Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $58.6400 (0.22%) ($58.4800 - $58.7900) on Wed. May. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $58.6400(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(76%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.45(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.03(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.95(2.97%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.32%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.73%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.46%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2013	59.76	56.95	58.03	58.45	58.48	58.56	58.64(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	10	18	131	1.53	52%	-0.07	48	1.15%	0	1.3	80	0
2	May_7_2013	59.8	56.85	57.82	58.29	58.29	58.37	58.51(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	2	124	1.27	52%	-0.07	43.3	1.17%	0	1.4	69	0
3	May_6_2013	59.84	56.72	57.58	58.27	58.18	58.41	58.28(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	20	15	128	1.52	52%	-0.07	35.1	1.17%	0	1.3	59	0
4	May_3_2013	59.88	56.58	57.35	58.07	58.15	58.22	58.65(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	10	30	135	1.9	50%	-0.07	18.5	1.17%	0	1.8	69	0
5	May_2_2013	59.92	56.42	57.01	57.71	57.83	57.95	58.18(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	6	111	1.53	50%	-0.07	-5.5	1.17%	0	1.7	66	0

6	May_1_2013	59.96	56.35	56.68	57.54	57.58	58.09	57.84(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	60	30	95	1.5	50%	-0.07	-22.3	1.18%	0	1.5	53	0
7	Apr_30_2013	60	56.33	56.45	57.26	57.38	57.7	58.42(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	50	53	82	2.07	50%	-0.05	-35.1	1.16%	0	2	55	0
8	Apr_29_2013	60.03	56.31	56.24	56.79	56.95	57.07	57.28(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	20	18	52	1.24	50%	-0.05	-46.4	1.13%	0	0.9	56	0
9	Apr_26_2013	60.06	56.37	56.01	56.51	56.64	57.05	56.82(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	60	26	36	1.26	48%	-0.07	-49.7	1.14%	0	0.4	57	0
10	Apr_25_2013	60.1	56.48	55.83	56.2	56.37	56.83	57.32(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	70	55	25	2.19	46%	-0.05	-41.7	1.14%	0	0.7	57	0

11	Apr_24_2013	60.13	56.57	55.76	55.69	55.9	56.22	56.45(0.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	18	50	28	-12	1.91	43%	-0.05	-42.7	1.15%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Apr_23_2013	60.16	56.71	55.8	55.53	55.53	55.91	56.09(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	50	13	-34	1.84	42%	-0.07	-39.3	1.15%	0	-0.4	41	0
13	Apr_22_2013	60.2	56.82	55.78	55.63	55.43	55.59	55.88(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	10	21	-47	1.48	42%	-0.07	-37.1	1.16%	0	-0.6	38	0
14	Apr_19_2013	60.24	56.92	55.74	55.43	55.59	55.16	55.24(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-50	-4	-97	1.19	40%	-0.08	-43.7	1.14%	0	-1.1	33	0
15	Apr_18_2013	60.29	57.02	55.8	55.41	55.6	55.27	54.8(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-72	-30	-47	-146	2.03	40%	-0.07	-53.7	1.15%	0	-1.5	29	0

16	Apr_17_2013	60.33	57.2	56.01	55.83	55.67	56.02	55.64(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	40	-13	-137	2.98	42%	-0.07	-54.5	1.13%	0	-1.1	30	0
17	Apr_16_2013	60.37	57.33	56.22	56.1	56	55.93	56.58(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10	28	-123	2.57	43%	-0.03	-56.9	1.13%	0	-0.5	33	0
18	Apr_15_2013	60.39	57.42	56.38	55.97	56.1	55.32	54.89(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-90	-43	-171	4.62	39%	-0.07	-66.4	1.05%	0	-1.8	31	0
19	Apr_12_2013	60.43	57.62	56.77	56.09	56.2	56.07	55.12(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-73	-10	-44	-160	4.71	39%	-0.1	-78	1.04%	0	-1.9	38	0
20	Apr_11_2013	60.49	57.86	57.19	56.22	56.23	56.88	56.91(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	80	39	-109	1.51	42%	-0.02	-85.6	0.98%	0	-0.8	50	0

21	Apr_10_2013	60.5	58	57.44	56.21	55.89	56.33	57(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	40	33	-101	1.66	44%	-0.02	-91	0.98%	0	-0.8	45	0
22	Apr_9_2013	60.51	58.14	57.67	56.39	55.86	55.57	55.93(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-60	-30	-107	2.66	41%	-0.05	-92.6	0.96%	0	-1.7	38	0
23	Apr_8_2013	60.54	58.38	57.94	56.89	56.44	55.45	55.48(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-90	-150	-86	-101	1.64	41%	-0.02	-86.8	0.95%	0	-2.2	33	0
24	Apr_5_2013	60.55	58.66	58.2	57.56	57.23	56.14	55.77(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-113	-150	-122	-87	2.68	41%	-0.02	-81.4	0.95%	0	-2.3	32	0
25	Apr_4_2013	60.56	58.95	58.38	58.29	58.1	57.44	56.87(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-80	-90	-88	-55	2.31	44%		-70.2	0.93%	0	-1.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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