Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Expedia Group Inc)
EXPE latest price $104.2228 (-3.08%) ($104.0386 - $108.1602) on Thu. Feb. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.63% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $104.2228(-3.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXPE advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXPE advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXPE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(69%)    JETS(66%)    IWM(58%)    IWN(58%)    IWO(56%)
Factors Impacting EXPE price   EXPE will decline at least -1.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.315% (StdDev 2.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.68(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.43(6.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98(6.35%)
To recent high   -18.1%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $14.718b

Expedia Group, Inc. is an online travel company, which engages in the provision of travel products and services to leisure and corporate travelers. It operates through the following business segments: Core OTA, trivago, HomeAway, and Egencia. The Core OTA segment offers full range of travel and advertising services to worldwide customers through a variety of brands including: Expedia.com and Hotels.com. The trivago segment involves in sending referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from its hotel metasearch websites. The HomeAway segment operates an online marketplace for the vacation rental industry. The Egencia segment manages travel services to corporate customers worldwide. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. EXPE price fluctuates within 5.24% (three month std-dev: 2.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.71%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 9.34%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.33%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.84%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2016	115.7	98	97.43	102.68	103.24	106.12	104.22(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	98	210	89	124	3.39	46%	-0.09	6.1	2.63%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Feb_17_2016	115.81	97.88	96.3	100.14	101.37	103.59	107.53(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	124	190	131	101	4.6	48%	-0.02	-12.5	2.65%	0	1.9	61	0
3	Feb_16_2016	115.83	97.53	94.98	96.6	97.61	100.36	102.25(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	66	230	81	20	3.98	44%	-0.1	-39.5	2.56%	0	1	49	0
4	Feb_12_2016	115.95	97.37	94.53	93.9	94.65	99.14	99.16(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	100	360	134	-2	4.89	42%	-0.15	-64.2	2.53%	0	0.4	46	0
5	Feb_11_2016	116.13	97.58	94.32	92.21	91.68	94.86	100.25(9.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.7	74	230	114	-47	11.01	42%	-0.15	-76.8	2.53%	0	0.6	44	0

6	Feb_10_2016	116.31	97.69	93.78	91.54	90.37	90.16	91.5(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-50	23	-128	6.02	32%	-0.27	-89.5	2.19%	0	-1.3	32	0
7	Feb_9_2016	116.62	98.52	94.29	91.92	91.18	88.51	89.84(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-102	-230	-76	-181	4.47	31%	-0.28	-90.2	2.17%	0	-1.7	29	0
8	Feb_8_2016	116.95	99.43	95.47	93.1	92.4	90.58	88.76(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-140	-160	-125	-185	4.86	31%	-0.3	-94	2.18%	0	-2.1	29	0
9	Feb_5_2016	117.3	100.41	96.81	95.16	94.56	93.85	90.71(-6.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-70	-39	-116	5.82	30%	-0.3	-101.7	2.19%	0	-2	38	0
10	Feb_4_2016	117.65	101.44	98.14	96.61	95.79	94.22	96.88(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-140	-31	-97	2.33	33%	-0.2	-105.6	2.09%	0	-1	38	0

11	Feb_3_2016	117.89	102.33	98.74	96.38	96.34	95.27	93.39(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-82	-80	-69	-120	3.24	28%	-0.19	-99.8	2.02%	0	-1.6	34	0
12	Feb_2_2016	118.12	103.45	99.73	97	97.07	97.37	95.73(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	20	-19	-106	2.91	30%	-0.14	-96.4	2.01%	0	-1.3	30	0
13	Feb_1_2016	118.29	104.5	100.4	98.21	97.45	97.42	99.06(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-30	-3	-98	2.69	32%	-0.12	-90.5	1.98%	0	-0.9	34	0
14	Jan_29_2016	118.43	105.53	100.49	98.8	98.29	96.78	97.99(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-120	-48	-118	2.06	40%	-0.12	-90	2.2%	0	-1.2	32	0
15	Jan_28_2016	118.57	106.71	101.12	99.98	99.82	97.48	95.71(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-105	-170	-94	-138	2.62	38%	-0.13	-79.1	2.18%	0	-1.6	23	0

16	Jan_27_2016	118.72	108.1	101.91	101.48	101.75	99.81	96.52(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-98	-130	-83	-142	3.27	38%	-0.13	-69	2.18%	0	-1.6	20	0
17	Jan_26_2016	118.87	109.38	103.12	102.79	101.75	102.17	101.76(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-60	-50	-37	-128	2.39	41%	-0.14	-62	2.09%	0	-1	23	0
18	Jan_25_2016	119.04	110.41	103.69	102.86	102.97	103.69	102.03(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-28	50	6	-131	1.85	41%	-0.05	-60.8	2.12%	0	-1.1	22	0
19	Jan_22_2016	119.1	111.42	104.28	102.39	102.73	103.77	103.88(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	80	52	-149	1.63	41%	-0.05	-65.8	2.12%	0	-1	21	0
20	Jan_21_2016	119.16	112.39	104.96	102.39	101.49	102.26	103.19(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	20	12	-190	2.28	41%	-0.06	-65.4	2.12%	0	-1.1	18	0

21	Jan_20_2016	119.23	113.33	106.11	102.49	101.56	101.7	103.07(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-20	-3	-215	3.14	41%	-0.03	-65	2.12%	0	-1.3	17	0
22	Jan_19_2016	119.27	114.28	107.37	103.58	102.72	100.72	102.14(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-95	-160	-49	-234	3.3	41%	-0.02	-61.3	2.12%	0	-1.5	19	0
23	Jan_15_2016	119.29	115.43	108.85	104.72	104.31	101.42	99.66(-4.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-159	-210	-124	-264	4.7	42%	-0.13	-60.1	2.11%	0	-2	12	0
24	Jan_14_2016	119.44	116.84	110.94	106.4	106.46	104.72	104.42(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-133	-110	-97	-240	2.7	41%	-0.06	-57	2.07%	0	-1.8	15	0
25	Jan_13_2016	119.51	117.97	112.71	107.78	108.18	107.19	103.16(-4.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-102	-50	-67	-207	3.65	41%		-51.7	2.15%	0	-2.2	10	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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