Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(EXELIXIS INC)
EXEL latest price $22.6200 (-2.12%) ($22.5300 - $23.2300) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $22.6200(-2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXEL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXEL advances 7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(54%)    XBI(54%)    IWO(44%)    ARKG(43%)    IWM(42%)
Factors Impacting EXEL price   EXEL will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.72(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.34(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.78(8.85%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   53.6%
Market Cap   $6.987b

Exelixis, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, commercialization, and discovery of new medicines for the treatment of cancer. It offers products under the brands of Cometriq, Cabometyx, and Cotellic. The company was founded by Corey S. Goodman and Stelios B. Papadopoulos on November 15, 1994 and is headquartered in Alameda, CA.

$. EXEL price fluctuates within 8.66% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.98%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.44%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2017	16.23	20.78	22.34	22.72	22.84	23.04	22.62(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	80	5	119	3.51	66%	0.68	68.6	3.62%	0	1	76	0
2	Feb_21_2017	16.12	20.57	22.14	22.6	22.61	23.01	23.11(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	130	17	139	3.93	66%	0.88	69.8	3.68%	0	1.4	82	0
3	Feb_17_2017	15.98	20.33	21.84	22.24	22.22	22.63	23.12(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	130	13	140	5.01	66%	0.69	64.4	3.65%	0	1.6	80	0
4	Feb_16_2017	15.87	20.06	21.56	22.03	21.97	22.2	22.65(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	70	6	146	5.6	66%	0.63	61.5	3.65%	0	1.5	76	0
5	Feb_15_2017	15.77	19.82	21.18	22	21.98	21.81	22.1(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-60	3	151	5.05	66%	0.38	63.6	3.64%	0	1.4	75	0

6	Feb_14_2017	15.71	19.61	20.86	21.9	22	21.74	22.02(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-70	3	155	4.8	66%	0.45	61.7	3.65%	0	1.5	75	0
7	Feb_13_2017	15.64	19.39	20.48	21.61	21.84	22.15	21.3(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	130	8	146	4.43	66%	0.45	60.1	3.63%	0	1.3	71	0
8	Feb_10_2017	15.57	19.25	20.19	21.36	21.48	22.26	22.08(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	270	25	144	6.8	69%	0.52	69.3	3.63%	0	2	79	0
9	Feb_9_2017	15.49	19.07	19.83	20.99	20.86	21.53	22.5(4.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	63	210	37	140	8.09	75%	0.52	85	3.65%	0	2.7	85	0
10	Feb_8_2017	15.41	18.84	19.41	20.23	20.26	20.7	21.61(5.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	39	160	23	88	10.4	74%	0.46	101.3	4.4%	0	2.8	83	0

11	Feb_7_2017	15.34	18.69	19.07	19.67	19.68	20.19	20.57(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	31	180	19	68	6.7	73%	0.46	139.9	4.37%	0	2.5	77	0
12	Feb_6_2017	15.27	18.53	18.85	19.18	19.22	19.82	20.03(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	220	20	54	5.68	73%	0.46	160.4	4.38%	0	2.3	76	0
13	Feb_3_2017	15.2	18.31	18.67	18.83	18.63	19.17	20.26(8.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	170	15	34	9.78	73%	0.46	111.6	4.8%	0	2.2	65	0
14	Feb_2_2017	15.13	18.05	18.42	18.5	18.29	18.62	18.69(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	90	7	13	4.09	71%	0.4	85	4.79%	0	0.6	47	0
15	Feb_1_2017	15.07	17.89	18.35	18.46	18.25	18.1	18.82(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-90	3	8	5.83	71%	0.47	73	4.79%	0	0.8	57	0

16	Jan_31_2017	15	17.7	18.26	18.38	18.24	17.97	18.12(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-130	-8	-4	9.88	71%	0.4	60.6	4.79%	0	0.3	40	0
17	Jan_30_2017	14.94	17.55	18.24	18.38	18.44	18.4	18.28(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	-1	3	5.05	71%	0.4	61.8	4.81%	0	0.5	59	0
18	Jan_27_2017	14.88	17.39	18.26	18.46	18.45	18.52	18.57(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	9	20	4	25	2.99	71%	0.47	52.7	4.8%	0	0.8	76	0
19	Jan_26_2017	14.81	17.22	18.27	18.33	18.36	18.48	18.5(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	15	50	5	45	3.48	71%	0.41	43.8	4.82%	0	0.8	77	0
20	Jan_25_2017	14.75	17.08	18.24	18.21	18.2	18.38	18.43(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	70	4	61	3.79	71%	0.48	39.4	4.82%	0	0.9	73	0

21	Jan_24_2017	14.68	16.93	18.28	18.13	18.06	18.24	18.53(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	60	6	88	4.16	71%	0.27	34.3	4.82%	0	1	76	0
22	Jan_23_2017	14.64	16.75	18.19	17.98	17.98	18.03	18.29(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	1	101	4.21	71%	0.48	26.5	4.84%	0	1	74	0
23	Jan_20_2017	14.57	16.64	17.92	18.03	17.95	17.88	17.92(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-40	-6	107	3.07	71%	0.48	27.7	4.85%	0	0.8	73	0
24	Jan_19_2017	14.5	16.57	17.66	18.21	18.17	17.92	17.9(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-100	-3	120	2.47	71%	0.49	32.4	4.85%	0	0.8	69	0
25	Jan_18_2017	14.43	16.48	17.42	18.27	18.32	18.02	18.02(1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-110	-9	122	3.32	71%		34.3	4.85%	0	1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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