Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $61.4400 (-0.5%) ($61.4300 - $61.7100) on Tue. Apr. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $61.4400(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(77%)    VT(74%)    EWG(71%)    SPY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-19%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.31(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.4(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.14(3.89%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 36 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(53%) Sample size 36 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(44%) Sample size 36 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.96%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2015	56.77	59.14	60.4	61.31	61.43	61.65	61.44(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	30	25	189	2.25	65%	0.09	65	0.98%	0	1.5	78	0
2	Apr_20_2015	56.72	58.96	60.08	61.11	61.23	61.41	61.75(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	75	30	36	191	2.94	65%	0.09	72.6	0.98%	0	1.9	76	0
3	Apr_17_2015	56.67	58.75	59.77	60.65	60.89	61.22	61.02(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	50	30	181	4.01	63%	0.07	81.3	0.97%	0	1.7	75	0
4	Apr_16_2015	56.63	58.55	59.47	60.36	60.52	61.05	61.52(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	91	70	59	187	3.41	63%	0.09	86.8	0.97%	0	2.4	79	0
5	Apr_15_2015	56.58	58.36	59.05	59.78	60.06	60.57	60.82(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	85	70	62	154	2.06	62%	0.07	103.4	0.96%	0	2.4	71	0

6	Apr_14_2015	56.54	58.16	58.69	59.36	59.52	59.99	60.46(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	69	60	52	120	3.61	62%	0.07	118.5	0.96%	0	2.6	66	0
7	Apr_13_2015	56.5	57.92	58.39	58.89	59.12	59.55	59.42(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	60	42	88	3.57	60%	0.05	100	0.94%	0	1.7	62	0
8	Apr_10_2015	56.47	57.69	58.18	58.76	58.77	59.06	59.6(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	40	38	75	2.93	60%	0.05	73.7	0.94%	0	1.9	65	0
9	Apr_9_2015	56.44	57.49	57.94	58.45	58.55	58.69	58.58(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	20	26	54	2.2	57%	0.05	60.5	0.92%	0	1.1	63	0
10	Apr_8_2015	56.41	57.32	57.86	58.21	58.38	58.48	58.75(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	20	26	37	3.77	60%	0.04	42.2	0.93%	0	1.3	55	0

11	Apr_7_2015	56.39	57.14	57.78	57.91	58.01	58.42	58.11(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	50	19	27	2.84	60%	0.02	24.1	0.95%	0	0.8	60	0
12	Apr_6_2015	56.38	57.05	57.75	57.8	57.76	58.29	58.78(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	60	56	59	3.33	63%	0.04	19.5	0.94%	0	1.5	74	0
13	Apr_2_2015	56.36	56.94	57.64	57.51	57.48	57.6	58.01(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	29	61	2.89	56%	0.02	14.2	0.94%	0	1	75	0
14	Apr_1_2015	56.35	56.88	57.56	57.37	57.32	57.24	57.39(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10	-10	54	1.75	54%	0	12.4	0.95%	0	0.5	64	0
15	Mar_31_2015	56.35	56.88	57.61	57.46	57.34	57.36	57.24(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-0	-15	87	1.88	54%	0	16.3	0.95%	0	0.4	66	0

16	Mar_30_2015	56.35	56.86	57.6	57.62	57.55	57.4	57.58(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-20	-2	126	1.9	54%	0	24.7	0.95%	0	0.7	69	0
17	Mar_27_2015	56.35	56.83	57.42	57.69	57.68	57.32	57.32(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-40	-29	115	1.45	54%	0.02	32.2	0.95%	0	0.5	56	0
18	Mar_26_2015	56.34	56.79	57.2	57.78	57.83	57.71	57.34(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10	-19	107	2.06	54%	0.02	37.4	0.96%	0	0.6	53	0
19	Mar_25_2015	56.33	56.76	57.03	57.76	57.9	58.04	57.8(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	20	10	106	3.06	54%	0	42.2	0.95%	0	1.1	53	0
20	Mar_24_2015	56.33	56.7	56.77	57.79	57.7	57.95	58.08(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	30	23	95	1.56	54%	0.02	48.2	0.96%	0	1.5	54	0

21	Mar_23_2015	56.32	56.61	56.46	57.57	57.53	57.76	57.92(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	30	41	67	2.29	52%	-0.02	47.2	0.96%	0	1.4	52	0
22	Mar_20_2015	56.33	56.51	56.29	57.11	57.28	57.44	57.77(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	30	45	33	2.82	54%	-0.04	34.9	0.97%	0	1.5	53	0
23	Mar_19_2015	56.35	56.42	56.17	56.51	56.76	57.3	57.21(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	28	80	39	-4	2.18	52%	-0.04	20	0.97%	0	1	53	0
24	Mar_18_2015	56.37	56.35	56.13	56.19	56.16	57.13	57.96(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	59	120	81	-6	4.93	55%	0	12.5	0.96%	0	2	56	0
25	Mar_17_2015	56.37	56.24	56.01	55.62	55.75	56.22	57.01(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	53	70	84	-39	4.1	48%		-6.3	0.94%	0	1.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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