Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $59.5300 (2.76%) ($57.6100 - $59.6900) on Thu. Sep. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $59.5300(2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(76%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.86(2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.94(4.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.09(4.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.82%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.36%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2012	55.09	57.09	56.94	57.86	57.76	58.31	59.53(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	44	60	39	58	2.55	63%	0.02	4.1	1.57%	0	2.5	60	0
2	Sep_12_2012	55.08	56.98	56.64	57.23	57.49	57.68	57.93(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	40	39	31	1.38	63%	0	-11.6	1.54%	0	1.1	51	0
3	Sep_11_2012	55.08	56.97	56.47	56.66	56.94	57.21	57.33(0.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	10	50	15	-7	1.19	63%	0	-23.3	1.56%	0	0.4	47	0
4	Sep_10_2012	55.08	56.98	56.37	56.38	56.34	57.3	56.83(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	120	29	-22	1	63%	-0.04	-25.9	1.56%	0	-0.2	42	0
5	Sep_7_2012	55.1	56.98	56.39	56.27	56.04	56.67	57.69(2.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	37	70	56	-20	2.19	64%	-0.02	-16	1.55%	0	0.7	48	0

6	Sep_6_2012	55.11	57.05	56.31	55.9	55.72	55.39	56.36(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-50	-3	-66	1.97	65%	-0.04	-12.2	1.54%	0	-0.8	34	0
7	Sep_5_2012	55.13	57.08	56.41	55.98	55.75	55.41	55.08(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-60	-36	-79	2.31	63%	-0.09	-5.2	1.55%	0	-2.3	29	0
8	Sep_4_2012	55.18	57.17	56.67	56.25	56.21	56.06	55.92(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-20	-7	-61	2.05	63%	-0.13	9.9	1.54%	0	-1.7	31	0
9	Aug_31_2012	55.25	57.2	56.87	56.35	56.37	56.1	56.29(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-14	-59	1.14	60%	-0.05	24.8	1.55%	0	-1.2	39	0
10	Aug_30_2012	55.28	57.19	57.02	56.53	56.44	56.36	55.83(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10	-19	-58	1.48	58%	-0.05	31.4	1.55%	0	-1.5	30	0

11	Aug_29_2012	55.31	57.16	57.27	56.78	56.67	56.64	56.78(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10	-2	-40	1.16	62%	0	49.7	1.55%	0	-0.4	42	0
12	Aug_28_2012	55.31	57.12	57.36	56.92	56.79	56.52	56.45(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-40	-14	-34	1.29	62%	-0.05	70.8	1.58%	0	-0.7	50	0
13	Aug_27_2012	55.34	57.09	57.53	57.15	56.97	56.7	56.42(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-40	-24	-22	1.95	62%	0.02	86.4	1.59%	0	-0.6	51	0
14	Aug_24_2012	55.33	57.01	57.66	57.46	57.3	57.05	57.17(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-40	-12	2	1.14	62%	-0.05	100.5	1.58%	0	0.1	60	0
15	Aug_23_2012	55.36	56.91	57.78	57.58	57.5	57.24	57.08(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-40	-17	18	1.62	62%	-0.05	91.3	1.59%	0	0.1	62	0

16	Aug_22_2012	55.39	56.72	57.85	57.82	57.63	57.55	57.49(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-12	49	1.97	62%	-0.07	76.8	1.59%	0	0.4	73	0
17	Aug_21_2012	55.43	56.45	57.8	57.87	57.85	57.77	57.58(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10	1	62	1.54	64%	-0.05	65.9	1.59%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Aug_20_2012	55.46	56.17	57.72	57.96	57.81	57.7	57.98(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-20	-8	69	5.22	64%	-0.04	58.7	1.61%	0	0.8	66	0
19	Aug_17_2012	55.48	55.86	57.56	57.89	57.94	57.94	57.76(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	0	-1	81	1.31	61%	-0.02	55.3	1.62%	0	0.8	70	0
20	Aug_16_2012	55.49	55.62	57.39	58	57.9	57.94	58.3(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	3	95	1.53	57%	-0.02	58.4	1.63%	0	1.2	69	0

21	Aug_15_2012	55.5	55.38	57.05	57.9	57.87	57.93	57.72(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	10	5	102	1.1	56%	-0.04	62.2	1.69%	0	1.1	75	0
22	Aug_14_2012	55.52	55.14	56.86	57.71	57.89	57.87	58.05(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	10	14	127	0.68	55%	-0.05	61.5	1.69%	0	1.4	80	0
23	Aug_13_2012	55.55	54.9	56.61	57.43	57.53	57.81	57.62(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	40	7	140	1.1	55%	-0.02	61.5	1.7%	0	1.3	80	0
24	Aug_10_2012	55.56	54.64	56.31	57.16	57.29	57.91	58.33(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	80	36	164	1.15	54%	-0.02	59	1.7%	0	1.8	83	0
25	Aug_9_2012	55.57	54.36	55.96	56.69	56.87	57.26	57.76(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	70	60	39	163	1.49	53%		54	1.7%	0	1.8	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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