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     Wed. Jul. 29, 2020



Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Exelon Corporation)

EXC latest price $38.5600 (1.57%) ($37.8000 - $38.5700) on Wed. Jul. 29, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Consolidation
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  EXC declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  EXC advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support EXC advance at 1.9% a week (78% probability)
  XLU(87%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)    SDY(75%)    VYM(75%)  
Factors Impacting EXC price  EXC will advance at least 1% in a week (38% probabilities).
  VIXM(-49%)    VXX(-47%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    SHY(-18%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY 0
 
Relative Volatility   -1.4 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly Trend   0.53% [$38.18(0.41), $37.98(-0.1)]
Last Hour Trend   0.37% [$38.34, $38.2]


EXC Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  70%
Bullish Price Move  2.3%
Bearish Probability  30%
Bearish Price Move  -2.3%
Recommended Position Size  17%
Latest Price  $38.5600
Next Day Open Price  $38.85(0.74%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $38.39(-0.44%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $38.31 - $38.63
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $37.92
5 Day Moving Average  $38.11(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average  $38.4(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average  $37.92(1.69%)
To recent high  -7.9%
To recent low  11.8%
Market Cap  $37.596b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Oct. 29, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $47.06 ($36.00 - $59.00)
  17 analysts (last updated on Tue. Jul. 28, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  22.04%
% to Low Target Price  -6.64%
% to High Target Price  53.01%
 


  
 
 


Exelon Corp. operates as a utility services holding company, which engages in the energy generation, power marketing, and energy delivery business. The company operates through the following segments: Mid Atlantic, Midwest, New England, New York, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and other Power Regions. The Mid-Atlantic segment represents operations in the eastern half of PJM, which includes New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, the District of Columbia and parts of Pennsylvania and North Carolina. The Midwest segment represents operations in the western half of PJM, which includes portions of Illinois, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky and Tennessee, and the United States footprint of MISO, excluding MISO's Southern Region, which covers all or most of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, the remaining parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio not covered by PJM, and parts of Montana, Missouri and Kentucky. The New England (NE) segment represents the operations within (International Standards Organization) ISO-NE covering the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. The New York (NY) segment represents operations within ISO-NY, which covers the state of New York in its entirety. The ERCOT segment represents operations within Electric Reliability Council of Texas, covering most of the state of Texas. Exelon was founded in February 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. EXC price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 2.26%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. EXC price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200829

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_29_2020-7.9%-11.8% 1.5%,0.8(0)0.7%,0.4(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.10.90.37%1.3%0.90-1.4(1.85%,NAN%)1.95.41   38.56(1.57%)37.8-38.57Uptrend Consolidation 38.39(-0.44%)38.31-38.6366
2Jul_28_2020-9.3%-10.1% 1.5%,0.7(0)1.1%,0.5(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.2-1.2-0.08%1.4%0.2-0.3-1.3(2.01%,NAN%)1.86.86   37.97(0.98%)37.41-38.59Uptrend Consolidation 37.94(-0.08%)37.89-38.0758
3Jul_27_2020-10.2%-9% 1.4%,0.6(0.1)1.5%,0.7(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.2-1.80.03%1.7%-0.1-1.7-1.1(2.25%,NAN%)1.85.63   37.6(-0.56%)37.04-38Uptrend Consolidation 37.67(0.18%)37.64-37.7457
4Jul_24_2020-9.7%-9.6% 1.2%,0.4(0)1.8%,0.6(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.3-0.30.05%2%0.2-0.4-0.6(2.85%,NAN%)1.55.41   37.81(-2.17%)37.51-38.93Uptrend Consolidation 37.78(-0.09%)37.7-37.9954
5Jul_23_2020-7.7%-12% 1.1%,0.4(0.1)2.3%,0.7(0.1)0.3%,0.10.3-0.34%2.3%10.7-0.3(3.12%,NAN%)1.46.24   38.65(-0.92%)38.42-39.3Uptrend 38.87(0.58%)38.41-39.0760
 
6Jul_22_2020-6.8%-13.1% 0.8%,0.3(0.1)2%,0.7(0)0.5%,0.2-0.30.15%2.1%1.40.5-0.3(3.08%,NAN%)1.710.4   39.01(0.71%)37.83-39.03Uptrend 39.16(0.39%)38.68-39.3764
7Jul_21_2020-7.5%-12.3% 0.5%,0.2(0.1)2%,0.7(-0)0.4%,0.2-00%1.8%1.40.4-0.6(2.9%,NAN%)1.76.95   38.73(1.03%)38.14-38.92Uptrend 38.83(0.27%)38.42-39.0170
8Jul_20_2020-8.4%-11.1% 0.3%,0.1(0.1)2%,0.7(-0.2)0.5%,0.21.20.1%1.5%1.1-0.2-0.8(2.77%,NAN%)2.15.44   38.34(-2.72%)38.12-39.25Uptrend Consolidation 38.03(-0.82%)37.86-38.5270
9Jul_17_2020-5.9%-14.2% 0.1%,0(0.1)2.5%,0.9(0)1.1%,0.40.90.36%1.4%2.31.7-0.9(2.69%,NAN%)26.92   39.41(3.55%)38.4-39.52N/A 39.03(-0.97%)37.98-39.8986
10Jul_16_2020-9.1%-10.3% -0.2%,-0.1(0.2)2.4%,1(0.1)0.8%,0.30.9-0.21%1%1.1-0.3-1.4(2.37%,NAN%)1.84.15   38.06(0.03%)37.82-38.41N/A 38(-0.15%)37.52-38.472
 
