25	23.18	23.27	23.57(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	3	-6	6.53	55%	0.04	14.3	7.52%	0	0.3	62	0
23	Jun_3_2014	22.32	22.87	22.69	23.11	23.07	23.18	23.32(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	30	2	-13	6.76	54%	0.04	11.1	7.54%	0	0.2	60	0
24	Jun_2_2014	22.31	22.81	23.45	23.05	23	23.09	23.29(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	20	3	14	7.12	54%	0.09	11.8	7.55%	0	0.2	59	0
25	May_30_2014	22.29	22.76	23.3	22.86	22.93	22.97	23.1(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	3	10	7.84	54%		10.9	7.61%	0	0.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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