Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(EXELIXIS INC)
EXEL latest price $16.9600 (1.25%) ($16.5300 - $16.9800) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.62% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $16.9600(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXEL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXEL advances 22.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(55%)    IWO(44%)    ARKG(43%)    IWC(41%)
Factors Impacting EXEL price   EXEL will decline at least -2.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.31% (StdDev 4.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.73(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.65(8.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.43(26.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   66.3%
Market Cap   $5.239b

Exelixis, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, commercialization, and discovery of new medicines for the treatment of cancer. It offers products under the brands of Cometriq, Cabometyx, and Cotellic. The company was founded by Corey S. Goodman and Stelios B. Papadopoulos on November 15, 1994 and is headquartered in Alameda, CA.

$. EXEL price fluctuates within 18.99% (three month std-dev: 4.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -7.4%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -14.62%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.31%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2016	11.52	13.43	15.65	16.73	16.57	16.61	16.96(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	78	-10	5	295	6.57	64%	0.79	59.7	4.62%	0	1.4	87	0
2	Nov_17_2016	11.43	13.15	15.17	16.62	16.51	16.42	16.75(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	83	-60	5	318	6.14	64%	0.79	62.7	4.63%	0	1.5	83	0
3	Nov_16_2016	11.34	12.88	14.54	16.42	16.39	16.53	16.63(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	88	50	10	322	6.31	64%	0.8	64	4.63%	0	1.6	82	0
4	Nov_15_2016	11.25	12.61	13.97	16.09	16.14	16.59	16.55(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	104	200	31	323	8.75	64%	0.81	63.5	4.65%	0	1.9	79	0
5	Nov_14_2016	11.16	12.35	13.41	15.28	15.5	16.25	16.76(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	100	380	39	281	7.9	64%	0.81	54.2	4.64%	0	2.3	79	0

6	Nov_11_2016	11.07	12.07	12.77	14.4	14.46	15.68	16.4(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	90	600	45	226	9.3	64%	0.82	43.5	4.64%	0	2.7	78	0
7	Nov_10_2016	10.98	11.79	12.19	13.5	13.55	14.75	15.74(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	90	630	62	172	11.53	62%	0.73	27.9	4.62%	0	3	73	0
8	Nov_9_2016	10.9	11.57	11.68	12.39	12.53	13.24	15.02(20.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	57	430	47	86	15.35	60%	0.74	-1.1	4.64%	0	3.6	69	0
9	Nov_8_2016	10.82	11.57	11.26	11.55	11.65	12.34	12.47(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	440	23	20	5.72	53%	0.37	-47.9	3.93%	0	1.8	59	0
10	Nov_7_2016	10.78	11.57	11.13	11.25	11.25	11.82	12.36(3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	22	350	30	-4	8.08	53%	0.47	-58.6	3.94%	0	1.5	56	0

11	Nov_4_2016	10.73	11.4	11	10.9	10.87	10.97	11.91(16.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	60	15	-40	11.37	60%	0.47	-69.2	3.91%	0	0.8	54	0
12	Nov_3_2016	10.68	11.44	10.95	10.69	10.71	10.68	10.2(-5.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10	-9	-62	7.86	54%	0.19	-67.8	3.99%	0	-1.6	34	0
13	Nov_2_2016	10.66	11.59	11.11	10.84	10.8	10.77	10.81(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-30	-3	-52	5.83	56%	0.38	-58.1	3.93%	0	-1	32	0
14	Nov_1_2016	10.62	11.7	11.18	10.91	10.88	10.74	10.98(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-100	-5	-53	4.65	56%	0.38	-59	3.93%	0	-1	34	0
15	Oct_31_2016	10.58	11.77	11.24	10.97	11	10.82	10.59(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-24	-110	-10	-64	3.31	56%	0.28	-73.1	3.91%	0	-1.6	19	0

16	Oct_28_2016	10.55	11.88	11.34	11.11	11.14	11.01	10.88(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-24	-70	-10	-67	3.65	56%	0.29	-86.5	3.9%	0	-1.4	22	0
17	Oct_27_2016	10.52	11.98	11.39	11.25	11.27	11.19	10.92(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-26	-40	-9	-76	3.91	56%	0.38	-99.7	3.9%	0	-1.5	20	0
18	Oct_26_2016	10.48	12.05	11.49	11.41	11.39	11.27	11.18(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-24	-80	-5	-79	3	56%	0.38	-107.4	3.89%	0	-1.2	20	0
19	Oct_25_2016	10.44	12.16	11.57	11.48	11.48	11.36	11.3(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-70	-6	-88	3.23	56%	0.38	-83.3	3.89%	0	-0.9	22	0
20	Oct_24_2016	10.4	12.35	11.7	11.56	11.56	11.52	11.29(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-20	-3	-81	4.17	56%	0.48	-65.8	3.89%	0	-0.9	37	0

21	Oct_21_2016	10.35	12.55	11.83	11.6	11.63	11.59	11.56(-1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-20	2	-78	3.69	56%	0.49	-56.2	3.87%	0	-0.8	36	0
22	Oct_20_2016	10.3	12.71	11.96	11.55	11.6	11.6	11.74(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	10	-3	-82	3.54	56%	0.49	-51.7	3.87%	0	-0.8	37	0
23	Oct_19_2016	10.25	12.85	12.09	11.59	11.62	11.68	11.52(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	40	-3	-72	2.78	56%	0.49	-45.3	3.87%	0	-1	43	0
24	Oct_18_2016	10.2	13.01	12.25	11.67	11.64	11.59	11.67(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-40	-9	-72	3.25	56%	0.2	-39.2	3.86%	0	-1.1	35	0
25	Oct_17_2016	10.18	13.14	12.33	11.87	11.78	11.56	11.51(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-150	-13	-92	6.56	56%		-30.1	3.86%	0	-1.3	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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