Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 4, 2011

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $58.6100 (-6.61%) ($58.5400 - $60.4700) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $58.6100(-6.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $65.21
5 Day Moving Average   $63.33(-7.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.67(-9.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.21(-10.12%)
To recent high   -13.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.47%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.64%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.79%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2011	64.62	65.21	64.67	63.33	63.14	60.98	58.61(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-130	-250	-130	-128	9.37	38%	0.03	-43.4	1.61%	0	-3.5	26	0
2	Aug_3_2011	64.6	65.7	65.53	64.8	64.61	63.39	62.76(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-92	-140	-100	-67	4.62	41%	0.08	-23.4	1.41%	0	-2.6	39	0
3	Aug_2_2011	64.55	65.91	65.9	65.4	65.53	65.3	63.72(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-35	-20	-40	-19	3.76	43%	0.08	3.5	1.42%	0	-2.3	41	0
4	Aug_1_2011	64.5	66.06	66.13	65.96	65.97	65.83	65.89(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10	-1	24	4.65	46%	0.12	43.5	1.37%	0	-0.2	60	0
5	Jul_29_2011	64.42	66.07	66.13	66.03	66.03	65.77	65.68(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-30	-22	11	2.73	46%	0.12	66.7	1.38%	0	-0.5	50	0

6	Jul_28_2011	64.34	66.04	66.01	66.25	66.24	66.12	65.97(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10	-12	13	2.54	46%	0.09	87.4	1.38%	0	-0.1	42	0
7	Jul_27_2011	64.28	65.97	66.01	66.38	66.38	66.3	65.72(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-7	4	4.23	46%	0.09	94.2	1.38%	0	-0.3	39	0
8	Jul_26_2011	64.22	65.88	65.95	66.48	66.48	66.36	66.55(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10	1	5	1.66	46%	0.12	87.6	1.37%	0	0.6	49	0
9	Jul_25_2011	64.14	65.71	65.76	66.31	66.42	66.46	66.22(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	10	6	-10	1.7	46%	0.09	77.5	1.37%	0	0.4	48	0
10	Jul_22_2011	64.08	65.53	65.7	65.97	66.22	66.61	66.77(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	50	26	-18	1.35	46%	0.11	63.6	1.37%	0	0.9	53	0

11	Jul_21_2011	64.01	65.32	65.74	65.74	65.68	66.37	66.64(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	70	30	-11	1.75	46%	0.14	55.6	1.38%	0	0.9	58	0
12	Jul_20_2011	63.92	65.12	65.84	65.47	65.49	65.83	66.23(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	36	3	1.65	50%	0.16	48.6	1.38%	0	0.7	60	0
13	Jul_19_2011	63.82	64.96	65.88	65.36	65.33	64.99	65.69(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-40	-3	2	2.47	50%	0.11	44	1.45%	0	0.4	61	0
14	Jul_18_2011	63.75	64.77	65.96	65.15	65.4	65.15	64.5(-1.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	-20	-23	7	2.46	46%	0.11	35.5	1.44%	0	-0.2	61	0
15	Jul_15_2011	63.68	64.65	66.13	65.38	65.44	65.15	65.62(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	30	-9	42	1.95	48%	0.11	37.3	1.44%	0	0.5	68	0

16	Jul_14_2011	63.61	64.48	66.09	65.75	65.5	65.66	65.3(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	10	-4	75	3.6	48%	0.13	37.4	1.44%	0	0.4	68	0
17	Jul_13_2011	63.53	64.35	66.02	66.28	65.91	65.22	65.7(1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-90	-19	102	2.92	50%	0.13	42.8	1.44%	0	0.7	69	0
18	Jul_12_2011	63.45	64.25	65.83	66.48	66.4	65.34	64.61(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-120	-61	96	3.4	47%	0.02	45.4	1.46%	0	0.2	60	0
19	Jul_11_2011	63.44	64.14	65.7	66.87	66.87	66.6	65.69(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-30	-34	132	2.74	48%	0.08	46.9	1.47%	0	0.8	73	0
20	Jul_8_2011	63.39	63.96	65.41	66.94	67.02	67.46	67.47(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	50	30	172	1.95	51%	0.13	41.8	1.43%	0	1.8	81	0

21	Jul_7_2011	63.31	63.76	64.9	66.45	66.63	67.13	67.94(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	60	50	168	2.9	51%	0.14	35.2	1.43%	0	2.3	83	0
22	Jul_6_2011	63.22	63.51	64.33	65.73	65.88	66.59	66.71(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	80	43	142	3.84	49%	0.11	24.5	1.41%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Jul_5_2011	63.15	63.37	63.95	65.09	65.24	66.14	66.53(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	83	100	69	126	2.5	49%	0.17	9.4	1.41%	0	2.3	61	0
24	Jul_1_2011	63.04	63.23	63.44	64.37	64.35	65.18	66.07(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	70	90	62	94	3.27	52%	0.1	-9.7	1.4%	0	2.4	67	0
25	Jun_30_2011	62.98	63.14	63.01	63.66	63.6	64.35	65(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	80	52	63	3.44	52%		-24	1.4%	0	1.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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