Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $62.1900 (0.88%) ($61.9700 - $62.3800) on Tue. Mar. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $62.1900(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(76%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.93(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.68(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.86(2.19%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.24%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -2.28%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.33%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2013	60.28	60.86	61.68	61.93	61.78	61.79	62.19(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10	23	72	2.5	54%	0.08	55	0.94%	0	1.2	67	NAN
2	Mar_4_2013	60.23	60.69	61.58	61.75	61.69	61.52	61.65(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-4	66	2.64	54%	0.08	49	0.93%	0	0.8	65	NAN
3	Mar_1_2013	60.18	60.59	61.52	61.75	61.65	61.77	61.94(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	20	-2	69	2.24	54%	0.07	42.6	0.92%	0	1.1	69	NAN
4	Feb_28_2013	60.14	60.46	61.42	61.53	61.56	61.86	61.69(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	40	21	105	1.62	54%	0.08	38.9	0.92%	0	1.1	73	NAN
5	Feb_27_2013	60.09	60.36	61.32	61.49	61.54	61.52	62.18(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	0	20	123	1.33	54%	0.07	31.2	0.92%	0	1.6	75	NAN

6	Feb_26_2013	60.05	60.23	61.08	61.41	61.47	61.25	61.31(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-20	-24	114	1.36	51%	0.03	21.1	0.9%	0	1	68	NAN
7	Feb_25_2013	60.03	60.12	60.94	61.39	61.67	61.57	60.51(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	26	0	-10	133	2.3	48%	0	6.5	0.89%	0	0.4	66	NAN
8	Feb_22_2013	60.03	60.09	60.86	61.48	61.69	61.68	61.98(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	10	9	157	2.01	57%	0.05	-4.1	0.85%	0	1.9	70	NAN
9	Feb_21_2013	60	60.02	60.53	61.29	61.47	61.78	61.48(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	40	17	138	3.32	57%	0.03	-15.2	0.86%	0	1.5	67	NAN
10	Feb_20_2013	59.98	60.02	60.26	61.11	61.3	61.7	61.76(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	79	60	59	137	2.67	57%	0.05	-25	0.86%	0	1.8	70	NAN

11	Feb_19_2013	59.95	60.01	59.98	60.71	60.94	61.16	61.21(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	40	40	97	3.58	60%	0.03	-38.1	0.85%	0	1.2	61	NAN
12	Feb_15_2013	59.93	60.06	59.73	60.43	60.54	60.91	60.98(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	50	33	71	1.27	60%	0.03	-44.1	0.9%	0	0.8	67	NAN
13	Feb_14_2013	59.91	60.12	59.57	60.15	60.18	60.72	61.01(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	60	61	62	1.45	60%	0.05	-48.6	0.9%	0	0.7	58	NAN
14	Feb_13_2013	59.88	60.17	59.41	59.65	59.82	60.17	60.57(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	50	61	17	2	60%	0.03	-58.7	0.9%	0	0.3	44	NAN
15	Feb_12_2013	59.86	60.25	59.41	59.28	59.29	59.64	59.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	40	24	-41	1.84	58%	0	-63.4	0.9%	0	-0.3	34	NAN

16	Feb_11_2013	59.86	60.4	59.29	59.12	59.02	59.48	59.8(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	50	40	-69	1.27	58%	0	-62.4	0.9%	0	-0.4	30	NAN
17	Feb_8_2013	59.86	60.55	59.22	58.93	58.91	58.95	59.56(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	0	26	-122	1.8	55%	0	-64.4	0.9%	0	-0.6	27	NAN
18	Feb_7_2013	59.86	60.74	59.23	58.92	58.79	58.56	58.51(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-70	-30	-34	-179	2.3	48%	-0.02	-62.9	0.89%	0	-1.3	16	NAN
19	Feb_6_2013	59.87	60.95	59.47	59.13	59.05	58.86	58.72(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-30	-24	-173	1.44	51%	-0.03	-68	0.91%	0	-1.4	24	NAN
20	Feb_5_2013	59.89	61.15	59.75	59.31	59.3	59.02	59.03(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-30	-23	-171	1.93	51%	-0.02	-70	0.93%	0	-1.3	24	NAN

21	Feb_4_2013	59.9	61.36	60.06	59.48	59.45	59.25	58.81(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-63	-30	-27	-171	3	51%	-0.02	-67.2	0.93%	0	-1.6	20	NAN
22	Feb_1_2013	59.91	61.6	60.42	59.54	59.68	59.58	59.54(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-43	-0	-1	-169	2.23	53%	0	-63.6	0.91%	0	-1.4	22	NAN
23	Jan_31_2013	59.91	61.82	60.73	59.59	59.53	59.66	59.57(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-58	10	-17	-180	1.84	53%	0.02	-56.9	0.92%	0	-1.5	20	NAN
24	Jan_30_2013	59.9	62.08	60.99	59.87	59.54	59.78	59.58(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	10	-4	-167	2.74	53%	0.05	-40.8	0.92%	0	-1.6	30	NAN
25	Jan_29_2013	59.87	62.28	61.29	60.28	59.86	59.39	59.9(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-80	-26	-156	2.13	53%		-30.9	0.92%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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