11Jul_15_2020-9.1%-10.3% -0.6%,-0.2(0.2)2.3%,0.9(0.2)0.5%,0.20.9-0.08%0.8%1.1-0.5-1.5(2.45%,NAN%)1.85.09   38.05(0.45%)37.91-38.59Uptrend Reversal 38.35(0.79%)38.1-38.5260
12Jul_14_2020-9.5%-9.8% -1%,-0.4(0.2)1.8%,0.7(0.3)0.5%,0.21.20.29%0.4%0.8-0.3-1.5(2.53%,NAN%)1.37.21   37.88(1.09%)37.22-38.07Uptrend Reversal 38.19(0.81%)37.93-38.3653
13Jul_13_2020-10.5%-8.6% -1.6%,-0.6(0.1)1.2%,0.4(0.3)0%,00.9-0.08%-0.2%0.4-0.2-1.5(2.61%,NAN%)15.67   37.47(0.2%)37.1-37.73Uptrend Reversal 37.78(0.84%)37.52-37.9648
14Jul_10_2020-10.7%-8.4% -1.9%,-0.7(0)0.5%,0.2(0.3)-0.1%,-0-00.13%-0.9%0.3-0.8-1.7(2.64%,NAN%)1.33.84   37.39(2.06%)36.51-37.51Rebound 37.24(-0.41%)37.34-37.1948
15Jul_9_2020-12.5%-6.2% -2%,-0.7(-0)-0.2%,-0.1(0.1)-0.4%,-0.1-0.60.3%-1.5%-0.5-1.2-1.9(2.69%,NAN%)15.41   36.64(-1.29%)35.89-37.03Rebound 36.87(0.63%)36.49-37.0339
 
16Jul_8_2020-11.3%-7.6% -1.9%,-0.6(-0)-0.5%,-0.1(0.2)0.4%,0.1-0.90.27%-2%-0.2-0.9-1.4(3.11%,NAN%)1.14.4   37.12(0.41%)36.52-37.27Rebound 37.23(0.3%)36.95-37.3550
17Jul_7_2020-11.7%-7.2% -1.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-1%,-0.3(0.1)0.5%,0.2-0.30.16%-2.4%-0.4-0.8-0.6(3.6%,NAN%)14.82   36.97(-1.18%)36.52-37.08Rebound 37.19(0.59%)36.77-37.3750
18Jul_6_2020-10.6%-8.5% -1.6%,-0.4(0)-1.5%,-0.3(0.2)1.5%,0.30.90%-2.9%-0.2-0.70.7(4.35%,NAN%)1.13.71   37.41(-0.13%)37.03-38.14Rebound 37.54(0.35%)37.08-37.7450
19Jul_2_2020-10.5%-14.5% -1.8%,-0.4(0.1)-2.4%,-0.5(0.1)1.1%,0.31.20.05%-3.3%-0.2-0.31.2(4.52%,NAN%)1.24.31   37.46(0.19%)37.38-38.04Downtrend Consolidation 37.29(-0.45%)37.63-37.1850
20Jul_1_2020-10.7%-14.3% -2%,-0.4(-0)-3.1%,-0.7(0.1)0.5%,0.11.20.21%-3.3%-0.3-0.21.5(4.62%,NAN%)0.95.68   37.39(2.88%)36.04-37.49Downtrend Consolidation 37.2(-0.52%)37.65-37.0450
 
21Jun_30_2020-13.2%-11.1% -1.9%,-0.4(-0.1)-3.7%,-0.8(0.1)-0.5%,-0.10.60.14%-3.4%-1-0.91.6(4.6%,NAN%)0.45.11   36.34(1.03%)35.59-36.56Downtrend 35.97(-1.01%)35.67-36.6750
22Jun_29_2020-14.1%-9.9% -1.7%,-0.4(-0.1)-4%,-0.9(0.1)-0.9%,-0.2-0.60.08%-3.2%-1.3-0.91.6(4.48%,NAN%)0.44.85   35.97(3.62%)34.79-36Downtrend 35.64(-0.92%)35.33-36.3750
23Jun_26_2020-17.1%-6.1% -1.2%,-0.3(-0.1)-4.4%,-1(-0)-1.6%,-0.4-1.5-0.14%-3%-2.2-1.61.4(4.25%,NAN%)0.110.58   34.72(-1.89%)34.49-35.59Downtrend 34.44(-0.8%)34.06-35.3550
24Jun_25_2020-15.5%-8.2% -0.6%,-0.2(-0.2)-4.2%,-1.2(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.4-1.50.2%-2.6%-2.2-1.70.5(3.66%,NAN%)0.29.08   35.39(-2.92%)35.03-36.37Growing Downtrend 35.19(-0.57%)34.87-35.9450
25Jun_24_2020-12.9%-11.4% 0%,0(-0.1)0%,0(-0.2)-1.1%,-0.3-0.90.11%-2.3%-1.8-0.5-0.3(3.18%,NAN%)06.84   36.45(-2.11%)36.25-37.17Range Bound 36.78(0.91%)37.26-36.3950
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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