Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $55.4300 (2.21%) ($54.6200 - $55.7000) on Mon. Aug. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $55.4300(2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.85(-28.11%)
Resistance Level   $61.14
5 Day Moving Average   $54.23(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.57(-2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.14(-9.34%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 8.72% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.95%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.41%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 15.03%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -6.59%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.01%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.05%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2011	64.23	61.14	56.57	54.23	53.88	54.59	55.43(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-41	70	22	-229	3.75	42%	-0.11	-51.9	2.35%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
2	Aug_12_2011	64.3	61.61	57.54	53.74	53.51	54.12	54.23(-1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-57	70	7	-248	3.67	41%	-0.11	-57	2.34%	0	-1.4	27	NAN
3	Aug_11_2011	64.37	62.21	58.65	54.57	53.54	53.17	55.03(6.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-76	-100	-19	-247	9.52	40%	-0.08	-58.1	2.33%	0	-1.5	27	NAN
4	Aug_10_2011	64.42	62.75	59.73	55.28	54.61	52.9	51.44(-6.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-135	-260	-86	-281	7.03	34%	-0.14	-60.2	2.15%	0	-2.4	15	NAN
5	Aug_9_2011	64.51	63.51	61.2	57.55	56.45	53.9	55(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-157	-370	-122	-261	9.68	37%	-0.08	-59.4	2.02%	0	-2.2	20	NAN

6	Aug_8_2011	64.56	64.04	62.38	59.29	58.65	56.32	53(-9.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-171	-310	-150	-234	8.36	33%	-0.11	-58	1.95%	0	-3.3	13	NAN
7	Aug_5_2011	64.63	64.73	63.79	61.87	61.19	58.99	58.37(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-140	-280	-128	-177	8.92	39%	0.02	-56.4	1.6%	0	-2.7	28	NAN
8	Aug_4_2011	64.62	65.21	64.67	63.33	63.14	60.98	58.61(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-130	-250	-130	-128	9.37	38%	0.03	-43.4	1.61%	0	-3.5	26	NAN
9	Aug_3_2011	64.6	65.7	65.53	64.8	64.61	63.39	62.76(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-92	-140	-100	-67	4.62	41%	0.08	-23.4	1.41%	0	-2.6	39	NAN
10	Aug_2_2011	64.55	65.91	65.9	65.4	65.53	65.3	63.72(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-35	-20	-40	-19	3.76	43%	0.08	3.5	1.42%	0	-2.3	41	NAN

11	Aug_1_2011	64.5	66.06	66.13	65.96	65.97	65.83	65.89(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10	-1	24	4.65	46%	0.12	43.5	1.37%	0	-0.2	60	NAN
12	Jul_29_2011	64.42	66.07	66.13	66.03	66.03	65.77	65.68(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-30	-22	11	2.73	46%	0.12	66.7	1.38%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
13	Jul_28_2011	64.34	66.04	66.01	66.25	66.24	66.12	65.97(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10	-12	13	2.54	46%	0.09	87.4	1.38%	0	-0.1	42	NAN
14	Jul_27_2011	64.28	65.97	66.01	66.38	66.38	66.3	65.72(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-7	4	4.23	46%	0.09	94.2	1.38%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
15	Jul_26_2011	64.22	65.88	65.95	66.48	66.48	66.36	66.55(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10	1	5	1.66	46%	0.12	87.6	1.37%	0	0.6	49	NAN

16	Jul_25_2011	64.14	65.71	65.76	66.31	66.42	66.46	66.22(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	10	6	-10	1.7	46%	0.09	77.5	1.37%	0	0.4	48	NAN
17	Jul_22_2011	64.08	65.53	65.7	65.97	66.22	66.61	66.77(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	50	26	-18	1.35	46%	0.11	63.6	1.37%	0	0.9	53	NAN
18	Jul_21_2011	64.01	65.32	65.74	65.74	65.68	66.37	66.64(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	70	30	-11	1.75	46%	0.14	55.6	1.38%	0	0.9	58	NAN
19	Jul_20_2011	63.92	65.12	65.84	65.47	65.49	65.83	66.23(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	36	3	1.65	50%	0.16	48.6	1.38%	0	0.7	60	NAN
20	Jul_19_2011	63.82	64.96	65.88	65.36	65.33	64.99	65.69(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-40	-3	2	2.47	50%	0.11	44	1.45%	0	0.4	61	NAN

21	Jul_18_2011	63.75	64.77	65.96	65.15	65.4	65.15	64.5(-1.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	-20	-23	7	2.46	46%	0.11	35.5	1.44%	0	-0.2	61	NAN
22	Jul_15_2011	63.68	64.65	66.13	65.38	65.44	65.15	65.62(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	30	-9	42	1.95	48%	0.11	37.3	1.44%	0	0.5	68	NAN
23	Jul_14_2011	63.61	64.48	66.09	65.75	65.5	65.66	65.3(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	10	-4	75	3.6	48%	0.13	37.4	1.44%	0	0.4	68	NAN
24	Jul_13_2011	63.53	64.35	66.02	66.28	65.91	65.22	65.7(1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-90	-19	102	2.92	50%	0.13	42.8	1.44%	0	0.7	69	NAN
25	Jul_12_2011	63.45	64.25	65.83	66.48	66.4	65.34	64.61(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-120	-61	96	3.4	47%		45.4	1.46%	0	0.2	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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