Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(EXELIXIS INC)
EXEL latest price $10.3700 (-4.6%) ($10.2800 - $10.9300) on Wed. Aug. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.46% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $10.3700(-4.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXEL advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXEL advances 12.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(55%)    IWO(43%)    ARKG(42%)    IWC(40%)
Factors Impacting EXEL price   EXEL will decline at least -1.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.73% (StdDev 3.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $10.88(-4.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10.08(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9.34(11.03%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   105.8%
Market Cap   $3.203b

Exelixis, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, commercialization, and discovery of new medicines for the treatment of cancer. It offers products under the brands of Cometriq, Cabometyx, and Cotellic. The company was founded by Corey S. Goodman and Stelios B. Papadopoulos on November 15, 1994 and is headquartered in Alameda, CA.

$. EXEL price fluctuates within 10.6% (three month std-dev: 3.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.45%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.85%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.38%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2016	7.72	9.34	10.08	10.88	10.91	10.75	10.37(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	61	-90	7	222	7.56	88%	0.52	78.8	3.46%	0	1	78	0
2	Aug_9_2016	7.68	9.22	9.93	10.69	10.93	10.96	10.87(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	90	22	222	7.04	93%	0.66	73.5	3.38%	0	1.7	87	0
3	Aug_8_2016	7.63	9.08	9.7	10.34	10.51	11.06	10.93(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	69	420	26	196	5.43	93%	0.79	67.7	3.38%	0	2	89	0
4	Aug_5_2016	7.57	8.94	9.48	10.01	10.05	10.89	11.17(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	77	600	43	178	8.78	93%	0.8	63.3	3.35%	0	2.7	92	0
5	Aug_4_2016	7.51	8.78	9.21	9.61	9.59	9.96	11.07(17.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	65	260	41	136	22.39	93%	0.81	64.4	3.46%	0	3.5	91	0

6	Aug_3_2016	7.45	8.62	8.95	9.19	9.18	9.21	9.39(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	20	10	99	7.46	91%	0.4	77.5	2.98%	0	1.9	85	0
7	Aug_2_2016	7.42	8.56	8.86	9.06	9.09	9.22	9.15(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	110	10	94	5.02	91%	0.41	79.3	3.02%	0	1.6	85	0
8	Aug_1_2016	7.39	8.5	8.78	8.96	8.98	9.15	9.27(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	32	140	13	89	5.9	91%	0.54	84	3.03%	0	2.1	84	0
9	Jul_29_2016	7.35	8.44	8.7	8.85	8.83	8.97	9.18(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	29	100	11	81	8.71	91%	0.41	95.4	3.06%	0	2.4	82	0
10	Jul_28_2016	7.32	8.37	8.62	8.75	8.74	8.8	8.95(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	40	7	75	4.34	91%	0.41	92.2	3.05%	0	2	80	0

11	Jul_27_2016	7.29	8.31	8.55	8.68	8.69	8.7	8.76(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	10	4	68	4.75	91%	0.41	89.9	3.05%	0	1.6	77	0
12	Jul_26_2016	7.26	8.27	8.48	8.63	8.66	8.7	8.64(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	30	4	60	7.3	91%	0.28	87.9	3.09%	0	1.3	75	0
13	Jul_25_2016	7.24	8.21	8.43	8.58	8.6	8.68	8.71(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	70	6	58	2.74	91%	0.42	69.7	3.08%	0	1.6	82	0
14	Jul_22_2016	7.21	8.16	8.37	8.52	8.52	8.63	8.68(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	90	6	50	2.95	91%	0.42	68.7	3.13%	0	1.7	71	0
15	Jul_21_2016	7.18	8.11	8.32	8.47	8.45	8.51	8.59(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	18	40	7	52	3.48	91%	0.42	74.3	3.16%	0	1.7	78	0

16	Jul_20_2016	7.15	8.07	8.27	8.4	8.39	8.41	8.53(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	10	9	51	2.22	91%	0.42	76.1	3.21%	0	1.6	78	0
17	Jul_19_2016	7.12	8.03	8.23	8.3	8.31	8.38	8.37(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	60	5	45	3.7	91%	0.42	75.3	3.21%	0	1.3	76	0
18	Jul_18_2016	7.09	7.99	8.2	8.25	8.25	8.37	8.42(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	100	6	53	3.73	91%	0.42	78.8	3.23%	0	1.7	84	0
19	Jul_15_2016	7.06	7.95	8.17	8.2	8.19	8.25	8.44(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	50	7	58	6.09	91%	0.43	80.9	3.23%	0	2	71	0
20	Jul_14_2016	7.03	7.9	8.1	8.14	8.19	8.12	8.22(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	1	49	6.27	91%	0.29	81.6	3.23%	0	1.3	61	0

21	Jul_13_2016	7.01	7.86	8.06	8.12	8.15	8.14	8.04(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	0	-2	48	2.71	91%	0.43	79.6	3.24%	0	0.7	60	0
22	Jul_12_2016	6.98	7.83	8.04	8.14	8.16	8.19	8.14(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	30	2	56	3.39	91%	0.29	80.3	3.22%	0	1.1	65	0
23	Jul_11_2016	6.96	7.79	7.98	8.14	8.13	8.15	8.15(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	20	0	50	4.12	91%	0.43	77.4	3.22%	0	1.3	66	0
24	Jul_8_2016	6.93	7.75	7.93	8.13	8.11	8.13	8.15(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	10	6	56	7.07	91%	0.43	95.4	3.22%	0	1.5	67	0
25	Jul_7_2016	6.9	7.71	7.9	8.06	8.08	8.1	8.14(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	19	20	7	55	4.36	91%		99.7	3.22%	0	1.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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