Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Expedia Group Inc)
EXPE latest price $100.0072 (0.26%) ($99.9300 - $100.9232) on Tue. May. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $100.0072(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXPE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXPE advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXPE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(68%)    JETS(65%)    IWM(58%)    EWG(55%)    IVE(54%)
Factors Impacting EXPE price   EXPE will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.64(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.05(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.14(2.95%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $14.122b

Expedia Group, Inc. is an online travel company, which engages in the provision of travel products and services to leisure and corporate travelers. It operates through the following business segments: Core OTA, trivago, HomeAway, and Egencia. The Core OTA segment offers full range of travel and advertising services to worldwide customers through a variety of brands including: Expedia.com and Hotels.com. The trivago segment involves in sending referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from its hotel metasearch websites. The HomeAway segment operates an online marketplace for the vacation rental industry. The Egencia segment manages travel services to corporate customers worldwide. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. EXPE price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.72%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.26%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2015	89.07	97.14	99.05	99.64	100.05	100.08	100.01(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	10	8	93	1.18	100%	0.18	57.3	1.6%	0	1.1	67	0
2	May_18_2015	88.91	96.87	98.59	99.55	99.75	100.04	99.75(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	30	3	93	1.18	100%	0.16	57.7	1.63%	0	1.1	62	0
3	May_15_2015	88.77	96.58	98.35	99.61	99.56	100.03	99.71(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	30	23	113	0.95	100%	0.12	56.1	1.62%	0	1.2	59	0
4	May_14_2015	88.66	96.23	98.16	99.49	99.36	99.46	100.41(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	0	25	122	1.11	100%	0.18	51.1	1.63%	0	1.6	60	0
5	May_13_2015	88.5	95.88	97.25	98.88	99.03	99.1	98.34(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	10	15	93	0.97	100%	0.15	47.3	1.62%	0	1	57	0

6	May_12_2015	88.37	95.68	96.73	98.32	98.32	99.26	99.52(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	70	38	81	1.41	100%	0.16	41	1.61%	0	1.7	58	0
7	May_11_2015	88.23	95.41	96.19	97.46	97.36	98.96	100.09(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	110	48	50	2.08	100%	0.18	32.6	2.42%	0	2.2	62	0
8	May_8_2015	88.07	95.14	95.67	96.9	96.54	97.38	99.08(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	50	39	43	2.09	100%	0.17	29.8	2.38%	0	2.2	62	0
9	May_7_2015	87.92	94.94	95.26	96.7	96.31	95.75	97.35(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-50	9	35	1.62	100%	0.16	33.7	2.4%	0	1.5	63	0
10	May_6_2015	87.78	94.78	95.03	95.4	96.56	95.69	95.55(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-30	-8	13	1.4	70%	0.16	22.8	2.41%	0	0.5	56	0

11	May_5_2015	87.64	94.75	95.05	94.85	95.59	96.87	95.23(-2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	120	-1	10	1.53	70%	0.13	25.5	2.85%	0	0.3	53	0
12	May_4_2015	87.53	94.74	95.01	94.66	94.91	97.43	97.29(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	190	66	35	1.84	70%	0.16	35	2.83%	0	1.7	57	0
13	May_1_2015	87.39	94.61	94.65	94.26	94.14	94.3	98.05(7.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	37	10	43	18	5.73	71%	0.17	44.3	2.79%	0	2.4	57	0
14	Apr_30_2015	87.24	94.41	94.09	93.72	93.73	92.39	90.86(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-46	-100	-50	-33	4.44	64%	0.07	60.5	2.64%	0	-3	30	0
15	Apr_29_2015	87.18	94.45	94.42	94.63	94.82	93.97	92.81(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-60	-32	-15	1.51	64%	0.07	84	2.62%	0	-1.4	45	0

16	Apr_28_2015	87.12	94.37	94.6	95.24	95.38	95.08	94.3(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-20	-15	-1	1.03	64%	0.09	80.3	2.61%	0	-0.1	46	0
17	Apr_27_2015	87.04	94.22	94.63	95.34	95.62	95.66	95.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	10	6	8	1.07	64%	0.08	69.6	2.61%	0	0.7	51	0
18	Apr_24_2015	86.97	93.98	94.61	95.07	95.25	95.67	95.35(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	40	12	7	1.15	64%	0.12	53.2	2.6%	0	0.8	51	0
19	Apr_23_2015	86.87	93.7	94.62	94.53	94.74	95.57	95.37(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	70	26	8	1.01	66%	0.13	36	2.62%	0	0.8	54	0
20	Apr_22_2015	86.76	93.47	94.51	94.19	93.96	94.83	95.91(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	60	23	9	0.86	68%	0.14	30.7	2.62%	0	1.2	71	0

21	Apr_21_2015	86.64	93.27	94.41	93.9	93.65	93.91	94.79(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	10	14	12	1.22	68%	0.14	34.4	2.63%	0	0.8	69	0
22	Apr_20_2015	86.52	93.12	94.42	93.86	93.79	93.1	93.91(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-50	-11	10	0.76	68%	0.12	40.5	2.63%	0	0.4	67	0
23	Apr_17_2015	86.42	93.05	94.53	94.12	94.1	93.39	92.66(-1.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-22	-50	-34	15	1.45	68%	0.08	54.8	2.62%	0	-0.2	66	0
24	Apr_16_2015	86.35	92.99	94.74	94.72	94.85	94.49	93.69(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-20	-10	45	1.29	68%	0.14	70.9	2.64%	0	0.4	75	0
25	Apr_15_2015	86.23	92.85	94.5	94.84	95.13	94.81	94.45(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-9	49	1.04	62%		82.6	2.64%	0	0.8	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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