Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Expedia Group Inc)
EXPE latest price $110.9148 (-1.6%) ($109.7289 - $112.1978) on Wed. May. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $110.9148(-1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXPE advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXPE advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXPE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(69%)    JETS(67%)    IWM(59%)    IWN(59%)    EWG(56%)
Factors Impacting EXPE price   EXPE will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.68(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.71(2.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.7(4.93%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   25%
Market Cap   $15.663b

Expedia Group, Inc. is an online travel company, which engages in the provision of travel products and services to leisure and corporate travelers. It operates through the following business segments: Core OTA, trivago, HomeAway, and Egencia. The Core OTA segment offers full range of travel and advertising services to worldwide customers through a variety of brands including: Expedia.com and Hotels.com. The trivago segment involves in sending referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from its hotel metasearch websites. The HomeAway segment operates an online marketplace for the vacation rental industry. The Egencia segment manages travel services to corporate customers worldwide. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. EXPE price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(29%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.02%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.6%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2016	106.11	105.7	107.71	110.68	112.14	111.59	110.91(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	9	63	3.23	70%	-0.15	51.9	2.55%	0	1.3	62	INF
2	May_3_2016	106.27	105.28	107.12	109.45	110.69	112.44	112.72(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	140	33	60	2.65	67%	-0.08	42.1	2.57%	0	1.9	69	INF
3	May_2_2016	106.35	104.68	106.26	107.64	108.55	112.69	113.26(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	104	290	113	76	3.59	64%	-0.07	28.1	2.59%	0	2.5	74	INF
4	Apr_29_2016	106.42	104.09	105.62	105.68	106.29	108.93	112.53(8.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	113	190	125	75	8.37	65%	-0.09	12.8	2.62%	0	3	77	INF
5	Apr_28_2016	106.52	103.66	104.89	104.07	104	104.4	103.99(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	20	15	25	6.17	60%	-0.17	-2.4	2.43%	0	0.2	63	INF

6	Apr_27_2016	106.7	103.69	105.07	104.33	103.89	103.65	104.75(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-30	-4	32	3.17	55%	-0.16	-1.4	2.43%	0	0.5	63	INF
7	Apr_26_2016	106.87	103.68	105.01	104.43	104.23	103.61	103.65(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-50	-16	31	1.3	55%	-0.18	-2.4	2.52%	0	-0	53	INF
8	Apr_25_2016	107.06	103.71	104.86	104.61	104.58	104.13	103.45(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-30	-26	31	1.72	55%	-0.18	-7.8	2.52%	0	-0.1	57	INF
9	Apr_22_2016	107.25	103.71	104.5	105.51	104.95	104.86	104.5(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-20	-13	43	1.99	55%	-0.14	-3.3	2.52%	0	0.4	56	INF
10	Apr_21_2016	107.4	103.72	104.1	105.83	105.58	105.03	105.31(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-40	-3	42	1.37	55%	-0.14	-7.1	2.52%	0	0.7	49	INF

11	Apr_20_2016	107.55	103.73	103.65	105.92	105.72	105.04	105.26(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-50	-22	27	1.62	55%	-0.15	-16.3	2.52%	0	0.7	50	INF
12	Apr_19_2016	107.71	103.74	103.39	105.65	105.92	106.12	104.55(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	20	5	31	3.68	57%	-0.15	-33.6	2.52%	0	0.4	49	INF
13	Apr_18_2016	107.87	103.87	103.05	105.07	105.37	106.41	107.92(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	80	47	35	2.3	60%	-0.11	-48.3	2.51%	0	1.7	57	INF
14	Apr_15_2016	107.99	103.79	102.42	103.31	103.73	105.73	106.1(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	150	55	12	2.25	56%	-0.02	-78.8	2.52%	0	1	56	INF
15	Apr_14_2016	108.01	103.87	102.26	102.11	102.25	104.34	105.77(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	56	150	73	5	3.08	56%	-0.14	-84.2	2.59%	0	0.8	51	INF

16	Apr_13_2016	108.16	104.09	102.09	101.09	100.96	101.73	103.93(2.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	21	50	36	-25	2.3	52%	-0.13	-70.1	2.58%	0	-0.1	43	INF
17	Apr_12_2016	108.3	104.5	102.13	100.86	100.6	100.17	101.64(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-40	-5	-47	1.89	52%	-0.19	-47.3	2.64%	0	-0.8	36	INF
18	Apr_11_2016	108.51	105.04	102.38	100.76	101.08	100.19	99.11(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	-50	-24	-63	1.68	52%	-0.22	-31.5	2.62%	0	-1.5	21	INF
19	Apr_8_2016	108.75	105.68	102.86	101.37	101.39	101.03	100.09(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-20	-34	-68	2.27	50%	-0.24	-20.4	2.62%	0	-1.5	27	INF
20	Apr_7_2016	109.01	106.02	103.33	102.39	102.13	101.96	100.67(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-20	-10	-53	2.14	48%	-0.2	-12.6	2.65%	0	-1.5	25	INF

21	Apr_6_2016	109.23	106.02	103.87	103.22	102.86	101.75	102.78(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-90	-19	-57	2.18	48%	-0.14	-7.7	2.67%	0	-1	23	INF
22	Apr_5_2016	109.38	106.17	104.17	103.62	103.42	102.29	101.14(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-80	-47	-78	3.83	48%	-0.16	-8.2	2.66%	0	-1.4	14	INF
23	Apr_4_2016	109.56	106.28	104.84	104.24	104.44	103.96	102.2(-2.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-30	-14	-69	3.44	46%	-0.18	-1.9	2.66%	0	-1.2	14	INF
24	Apr_1_2016	109.76	106.46	105.34	104.52	104.48	104.56	105.17(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	0	-5	-71	2.49	48%	-0.18	4.5	2.66%	0	-0.4	26	INF
25	Mar_31_2016	109.96	106.48	105.63	104.42	104.37	104.91	104.8(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	30	8	-65	2.59	48%		8.3	2.68%	0	-0.5	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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