Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Expedia Group Inc)
EXPE latest price $78.2765 (1.24%) ($77.0115 - $78.2956) on Wed. Jul. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $78.2765(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXPE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXPE advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXPE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(67%)    IWM(58%)    EWG(54%)    SPY(54%)    VT(53%)
Factors Impacting EXPE price   EXPE will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.07(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.54(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.65(2.12%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $11.054b

Expedia Group, Inc. is an online travel company, which engages in the provision of travel products and services to leisure and corporate travelers. It operates through the following business segments: Core OTA, trivago, HomeAway, and Egencia. The Core OTA segment offers full range of travel and advertising services to worldwide customers through a variety of brands including: Expedia.com and Hotels.com. The trivago segment involves in sending referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from its hotel metasearch websites. The HomeAway segment operates an online marketplace for the vacation rental industry. The Egencia segment manages travel services to corporate customers worldwide. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. EXPE price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.12%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.67%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.7%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2014	71.37	76.65	76.54	77.07	77.11	77.62	78.28(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	50	24	26	2.73	64%	0.1	42.9	1.67%	0	1.6	59	INF
2	Jul_29_2014	71.3	76.59	76.31	76.92	76.84	77.05	77.32(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	20	15	15	1.71	66%	0.08	60.6	1.66%	0	0.8	52	INF
3	Jul_28_2014	71.24	76.5	76.28	76.84	76.82	76.59	76.86(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	-20	5	16	1.45	66%	0.08	63.3	1.7%	0	0.4	56	INF
4	Jul_25_2014	71.18	76.44	76.28	76.54	76.73	76.63	76.35(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-0	-4	2	1.15	61%	0.08	56.5	1.71%	0	-0.1	46	INF
5	Jul_24_2014	71.12	76.33	76.26	76.37	76.4	77.05	76.57(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	60	21	-2	2.15	61%	0.08	42.4	1.78%	0	0.2	41	INF

6	Jul_23_2014	71.06	76.21	76.2	75.89	75.97	76.83	77.51(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	32	80	45	-8	1.36	61%	0.1	18.3	1.77%	0	1	52	INF
7	Jul_22_2014	70.99	76	76.11	75.6	75.39	75.74	76.91(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	20	14	-30	1.01	61%	0.1	6.6	1.78%	0	0.7	48	INF
8	Jul_21_2014	70.92	75.89	75.97	75.67	75.53	75.11	75.36(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-40	-10	-38	1.03	60%	0.07	17.9	1.78%	0	-0.4	51	INF
9	Jul_18_2014	70.87	75.88	76.18	75.96	75.99	75.03	75.51(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-90	-36	-35	1.14	60%	0.07	36.2	1.78%	0	-0.3	51	INF
10	Jul_17_2014	70.82	75.84	76.49	76.14	76.45	75.95	74.17(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-30	-39	-13	1.81	58%	0.06	51.3	1.78%	0	-1.2	54	INF

11	Jul_16_2014	70.78	75.99	76.78	76.51	76.77	76.96	76.07(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	30	2	24	1.21	62%	0.08	74.5	1.75%	0	0.1	59	INF
12	Jul_15_2014	70.72	75.91	76.92	76.66	76.51	76.95	77.24(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	18	53	1.17	62%	0.11	84.2	1.75%	0	0.9	66	INF
13	Jul_14_2014	70.64	75.64	76.76	76.31	76.36	76.59	76.79(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	20	15	48	0.99	62%	0.1	66.8	1.75%	0	0.7	58	INF
14	Jul_11_2014	70.57	75.37	76.65	76.45	76.22	76.07	76.41(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-20	-15	42	0.78	62%	0.1	59.6	1.77%	0	0.5	55	INF
15	Jul_10_2014	70.5	75.11	76.42	76.93	76.62	76.13	76.02(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-60	-19	51	0.88	56%	0.1	61	1.77%	0	0.4	56	INF

16	Jul_9_2014	70.43	74.96	76.26	77.11	77.17	76.38	76.83(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-70	-25	40	1.18	58%	0.11	68.8	1.86%	0	0.9	49	INF
17	Jul_8_2014	70.35	74.72	75.91	77.22	77.38	77.11	75.53(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-20	-25	39	1.63	58%	0.1	73.5	1.87%	0	0.4	54	INF
18	Jul_7_2014	70.28	74.53	75.83	77.21	77.55	77.96	77.48(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	50	22	71	1.21	59%	0.13	72	1.86%	0	1.3	67	INF
19	Jul_3_2014	70.19	74.25	75.57	76.85	76.99	77.65	78.78(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	70	40	83	0.92	51%	0.16	71.8	1.95%	0	2	71	INF
20	Jul_2_2014	70.08	73.84	75.13	75.85	76.12	77.15	76.92(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	110	40	74	0.96	49%	0.13	64.6	1.98%	0	1.4	69	INF

21	Jul_1_2014	69.99	73.51	75.09	75.29	75.33	76.32	77.41(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	64	90	57	85	1.78	53%	0.14	58.3	1.98%	0	1.8	62	INF
22	Jun_30_2014	69.89	73.14	74.77	74.42	74.43	75.09	75.48(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	60	28	63	1.29	51%	0.11	51.1	2.02%	0	1.2	61	INF
23	Jun_27_2014	69.81	72.92	74.39	74.24	73.95	74.33	75.66(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	20	14	55	1.87	51%	0.11	55.8	2.02%	0	1.4	63	INF
24	Jun_26_2014	69.73	72.64	73.96	74.12	74.03	73.78	73.8(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-30	-0	46	0.88	47%	0.07	62.3	2%	0	0.6	57	INF
25	Jun_25_2014	69.68	72.48	73.7	74.29	74.25	73.57	74.09(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-16	-70	-34	37	1.37	47%		70.7	2.01%	0	0.8	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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