Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.9100 (1.75%) ($49.7700 - $50.0000) on Wed. May. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $49.9100(1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(76%)    VT(73%)    EWG(71%)    SPY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.82(-10.2%)
Resistance Level   $50.3
5 Day Moving Average   $49.23(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.46(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.3(-0.78%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.3%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.03%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.35%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.29%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2016	49.56	50.3	49.46	49.23	49.3	49.44	49.91(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	20	27	-53	1.97	59%	0.04	-71.9	1.23%	0	-0.3	45	0
2	May_24_2016	49.54	50.45	49.53	49.01	49.03	49.13	49.05(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	20	-5	-78	3.67	57%	0	-72.7	1.21%	0	-1	35	0
3	May_23_2016	49.54	50.65	49.71	49.13	49.02	49.15	49.25(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	10	0	-75	3.9	55%	0	-73.7	1.21%	0	-1	30	0
4	May_20_2016	49.54	50.82	49.81	49.28	49.15	48.94	49.07(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-6	-89	2.32	57%	-0.02	-72.2	1.25%	0	-1.2	23	0
5	May_19_2016	49.55	51.01	49.95	49.38	49.37	48.89	48.86(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-70	-36	-112	2.69	57%	-0.02	-69.2	1.26%	0	-1.5	25	0

6	May_18_2016	49.56	51.24	50.11	49.72	49.61	49.37	48.84(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-61	-40	-42	-118	3.21	57%	-0.04	-62.5	1.26%	0	-1.7	22	0
7	May_17_2016	49.58	51.49	50.3	50.11	50.06	49.85	49.65(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-30	-16	-112	2.54	60%	-0.02	-54.7	1.25%	0	-1.3	23	0
8	May_16_2016	49.59	51.71	50.48	50.38	50.33	49.86	49.96(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-70	-23	-117	1.9	60%	0	-46.8	1.25%	0	-1.3	25	0
9	May_13_2016	49.59	51.87	50.73	50.42	50.56	50.27	49.58(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-30	-30	-120	2.97	60%	-0.02	-44.2	1.25%	0	-1.7	27	0
10	May_12_2016	49.6	52.04	50.99	50.59	50.7	50.8	50.58(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-26	20	1	-108	2.83	63%	-0.02	-39.8	1.24%	0	-1.2	29	0

11	May_11_2016	49.61	52.17	51.21	50.56	50.6	50.85	50.76(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	40	13	-111	1.72	60%	-0.02	-34.3	1.24%	0	-1.2	27	0
12	May_10_2016	49.62	52.28	51.43	50.52	50.55	50.6	51(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	10	7	-119	2.56	60%	0.02	-31.4	1.27%	0	-1.1	27	0
13	May_9_2016	49.61	52.37	51.64	50.62	50.53	50.35	50.16(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-30	-29	-140	2.83	58%	-0.02	-23.6	1.25%	0	-2	15	0
14	May_6_2016	49.62	52.47	51.9	51.1	50.87	50.5	50.47(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-60	-32	-123	3.53	58%	-0.02	-11.3	1.25%	0	-2	29	0
15	May_5_2016	49.63	52.54	52.15	51.46	51.4	50.71	50.42(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-100	-46	-111	3.44	58%	-0.02	-4.8	1.26%	0	-2.1	34	0

16	May_4_2016	49.64	52.58	52.47	51.95	51.81	51.24	50.54(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-68	-90	-61	-90	5.35	60%	-0.02	0	1.27%	0	-2.3	34	0
17	May_3_2016	49.65	52.65	52.8	52.47	52.31	52.09	51.51(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-40	-29	-47	4.68	65%	0.04	8.4	1.27%	0	-1.3	38	0
18	May_2_2016	49.63	52.63	53.05	52.79	52.64	52.39	52.58(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-40	-10	-12	2.42	64%	0.06	9.1	1.26%	0	-0.1	53	0
19	Apr_29_2016	49.6	52.59	53.12	52.82	52.79	52.53	52.25(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-40	-20	-5	3.92	64%	0.02	10.3	1.31%	0	-0.4	56	0
20	Apr_28_2016	49.59	52.59	53.19	52.95	52.92	52.88	52.85(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10	-12	16	4.22	64%	0.06	17.6	1.3%	0	0.3	66	0

21	Apr_27_2016	49.56	52.59	53.21	53.07	52.99	53.06	53.17(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	0	-3	43	2.04	64%	0.06	27.2	1.3%	0	0.7	74	0
22	Apr_26_2016	49.53	52.58	53.2	53.19	53.15	52.95	53.12(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-30	-7	59	3.29	64%	0.04	35.9	1.31%	0	0.6	63	0
23	Apr_25_2016	49.51	52.55	53.14	53.37	53.3	52.92	52.71(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-50	-27	75	2.21	64%	0	45	1.31%	0	0.2	67	0
24	Apr_22_2016	49.51	52.5	53.08	53.47	53.3	53.35	52.92(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-30	-12	90	1.89	66%	0.02	44.5	1.32%	0	0.5	59	0
25	Apr_21_2016	49.5	52.43	52.95	53.45	53.62	53.69	53.45(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	20	-1	88	2.4	66%		40.1	1.36%	0	1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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