Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $59.3100 (0.22%) ($58.9600 - $59.5500) on Wed. Oct. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $59.3100(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(76%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.38(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.24(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.96(0.59%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2012	55.3	58.96	59.24	59.38	59.44	59.39	59.31(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-0	-3	-22	2.62	68%	0.07	59.5	1.38%	0	0.3	49	0
2	Oct_2_2012	55.26	58.77	59.31	59.19	59.47	59.58	59.18(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	8	30	13	-9	2.96	68%	0.07	48	1.4%	0	0.3	60	0
3	Oct_1_2012	55.22	58.62	59.38	59.05	59.21	59.48	59.65(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	40	8	0	1.37	68%	0.07	43.2	1.4%	0	0.7	66	0
4	Sep_28_2012	55.18	58.45	59.39	59.03	59.06	59.35	59.13(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	40	11	19	2.33	71%	0.04	39.4	1.51%	0	0.4	67	0
5	Sep_27_2012	55.16	58.3	59.52	59.11	59.11	58.94	59.61(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	5	38	1.4	71%	0.04	35.7	1.51%	0	0.8	62	0

6	Sep_26_2012	55.14	58.16	59.51	59.1	59.18	58.77	58.36(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-40	-29	45	1.51	70%	0	33.8	1.49%	0	0.1	64	0
7	Sep_25_2012	55.14	58.07	59.5	59.45	59.39	59.28	58.52(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-20	-21	81	2.4	65%	0	36.7	1.49%	0	0.3	71	0
8	Sep_24_2012	55.14	57.97	59.42	59.73	59.62	59.59	59.55(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	-0	109	1.4	68%	0.04	36.9	1.53%	0	0.9	70	0
9	Sep_21_2012	55.12	57.84	59.17	59.79	59.72	59.5	59.52(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-30	-11	114	0.96	64%	0	37.4	1.53%	0	1	66	0
10	Sep_20_2012	55.12	57.71	58.99	59.79	59.79	59.65	59.54(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-30	-16	131	1.99	64%	-0.02	39	1.57%	0	1.1	68	0

11	Sep_19_2012	55.13	57.6	58.69	59.99	60.14	59.95	60.11(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10	16	145	1.2	65%	0.02	39.9	1.57%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Sep_18_2012	55.12	57.46	58.21	59.56	59.79	59.94	59.93(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	30	8	120	1.21	65%	0.02	33.7	1.58%	0	1.7	65	0
13	Sep_17_2012	55.11	57.34	57.81	59.04	59.32	60.32	59.84(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	130	47	115	1.32	65%	0	27.4	1.58%	0	1.9	65	0
14	Sep_14_2012	55.11	57.22	57.44	58.43	58.66	59.65	60.55(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	79	130	72	100	2.67	65%	0.04	14.1	1.57%	0	2.7	63	0
15	Sep_13_2012	55.09	57.09	56.94	57.86	57.76	58.31	59.53(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	44	60	39	58	2.55	63%	0.02	4.1	1.57%	0	2.5	60	0

16	Sep_12_2012	55.08	56.98	56.64	57.23	57.49	57.68	57.93(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	40	39	31	1.38	63%	0	-11.6	1.54%	0	1.1	51	0
17	Sep_11_2012	55.08	56.97	56.47	56.66	56.94	57.21	57.33(0.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	10	50	15	-7	1.19	63%	0	-23.3	1.56%	0	0.4	47	0
18	Sep_10_2012	55.08	56.98	56.37	56.38	56.34	57.3	56.83(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	120	29	-22	1	63%	-0.04	-25.9	1.56%	0	-0.2	42	0
19	Sep_7_2012	55.1	56.98	56.39	56.27	56.04	56.67	57.69(2.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	37	70	56	-20	2.19	64%	-0.02	-16	1.55%	0	0.7	48	0
20	Sep_6_2012	55.11	57.05	56.31	55.9	55.72	55.39	56.36(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-50	-3	-66	1.97	65%	-0.04	-12.2	1.54%	0	-0.8	34	0

21	Sep_5_2012	55.13	57.08	56.41	55.98	55.75	55.41	55.08(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-60	-36	-79	2.31	63%	-0.09	-5.2	1.55%	0	-2.3	29	0
22	Sep_4_2012	55.18	57.17	56.67	56.25	56.21	56.06	55.92(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-20	-7	-61	2.05	63%	-0.13	9.9	1.54%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Aug_31_2012	55.25	57.2	56.87	56.35	56.37	56.1	56.29(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-14	-59	1.14	60%	-0.05	24.8	1.55%	0	-1.2	39	0
24	Aug_30_2012	55.28	57.19	57.02	56.53	56.44	56.36	55.83(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10	-19	-58	1.48	58%	-0.05	31.4	1.55%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Aug_29_2012	55.31	57.16	57.27	56.78	56.67	56.64	56.78(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10	-2	-40	1.16	62%		49.7	1.55%	0	-0.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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