Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Exelon Corporation)
EXC latest price $32.4425 (-2.54%) ($32.3335 - $33.1968) on Thu. Jul. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $32.4425(-2.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXC advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXC advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(75%)    SPLV(71%)    SDY(63%)    IWD(59%)    XLRE(59%)
Factors Impacting EXC price   EXC will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    DIA(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    IPO(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.95(-1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.32(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.84(1.89%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $31.631b

Exelon Corp. operates as a utility services holding company, which engages in the energy generation, power marketing, and energy delivery business. The company operates through the following segments: Mid Atlantic, Midwest, New England, New York, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and other Power Regions. The Mid-Atlantic segment represents operations in the eastern half of PJM, which includes New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, the District of Columbia and parts of Pennsylvania and North Carolina. The Midwest segment represents operations in the western half of PJM, which includes portions of Illinois, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky and Tennessee, and the United States footprint of MISO, excluding MISO's Southern Region, which covers all or most of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, the remaining parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio not covered by PJM, and parts of Montana, Missouri and Kentucky. The New England (NE) segment represents the operations within (International Standards Organization) ISO-NE covering the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. The New York (NY) segment represents operations within ISO-NY, which covers the state of New York in its entirety. The ERCOT segment represents operations within Electric Reliability Council of Texas, covering most of the state of Texas. Exelon was founded in February 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. EXC price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.98%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.01%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2016	31.13	31.84	32.32	32.95	32.92	32.92	32.44(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	39	-0	6	136	4.21	48%	0.13	48	1.18%	0	0.8	64	INF
2	Jul_6_2016	31.09	31.8	32.21	32.85	32.84	32.94	33.29(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	20	26	147	5.41	52%	0.19	49.1	1.13%	0	2.1	73	INF
3	Jul_5_2016	31.03	31.71	32.03	32.53	32.54	32.92	32.91(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	80	32	135	4.42	46%	0.16	44.7	1.13%	0	1.9	74	INF
4	Jul_1_2016	30.98	31.65	31.87	32.24	32.22	32.74	33.09(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	72	110	57	117	4.53	46%	0.19	42	1.17%	0	2.6	67	INF
5	Jun_30_2016	30.92	31.57	31.7	31.87	31.77	32.15	33.04(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	50	70	40	79	8.83	46%	0.16	35.7	1.17%	0	3.3	64	INF

6	Jun_29_2016	30.87	31.49	31.49	31.61	31.5	31.7	31.92(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	30	23	39	7.39	42%	0.13	42.1	1.09%	0	1.4	48	INF
7	Jun_28_2016	30.83	31.46	31.41	31.49	31.42	31.4	31.7(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10	7	9	6.94	42%	0.1	36.8	1.1%	0	0.8	47	INF
8	Jun_27_2016	30.8	31.43	31.31	31.46	31.4	31.3	31.43(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-30	-7	-11	7.96	42%	0.06	43.2	1.1%	0	0	48	INF
9	Jun_24_2016	30.78	31.42	31.3	31.44	31.45	31.45	31.25(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	0	-6	-23	9.64	46%	0.1	41.1	1.1%	0	-0.6	43	INF
10	Jun_23_2016	30.75	31.41	31.31	31.48	31.48	31.51	31.76(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	10	12	-16	4.47	48%	0.1	44.4	1.1%	0	1.1	49	INF

11	Jun_22_2016	30.72	31.36	31.32	31.35	31.39	31.46	31.29(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	20	5	-27	3.01	45%	0.16	31.4	1.09%	0	-0.2	47	INF
12	Jun_21_2016	30.67	31.35	31.37	31.31	31.3	31.45	31.59(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	30	19	-17	3.57	45%	0.16	23.1	1.09%	0	0.7	55	INF
13	Jun_20_2016	30.62	31.3	31.36	31.14	31.19	31.33	31.3(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	40	12	-31	4.65	45%	0.16	-2.5	1.08%	0	0	54	INF
14	Jun_17_2016	30.57	31.29	31.41	31.13	31.07	31.15	31.49(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	10	4	-26	7.03	45%	0.2	-10.2	1.08%	0	0.5	55	INF
15	Jun_16_2016	30.51	31.27	31.44	31.12	31.12	31.05	31.09(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-11	-22	3.65	43%	0.2	-24.6	1.07%	0	-0.5	53	INF

16	Jun_15_2016	30.45	31.26	31.49	31.29	31.25	30.99	31.07(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-60	-24	2	6.15	43%	0.2	-27.9	1.07%	0	-0.5	57	INF
17	Jun_14_2016	30.39	31.27	31.51	31.45	31.45	31.19	30.76(-1.6%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.8	-17	-60	-30	22	7.54	43%	0.23	-23	1.07%	0	-1.3	51	INF
18	Jun_13_2016	30.32	31.31	31.56	31.61	31.64	31.52	31.26(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-20	-18	53	3.84	45%	0.2	-14.4	1.05%	0	-0.1	64	INF
19	Jun_10_2016	30.26	31.33	31.57	31.72	31.71	31.71	31.44(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-0	-8	71	6.1	49%	0.23	-9.9	1.05%	0	0.3	55	INF
20	Jun_9_2016	30.19	31.33	31.53	31.79	31.76	31.76	31.93(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-0	7	85	4.18	51%	0.3	-0.7	1.05%	0	1.3	65	INF

21	Jun_8_2016	30.1	31.37	31.42	31.71	31.77	31.7	31.85(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10	6	80	2.62	51%	0.23	-2.1	1.05%	0	1.1	68	INF
22	Jun_7_2016	30.03	31.37	31.32	31.59	31.68	31.77	31.55(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	30	6	64	2.93	54%	0.07	-5.7	1.05%	0	0.4	55	INF
23	Jun_6_2016	30.01	31.36	31.24	31.51	31.55	31.83	31.82(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	70	24	48	3.35	54%	0.23	-10	1.06%	0	1	52	INF
24	Jun_3_2016	29.94	31.36	31.16	31.39	31.37	31.58	31.77(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	40	28	28	6.51	58%	0.23	-11.6	1.06%	0	0.9	47	INF
25	Jun_2_2016	29.87	31.37	31.08	31.24	31.2	31.27	31.55(0.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	10	10	16	-10	4.47	60%		-18	1.1%	0	0.4	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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