Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $24.2096 (2.73%) ($23.3852 - $24.2195) on Thu. Jun. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.52% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $24.2096(2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VT(83%)    XLI(82%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -3.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-31%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.76% (StdDev 7.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.5(3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.12(4.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.08(4.89%)
To recent high   -24.2%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 9.32% (three month std-dev: 7.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2014	22.36	23.08	23.12	23.5	23.4	23.62	24.21(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	50	6	1	11.74	53%	0.13	17.5	7.52%	0	0.5	64	0
2	Jun_4_2014	22.33	22.98	22.89	23.25	23.18	23.27	23.57(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	3	-6	6.53	55%	0.04	14.3	7.52%	0	0.3	62	0
3	Jun_3_2014	22.32	22.87	22.69	23.11	23.07	23.18	23.32(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	30	2	-13	6.76	54%	0.04	11.1	7.54%	0	0.2	60	0
4	Jun_2_2014	22.31	22.81	23.45	23.05	23	23.09	23.29(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	20	3	14	7.12	54%	0.09	11.8	7.55%	0	0.2	59	0
5	May_30_2014	22.29	22.76	23.3	22.86	22.93	22.97	23.1(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	3	10	7.84	54%	0.04	10.9	7.61%	0	0.2	60	0

6	May_29_2014	22.28	22.72	23.17	22.67	22.74	22.9	22.99(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	60	3	4	5.76	54%	0.04	8.4	7.67%	0	0.1	60	0
7	May_28_2014	22.27	22.67	23.1	22.47	22.53	22.89	22.83(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	120	6	2	6.38	54%	0	5.3	7.73%	0	0.1	60	0
8	May_27_2014	22.27	22.63	23.09	22.2	22.28	22.58	23.01(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	110	-15	-7	10.47	54%	0.04	1.1	7.73%	0	0.2	62	0
9	May_23_2014	22.26	22.55	23.07	23.99	21.97	22.17	22.39(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-190	-6	34	7.69	54%	0	23.9	7.55%	0	-0.1	59	0
10	May_22_2014	22.26	22.52	23.06	23.83	24.36	21.97	22.16(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	-620	3	35	5.78	54%	0	21.6	7.61%	0	-0.2	58	0

11	May_21_2014	22.26	22.53	23.08	23.7	24.22	21.78	21.96(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-640	-33	18	8.65	54%	0	21.3	7.67%	0	-0.3	57	0
12	May_20_2014	22.26	22.56	23.12	23.74	24.16	26.76	21.51(-32.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	810	-3	31	8.66	54%	-0.04	24.7	7.67%	0	-0.5	57	0
13	May_19_2014	22.27	22.6	23.13	23.97	24.34	26.66	31.92(47.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.7	75	710	76	73	9.12	68%	0.63	31.6	6.4%	0	4.4	83	0
14	May_16_2014	22.13	22.05	22.05	22.14	22.06	21.56	21.6(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-170	-18	1	9.62	47%	-0.05	57.6	2.23%	0	-1.2	55	0
15	May_15_2014	22.14	22.07	22.12	22.25	22.34	22.02	21.51(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-11	-90	-19	15	15.93	47%	-0.05	79.1	2.24%	0	-1.5	51	0

16	May_14_2014	22.15	22.09	22.12	22.39	22.45	22.57	22.18(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	50	-0	32	6.16	49%	0	87.1	2.23%	0	0.3	48	0
17	May_13_2014	22.15	22.04	22.2	22.37	22.38	22.66	22.66(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	90	23	38	4.99	50%	0.05	68.3	2.21%	0	1.5	52	0
18	May_12_2014	22.14	21.95	22.12	22.09	22.13	22.32	22.77(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	70	13	11	9.16	50%	0.05	32.7	2.21%	0	1.7	54	0
19	May_9_2014	22.13	21.83	21.98	21.96	21.89	22.11	22.14(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	60	4	-7	6.71	50%	0	0.4	2.17%	0	0.6	54	0
20	May_8_2014	22.13	21.77	21.98	21.98	21.84	21.94	22.21(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	5	-7	9.84	50%	0	-18.1	2.19%	0	0.7	54	0

21	May_7_2014	22.13	21.78	21.94	22	21.89	21.67	22.06(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-90	-4	-4	10.36	50%	0	-26.5	2.21%	0	0.5	54	0
22	May_6_2014	22.13	21.77	21.97	22.02	22.01	21.73	21.28(-3.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-10	-90	-15	6	11.43	47%	-0.05	-38.8	2.18%	0	-0.8	54	0
23	May_5_2014	22.14	21.8	22.07	22.14	22.09	22.12	22.09(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	0	3	41	7.44	50%	-0.05	-45.4	2.14%	0	0.5	71	0
24	May_2_2014	22.15	21.82	22.05	22	22.07	22.28	22.28(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	80	14	55	14.43	50%	0.05	-48.6	2.15%	0	0.7	77	0
25	May_1_2014	22.14	21.88	22.01	21.87	21.83	22.07	22.29(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	70	5	53	7.56	50%		-39.5	2.17%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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