Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $55.6700 (0.81%) ($55.6400 - $55.9700) on Tue. Jul. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $55.6700(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(76%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(3%)    TIP(4%)    BNDX(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.2(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.81(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.63(3.8%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(50%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(54%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 2.63%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.9%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2013	56.53	53.63	54.81	55.2	55.11	55.42	55.67(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	30	23	121	1.42	47%	-0.11	53.2	1.44%	0	1.4	65	NAN
2	Jul_22_2013	56.59	53.36	54.5	55.03	55.02	54.94	55.22(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	8	101	1.66	49%	-0.12	35.2	1.44%	0	1.2	57	NAN
3	Jul_19_2013	56.66	53.16	54.18	54.97	54.94	54.81	54.91(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-20	-8	84	1.41	49%	-0.12	26.3	1.45%	0	1.1	59	NAN
4	Jul_18_2013	56.73	52.98	53.87	54.89	54.97	55.09	54.78(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	20	-0	78	1.19	47%	-0.12	14.9	1.45%	0	1.1	61	NAN
5	Jul_17_2013	56.8	52.9	53.64	54.97	54.89	55.08	55.42(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	20	26	104	1.5	45%	-0.11	13.3	1.45%	0	1.7	72	NAN

6	Jul_16_2013	56.86	52.84	53.38	54.35	54.74	54.86	54.81(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	40	30	94	1.55	49%	-0.11	0.7	1.46%	0	1.3	70	NAN
7	Jul_15_2013	56.92	52.81	53.26	53.88	54.15	54.7	54.95(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	90	30	98	2.06	49%	-0.12	-12.5	1.51%	0	1.5	73	NAN
8	Jul_12_2013	56.99	52.81	53.06	53.26	53.52	54.63	54.5(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	160	61	99	1.99	46%	-0.14	-33	1.51%	0	1.3	64	NAN
9	Jul_11_2013	57.07	52.75	52.87	52.7	52.85	53.6	55.15(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	71	110	66	87	4.4	46%	-0.11	-50.6	1.55%	0	1.7	67	NAN
10	Jul_10_2013	57.13	52.7	52.45	52.15	52.11	52.41	52.32(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	40	8	29	2.13	42%	-0.16	-70.8	1.39%	0	-0.3	44	NAN

11	Jul_9_2013	57.22	52.83	52.34	52.29	52.08	52.09	52.47(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10	-1	4	2.06	42%	-0.09	-73.6	1.41%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
12	Jul_8_2013	57.27	52.99	52.13	52.55	52.27	51.81	51.84(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-80	-28	-26	1.8	42%	-0.17	-71.7	1.41%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
13	Jul_5_2013	57.37	53.21	52.08	52.82	52.82	52.07	51.71(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-100	-36	-39	2.38	40%	-0.21	-65.3	1.41%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
14	Jul_3_2013	57.49	53.48	52.06	53.04	53.1	52.74	52.42(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-40	-23	-50	1.66	38%	-0.14	-56.6	1.42%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
15	Jul_2_2013	57.57	53.71	52.14	52.76	53.19	53.56	53(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	70	26	-53	2.24	38%	-0.12	-57.3	1.42%	0	-0.3	41	NAN

16	Jul_1_2013	57.64	53.94	52.28	52.37	52.63	53.46	53.79(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	28	130	58	-61	2.09	38%	-0.1	-56.4	1.41%	0	-0.1	42	NAN
17	Jun_28_2013	57.7	54.17	52.31	51.64	51.91	52.81	53.2(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	21	140	62	-103	2.37	38%	-0.09	-59.8	1.41%	0	-0.4	36	NAN
18	Jun_27_2013	57.75	54.38	52.38	51.26	51.19	51.8	52.8(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	80	44	-146	3.02	38%	-0.1	-61.2	1.4%	0	-0.6	32	NAN
19	Jun_26_2013	57.81	54.65	52.57	50.97	50.83	51.02	51(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-52	20	-0	-207	3.13	36%	-0.14	-62.8	1.32%	0	-1.4	18	NAN
20	Jun_25_2013	57.89	55	52.93	51.45	50.94	50.59	51.06(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-84	-80	-39	-217	4.03	37%	-0.14	-62.1	1.35%	0	-1.5	20	NAN

21	Jun_24_2013	57.97	55.34	53.34	52.2	51.66	50.64	50.15(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-113	-170	-75	-226	3.45	35%	-0.17	-58.9	1.33%	0	-2.1	11	NAN
22	Jun_21_2013	58.07	55.71	53.93	53.07	52.82	51.28	51.3(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-120	-220	-88	-217	2.75	37%	-0.14	-59.1	1.32%	0	-2.1	12	NAN
23	Jun_20_2013	58.15	56.04	54.46	53.64	53.65	52.68	51.35(-3.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-127	-130	-100	-206	6.26	37%	-0.15	-61.1	1.33%	0	-2.5	22	NAN
24	Jun_19_2013	58.24	56.38	55.07	54.36	54.4	54.35	53.39(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-57	-0	-22	-161	2.59	40%	-0.1	-61.1	1.25%	0	-1.9	25	NAN
25	Jun_18_2013	58.3	56.64	55.45	54.62	54.55	54.61	54.8(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	0	3	-152	1.39	43%		-60	1.21%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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