Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $24.5947 (-0.46%) ($24.3454 - $24.7749) on Thu. Jun. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.51% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $24.5947(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VT(83%)    XLI(82%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -3.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-31%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.755% (StdDev 7.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.26(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.39(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.79(3.38%)
To recent high   -23%
To recent low   21.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 7.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.6%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.96%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2014	22.58	23.79	24.39	24.26	24.2	24.54	24.59(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	90	4	13	6.99	53%	0.09	19.4	7.51%	0	1	70	0
2	Jun_18_2014	22.56	23.66	24.35	24.13	24.04	24.21	24.71(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	40	3	14	9.11	53%	0.13	13.3	7.51%	0	1.2	73	0
3	Jun_17_2014	22.53	23.5	24.24	24.07	23.96	23.85	24.32(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-50	-2	14	8.59	54%	0.09	4.7	7.51%	0	0.9	72	0
4	Jun_16_2014	22.51	23.83	24.15	24.17	24.06	23.87	23.69(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-70	-5	16	7.28	54%	0.04	23.8	7.51%	0	-0.1	63	0
5	Jun_13_2014	22.5	23.74	24.12	24.4	24.31	24.07	23.97(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-80	-4	24	10.14	53%	0.09	25.4	7.51%	0	0.1	74	0

6	Jun_12_2014	22.48	23.63	24.05	24.54	24.51	24.26	23.98(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-80	-3	31	16.61	53%	0.04	25.6	7.53%	0	0.2	77	0
7	Jun_11_2014	22.47	23.54	23.96	24.59	24.6	24.56	24.38(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10	1	38	10.55	53%	0.13	26.4	7.52%	0	0.4	85	0
8	Jun_10_2014	22.44	23.46	23.81	24.43	24.47	24.76	24.83(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	90	6	42	6.75	53%	0.09	27.5	7.52%	0	0.6	95	0
9	Jun_9_2014	22.42	23.35	23.62	24.12	24.12	24.63	24.86(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	150	8	9	9.7	53%	0.13	25.5	7.52%	0	0.7	28	0
10	Jun_6_2014	22.39	23.21	23.37	23.81	23.72	24.17	24.66(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	120	8	6	10.47	53%	0.13	21.4	7.52%	0	0.7	65	0

11	Jun_5_2014	22.36	23.08	23.12	23.5	23.4	23.62	24.21(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	50	6	1	11.74	53%	0.13	17.5	7.52%	0	0.5	64	0
12	Jun_4_2014	22.33	22.98	22.89	23.25	23.18	23.27	23.57(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	3	-6	6.53	55%	0.04	14.3	7.52%	0	0.3	62	0
13	Jun_3_2014	22.32	22.87	22.69	23.11	23.07	23.18	23.32(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	30	2	-13	6.76	54%	0.04	11.1	7.54%	0	0.2	60	0
14	Jun_2_2014	22.31	22.81	23.45	23.05	23	23.09	23.29(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	20	3	14	7.12	54%	0.09	11.8	7.55%	0	0.2	59	0
15	May_30_2014	22.29	22.76	23.3	22.86	22.93	22.97	23.1(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	3	10	7.84	54%	0.04	10.9	7.61%	0	0.2	60	0

16	May_29_2014	22.28	22.72	23.17	22.67	22.74	22.9	22.99(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	60	3	4	5.76	54%	0.04	8.4	7.67%	0	0.1	60	0
17	May_28_2014	22.27	22.67	23.1	22.47	22.53	22.89	22.83(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	120	6	2	6.38	54%	0	5.3	7.73%	0	0.1	60	0
18	May_27_2014	22.27	22.63	23.09	22.2	22.28	22.58	23.01(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	110	-15	-7	10.47	54%	0.04	1.1	7.73%	0	0.2	62	0
19	May_23_2014	22.26	22.55	23.07	23.99	21.97	22.17	22.39(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-190	-6	34	7.69	54%	0	23.9	7.55%	0	-0.1	59	0
20	May_22_2014	22.26	22.52	23.06	23.83	24.36	21.97	22.16(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	-620	3	35	5.78	54%	0	21.6	7.61%	0	-0.2	58	0

21	May_21_2014	22.26	22.53	23.08	23.7	24.22	21.78	21.96(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-640	-33	18	8.65	54%	0	21.3	7.67%	0	-0.3	57	0
22	May_20_2014	22.26	22.56	23.12	23.74	24.16	26.76	21.51(-32.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	810	-3	31	8.66	54%	-0.04	24.7	7.67%	0	-0.5	57	0
23	May_19_2014	22.27	22.6	23.13	23.97	24.34	26.66	31.92(47.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.7	75	710	76	73	9.12	68%	0.63	31.6	6.4%	0	4.4	83	0
24	May_16_2014	22.13	22.05	22.05	22.14	22.06	21.56	21.6(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-170	-18	1	9.62	47%	-0.05	57.6	2.23%	0	-1.2	55	0
25	May_15_2014	22.14	22.07	22.12	22.25	22.34	22.02	21.51(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-11	-90	-19	15	15.93	47%		79.1	2.24%	0	-1.5	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.