Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Exelon Corporation)
EXC latest price $30.9337 (0.12%) ($30.8256 - $31.1588) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $30.9337(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXC declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXC declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(75%)    SPLV(71%)    SDY(63%)    IWD(59%)    XLRE(59%)
Factors Impacting EXC price   EXC will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    DIA(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    IPO(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $31.51
5 Day Moving Average   $31.42(-1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.67(-2.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.51(-1.83%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   29.5%
Market Cap   $30.16b

Exelon Corp. operates as a utility services holding company, which engages in the energy generation, power marketing, and energy delivery business. The company operates through the following segments: Mid Atlantic, Midwest, New England, New York, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and other Power Regions. The Mid-Atlantic segment represents operations in the eastern half of PJM, which includes New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, the District of Columbia and parts of Pennsylvania and North Carolina. The Midwest segment represents operations in the western half of PJM, which includes portions of Illinois, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky and Tennessee, and the United States footprint of MISO, excluding MISO's Southern Region, which covers all or most of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, the remaining parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio not covered by PJM, and parts of Montana, Missouri and Kentucky. The New England (NE) segment represents the operations within (International Standards Organization) ISO-NE covering the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. The New York (NY) segment represents operations within ISO-NY, which covers the state of New York in its entirety. The ERCOT segment represents operations within Electric Reliability Council of Texas, covering most of the state of Texas. Exelon was founded in February 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. EXC price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.49%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.08%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.28%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	27.15		31.67	31.42	31.36	30.96	30.93(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-100	-25	-14	4.5	67%	0.26	56.7	1.54%	0	-1.5	45	INF
2	Apr_6_2016	27.08		31.72	31.69	31.65	31.22	30.9(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-24	-100	-32	2	8.08	67%	0.22	93.8	1.55%	0	-1.5	47	INF
3	Apr_5_2016	27.02	31.51	31.79	31.89	31.96	31.77	31.16(-2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-10	-40	-21	25	6.12	67%	0.22	130.8	1.55%	0	-0.8	54	INF
4	Apr_4_2016	26.96	31.49	31.83	32.09	32.1	32.09	31.98(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-0	2	53	4.47	70%	0.26	155.5	1.5%	0	1.1	63	INF
5	Apr_1_2016	26.89	31.39	31.77	32.02	32.05	32.15	32.11(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	20	6	52	7.63	70%	0.26	143	1.5%	0	1.3	64	INF

6	Mar_31_2016	26.82	31.28	31.7	31.96	31.95	32.11	32.29(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	30	17	55	7.23	70%	0.26	132.8	1.5%	0	1.7	68	INF
7	Mar_30_2016	26.75	31.13	31.6	31.75	31.77	31.96	31.91(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	40	12	46	4.24	70%	0.26	109.1	1.5%	0	1.1	71	INF
8	Mar_29_2016	26.68	30.97	31.52	31.68	31.62	31.79	32.14(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	15	45	7.56	70%	0.26	90.5	1.5%	0	1.3	74	INF
9	Mar_28_2016	26.61	30.79	31.42	31.53	31.52	31.59	31.66(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	9	41	4.53	69%	0.3	76.1	1.5%	0	0.9	73	INF
10	Mar_24_2016	26.53	30.64	31.38	31.47	31.52	31.46	31.8(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	15	0	3	50	6.01	69%	0.26	69.1	1.49%	0	1	82	INF

11	Mar_23_2016	26.46	30.49	31.32	31.4	31.43	31.45	31.27(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	10	2	63	11.57	68%	0.23	67.9	1.49%	0	0.7	81	INF
12	Mar_22_2016	26.4	30.36	31.28	31.41	31.4	31.41	31.52(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	0	6	88	3.9	68%	0.27	66.9	1.48%	0	1	91	INF
13	Mar_21_2016	26.33	30.2	31.21	31.32	31.31	31.41	31.41(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	20	3	109	5.84	69%	0.27	65.6	1.48%	0	1	92	INF
14	Mar_18_2016	26.26	30.05	31.13	31.28	31.24	31.4	31.38(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	30	8	137	10.13	69%	0.23	68	1.49%	0	1.1	93	INF
15	Mar_17_2016	26.2	29.89	31	31.26	31.19	31.22	31.44(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	0	6	157	5.45	69%	0.27	72	1.49%	0	1.2	88	INF

16	Mar_16_2016	26.13	29.74	30.84	31.23	31.19	31.08	31.32(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-30	2	170	5	71%	0.23	73.6	1.49%	0	1.3	81	INF
17	Mar_15_2016	26.07	29.57	30.63	31.12	31.17	31.15	31.07(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	0	-0	168	5.02	71%	0.23	70.7	1.53%	0	1.2	82	INF
18	Mar_14_2016	26.01	29.41	30.4	31.07	31.08	31.27	31.2(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	40	12	182	4.75	69%	0.19	68.4	1.52%	0	1.5	86	INF
19	Mar_11_2016	25.96	29.22	30.12	30.94	30.92	31.18	31.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	62	60	24	176	5.71	66%	0.15	59	1.55%	0	1.7	77	INF
20	Mar_10_2016	25.92	29.02	29.85	30.69	30.68	30.9	31.28(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	50	25	165	7.67	66%	0.15	49.5	1.58%	0	2	80	INF

21	Mar_9_2016	25.88	28.85	29.6	30.4	30.38	30.66	30.77(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	60	27	154	7.16	65%	0.15	46.8	1.58%	0	1.9	74	INF
22	Mar_8_2016	25.84	28.72	29.37	30.06	30.04	30.46	30.83(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	100	40	145	8.93	65%	0.19	49.7	1.58%	0	2.3	77	INF
23	Mar_7_2016	25.79	28.61	29.09	29.62	29.55	30.09	30.55(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	62	120	43	117	6.9	65%	0.12	55.4	1.58%	0	2.5	76	INF
24	Mar_4_2016	25.76	28.54	28.88	29.18	29.1	29.62	30.04(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	53	120	38	98	8.44	64%	0.12	67.7	1.58%	0	2.2	77	INF
25	Mar_3_2016	25.73	28.46	28.68	28.89	28.77	29.01	29.79(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	40	50	26	83	9.17	64%		89.7	1.6%	0	2.3	77	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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