Trading Signals: FANG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: FANG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Diamondback Energy, Inc.)
FANG latest price $86.8800 (-1.75%) ($86.5800 - $89.2200) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $86.8800(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FANG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FANG advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FANG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(82%)    OIH(81%)    XLE(79%)    IWN(58%)    USO(56%)
Factors Impacting FANG price   FANG will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    BNDX(-8%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $86(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.17(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.62(6.44%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $13.723b

$. FANG price fluctuates within 4.64% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.44%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.58%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.88%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 2.92%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.69%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2016	79.79	81.62	84.17	86	86.33	87.82	86.88(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	79	130	61	132	0.91	67%	0.28	60.1	1.66%	0	1.4	68	INF
2	Apr_27_2016	79.57	81.12	83.64	85.13	85.24	86.86	88.43(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	108	140	97	140	1.32	71%	0.37	57.8	1.63%	0	2	77	INF
3	Apr_26_2016	79.28	80.62	82.9	84.13	84.11	84.84	86.51(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	80	60	65	124	1.14	69%	0.3	57.4	1.63%	0	1.8	79	INF
4	Apr_25_2016	79.04	80.13	82.41	83.29	83.31	83.61	84.48(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	30	20	122	1.03	66%	0.23	52.7	1.62%	0	1.4	81	INF
5	Apr_22_2016	78.86	79.72	82.02	82.76	83.02	83.38	83.68(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	40	38	143	0.81	66%	0.23	48.1	1.64%	0	1.4	77	INF

6	Apr_21_2016	78.68	79.4	81.74	82.05	82.14	83.02	82.55(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	80	27	140	0.55	66%	0.18	43.3	1.66%	0	1.1	65	INF
7	Apr_20_2016	78.54	79.1	81.41	81.88	81.39	82.66	83.45(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	90	53	157	0.85	66%	0.24	42.2	1.67%	0	1.6	66	INF
8	Apr_19_2016	78.35	78.81	80.75	81.47	81.08	81.26	82.3(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	0	40	134	1.25	66%	0.2	43.1	1.69%	0	1.4	57	INF
9	Apr_18_2016	78.19	78.58	79.95	81.42	80.75	80.13	81.82(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-80	-27	93	0.92	66%	0.19	49.5	1.72%	0	1.4	61	INF
10	Apr_15_2016	78.04	78.35	79.25	81.17	81.21	80.91	80.11(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-20	-19	85	0.78	64%	0.12	0	1.72%	0	0.8	60	INF

11	Apr_14_2016	77.95	78.21	78.93	81.36	81.35	81.38	81.73(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	0	6	101	0.44	69%	0.22	0	1.69%	0	1.6	60	INF
12	Apr_13_2016	77.78	77.97	78.45	80.83	81.24	81.52	81.4(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	40	36	101	0.77	69%	0.22	0	1.73%	0	1.7	62	INF
13	Apr_12_2016	77.61	77.73	78.17	79.89	80.28	81.32	82.05(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	110	61	93	1.06	69%	0.28	0	1.75%	0	2.3	58	INF
14	Apr_11_2016	77.39	77.41	77.64	78.24	78.74	80.96	80.58(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	89	220	97	63	0.79	66%	0.22	0	1.76%	0	1.9	56	INF
15	Apr_8_2016	77.22	77.41	77.21	77.02	76.98	79.25	81.05(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	93	200	109	44	1.36	66%	0.29	0	1.8%	0	52.6	58	INF

16	Apr_7_2016	77	77.41	76.79	76.17	75.74	76.51	79.07(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	52	50	61	24	1.28	62%	0.16	0	1.77%	0	61.8	54	INF
17	Apr_6_2016	76.88	77.41	76.53	75.79	75.44	74.72	76.69(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-23	-80	-27	-11	1.06	56%	-0.03	0	1.67%	0	63.4	49	INF
18	Apr_5_2016	76.9	77.41	76.65	76.26	76.13	74.97	73.8(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-67	-110	-79	-32	1.22	45%	-0.26	0	1.39%	0	59	39	INF
19	Apr_4_2016	77.1	77.41	77.1	76.93	77.23	76.16	74.51(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-43	-90	-50	-20	0.95	45%	-0.25	0	1.42%	0	75.3	47	INF
20	Apr_1_2016	77.29	77.41	77.43	77.32	77.34	77.3	76.77(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-0	-44	-18	1.09	56%	-0.05	0	1.24%	0	105.2	50	INF

21	Mar_31_2016	77.33	77.41	77.43	77.45	77.35	78.31	77.18(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	42	80	49	20	1.13	56%	-0.01	0	1.28%	0	104.3	50	INF
22	Mar_30_2016	77.34	77.41	77.51	77.36	76.91	77.38	79.03(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	50	30	59	24	1.39	69%	0.21	0	1.08%	0	102.6	50	INF
23	Mar_29_2016	77.18	77.41	77.3	77.15	76.59	76.4	77.16(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-40	-20	-8	0.99	59%	-0.01	0	0.9%	0	128.6	50	INF
24	Mar_28_2016	77.19	77.41	77.19	77.33	76.97	76.44	76.46(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-30	-60	-35	-14	0.7	53%	-0.1	0	0.91%	0	121.4	50	INF
25	Mar_24_2016	77.27	77.41	77.19	77.56	77.25	76.78	77.43(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-50	-57	-23	0.84	66%		0	0.83%	0	126.9	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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