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     Mon. Dec. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Exelon Corporation)

EXC latest price $24.4622 (1.97%) ($23.9360 - $24.5335) on Mon. Dec. 21, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.73% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $24.4622(1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  EXC advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  EXC declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support EXC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLU(74%)    SDY(62%)    IWD(59%)    VYM(58%)    IVE(57%)  
Factors Impacting EXC price  EXC will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $23.73(3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average  $23.56(3.83%)
20 Day Moving Average  $23.96(2.1%)
To recent high  -10.6%
To recent low  7.7%
Market Cap  $23.851b
 
 
 
Exelon Corp. operates as a utility services holding company, which engages in the energy generation, power marketing, and energy delivery business. The company operates through the following segments: Mid Atlantic, Midwest, New England, New York, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and other Power Regions. The Mid-Atlantic segment represents operations in the eastern half of PJM, which includes New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, the District of Columbia and parts of Pennsylvania and North Carolina. The Midwest segment represents operations in the western half of PJM, which includes portions of Illinois, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky and Tennessee, and the United States footprint of MISO, excluding MISO's Southern Region, which covers all or most of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, the remaining parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio not covered by PJM, and parts of Montana, Missouri and Kentucky. The New England (NE) segment represents the operations within (International Standards Organization) ISO-NE covering the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. The New York (NY) segment represents operations within ISO-NY, which covers the state of New York in its entirety. The ERCOT segment represents operations within Electric Reliability Council of Texas, covering most of the state of Texas. Exelon was founded in February 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. EXC price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1   Average positive next day return: 0.39%(100%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next three day return: 2.61%(100%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(100%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160121

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Dec_21_201526.1923.9623.5623.73 23.74 24.0324.46(1.97%)N/AN/A01.2   21   90   33   -16   9.82    39%-0.11-52.21.73%00.842INF
2Dec_18_201526.2223.9823.4823.37 23.4 23.7223.99(1.13%)N/AN/A01   2   100   21   -57   17.12    35%-0.15-671.71%0044INF
3Dec_17_201526.2624.0323.4623.2 23.16 23.4523.72(0.61%)DPOpenShort-650.8   -12   80   13   -85   8.13    35%-0.11-72.11.72%0-0.438INF
4Dec_16_201526.2924.0923.4923.18 23.08 23.0723.58(3.08%)DPOpenShort-650.6   -23   -20   3   -99   11.19    37%-0.15-75.31.73%0-0.735INF
5Dec_15_201526.3324.1523.5723.2 23.19 22.8822.87(0.75%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -42   -90   -18   -114   10.7    33%-0.15-811.7%0-1.822INF
 
6Dec_14_201526.3724.2823.7623.36 23.39 23.0922.71(-1.85%)DTHoldShort-65-0.9   -46   -90   -27   -104   10.9    33%-0.15-76.41.71%0-2.221INF
7Dec_11_201526.4124.4123.9323.6 23.59 23.523.13(-2.04%)DTHoldShort-65-0.7   -33   -30   -14   -90   7.3    34%-0.15-72.51.71%0-222INF
8Dec_10_201526.4524.5324.0823.73 23.7 23.6923.62(-0.34%)DTHoldShort-65-0.2   -27   -10   -8   -85   6.95    36%-0.19-711.69%0-1.524INF
9Dec_9_201526.524.6424.1923.85 23.81 23.6823.7(0.11%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -28   -40   -10   -82   5.83    36%-0.19-64.81.69%0-1.625INF
10Dec_8_201526.5524.7424.323.99 23.95 23.7123.67(-0.82%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -36   -80   -22   -77   5.72    39%-0.23-56.71.7%0-1.835INF
 
11Dec_7_201526.6124.8324.4124.22 24.18 23.9423.86(0.19%)DPOpenShort-75-0.7   -29   -70   -16   -67   9.61    39%-0.19-46.81.72%0-1.828INF
12Dec_4_201526.6624.8824.5224.32 24.4 24.1923.82(-1.58%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -28   -50   -16   -64   11.25    37%-0.22-45.31.73%0-2.133INF
13Dec_3_201526.7224.9624.6524.48 24.5 24.4224.2(-0.73%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -23   -20   -12   -55   5.57    37%-0.19-40.91.74%0-1.734INF
14Dec_2_201526.7725.0324.7424.58 24.61 24.6124.38(-1.83%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -16   0   -4   -53   6.72    37%-0.15-31.51.74%0-1.533INF
15Dec_1_201526.8125.0824.7824.66 24.61 24.5924.84(1.98%)DPOpenShort-650.4   -14   -20   1   -58   7.26    37%-0.15-28.31.73%0-0.638INF
 
16Nov_30_201526.8525.0924.8424.63 24.64 24.624.36(-1.12%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -23   -10   -9   -64   8.7    32%-0.15-401.74%0-1.935INF
17Nov_27_201526.8925.1124.9324.75 24.72 24.6924.63(-0.29%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -17   -10   -6   -49   2.25    32%-0.19-53.71.74%0-1.350INF
18Nov_25_201526.9425.1425.0224.85 24.81 24.6824.7(-0.29%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -15   -40   -7   -40   4.53    33%-0.15-78.51.78%0-1.343INF
19Nov_24_201526.9825.1725.1224.92 24.93 24.7424.77(0.4%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -12   -50   -5   -31   8.23    33%-0.11-97.71.97%0-1.240INF
20Nov_23_201527.0125.1925.224.91 24.98 24.9324.68(-1.18%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -17   -10   -13   -30   6.35    33%-0.11-1201.97%0-1.547INF
 
21Nov_20_201527.0425.2425.2825.08 25.06 25.1324.97(-0.57%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -3   20   -1   -10   9.7    31%-0.11-103.21.98%0-0.751INF
22Nov_19_201527.0725.3125.2725.14 25.15 25.0325.11(0.14%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -4   -30   -3   -5   5.96    33%-0.07-71.61.98%0-0.357INF
23Nov_18_201527.0925.4125.325.21 25.2 24.9925.08(1.55%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -12   -60   -15   -4   9.52    33%-0.11-61.32%0-0.549INF
24Nov_17_201527.1225.4925.3525.35 25.39 25.2624.69(-3.35%)N/AN/A0-0.9   -7   -30   -13   11   9.48    33%-0.11-50.71.99%0-1.147INF
25Nov_16_201527.1525.6125.4125.53 25.54 25.4125.55(1.09%)UDOpenLong650   6   -30   -2   29   7.06    35%-44.51.96%0-0.154INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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