Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $21.2402 (2.67%) ($20.3861 - $21.3389) on Tue. Apr. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $21.2402(2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(89%)    SPY(85%)    IWM(83%)    VT(80%)    XLI(79%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    GLD(-7%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.78(-39.83%)
Resistance Level   $22.51
5 Day Moving Average   $21.12(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.88(-2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.51(-5.64%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.62% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.33%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.94%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.98%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.52%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.63%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.4%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2014	22.18	22.51	21.88	21.12	20.94	20.81	21.24(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-70	-3	-113	20.5	48%	-0.09	-38.7	2.28%	0	-1.2	41	0
2	Apr_14_2014	22.2	22.6	22.11	21.25	21.25	20.53	20.69(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-240	-25	-113	15.38	46%	-0.13	-38.6	2.27%	0	-1.9	33	0
3	Apr_11_2014	22.23	22.71	22.38	21.48	21.54	21.07	20.24(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-62	-140	-46	-110	24.91	46%	-0.22	-39.7	2.27%	0	-2.7	29	0
4	Apr_10_2014	22.28	22.81	22.65	21.99	21.99	21.97	20.98(-6.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-10	-27	-83	27.43	49%	-0.13	-40	2.23%	0	-2.5	31	0
5	Apr_9_2014	22.31	22.89	22.81	22.51	22.39	21.97	22.46(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-130	-17	-65	13.78	56%	0.04	-32	2.01%	0	-0.7	38	0

6	Apr_8_2014	22.3	22.92	22.85	22.77	22.74	22.01	21.9(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-46	-230	-41	-59	17.65	54%	-0.04	-20.2	2%	0	-1.7	45	0
7	Apr_7_2014	22.31	22.99	23.01	23.11	23.21	22.77	21.82(-4.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-34	-120	-36	-27	19.17	54%	-0.09	0	2.02%	0	-2.1	43	0
8	Apr_4_2014	22.33	23.07	23.18	23.42	23.54	23.48	22.79(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	4	-0	-2	20	25.05	60%	0.04	35.9	1.92%	0	-0.6	55	0
9	Apr_3_2014	22.32	23.11	23.18	23.38	23.51	23.64	23.59(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	60	16	47	13.23	65%	0.18	49.5	1.84%	0	1	69	0
10	Apr_2_2014	22.28	23.09	23.27	23.15	23.27	23.6	23.73(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	110	20	49	16.25	65%	0.18	53.3	1.86%	0	1.3	66	0

11	Apr_1_2014	22.24	23.04	23.18	22.95	22.98	23.38	23.61(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	130	14	28	17.03	65%	0.18	59.1	1.89%	0	1.2	55	0
12	Mar_31_2014	22.2	22.99	23.1	22.92	22.91	22.95	23.37(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	10	7	21	14.83	65%	0.14	57.5	1.91%	0	0.7	52	0
13	Mar_28_2014	22.17	22.9	23.03	22.94	23.01	22.59	22.61(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-16	-120	-21	1	20.13	62%	0.05	55.3	1.87%	0	-0.5	42	0
14	Mar_27_2014	22.16	22.86	23.03	23.15	23.25	22.88	22.43(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-100	-31	-5	29.8	62%	0.05	65.2	1.9%	0	-0.6	39	0
15	Mar_26_2014	22.15	22.83	22.98	23.4	23.6	23.43	22.75(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-20	-5	13	26.29	62%	0.09	73.1	1.9%	0	-0.1	45	0

16	Mar_25_2014	22.13	22.76	23.01	23.41	23.59	23.62	23.45(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	30	4	19	20.66	68%	0.18	70.7	1.83%	0	0.9	57	0
17	Mar_24_2014	22.09	22.66	22.97	23.3	23.4	23.78	23.47(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	130	18	24	22	68%	0.23	64.7	1.86%	0	1	61	0
18	Mar_21_2014	22.04	22.56	22.96	23.12	23.19	23.55	23.64(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	120	35	43	26.9	68%	0.23	56.2	1.88%	0	1.3	72	0
19	Mar_20_2014	21.99	22.44	22.93	22.79	22.85	23.01	23.69(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	60	22	33	24.9	68%	0.27	43.9	1.91%	0	1.5	66	0
20	Mar_19_2014	21.93	22.3	22.88	22.51	22.58	22.83	22.79(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	90	2	27	26.96	63%	0.14	34.6	1.82%	0	0.6	63	0

21	Mar_18_2014	21.9	22.21	22.89	22.56	22.56	22.68	22.91(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	40	7	55	14.28	63%	0.18	35.8	1.85%	0	0.8	67	0
22	Mar_17_2014	21.86	22.15	22.85	22.6	22.57	22.33	22.58(2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-80	-15	66	17.18	63%	0.14	43.5	1.88%	0	0.5	64	0
23	Mar_14_2014	21.83	22.09	22.85	22.78	22.77	22.45	22(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-100	-28	76	27.8	59%	0.05	55.6	1.86%	0	-0.1	58	0
24	Mar_13_2014	21.82	22.07	22.75	23.08	23.07	22.81	22.28(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-80	-20	117	35.34	59%	0.09	0	1.86%	0	0.2	65	0
25	Mar_12_2014	21.8	22.01	22.69	23.27	23.27	23.09	23.04(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	35	-50	-7	162	16.45	69%		0	1.73%	0	1.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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