Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $65.0500 (-0.97%) ($64.7800 - $65.4000) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $65.0500(-0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(80%)    EWG(72%)    SPY(72%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.47(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.34(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.81(5.24%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 4.85% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.16%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2011	59.93	61.81	64.34	65.47	65.43	65.42	65.05(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-0	-6	170	3.61	48%	0.17	55.5	1.5%	0	1.1	88	0
2	Apr_6_2011	59.83	61.45	63.99	65.33	65.54	65.61	65.69(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	20	20	201	3.36	48%	0.2	53.8	1.49%	0	1.5	95	0
3	Apr_5_2011	59.71	61.15	63.44	64.99	65.19	65.44	65.51(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	67	40	18	214	3.69	48%	0.18	57.8	1.5%	0	1.6	96	0
4	Apr_4_2011	59.6	60.84	62.91	64.45	64.78	65.48	65.38(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	90	46	225	4.01	48%	0.17	60.9	1.5%	0	1.8	84	0
5	Apr_1_2011	59.5	60.5	62.37	63.77	64.08	64.94	65.74(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	101	110	61	220	7.43	48%	0.15	60.7	1.49%	0	2.2	77	0

6	Mar_31_2011	59.41	60.19	61.68	63.04	63.22	64.09	64.35(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	92	100	55	203	3.55	46%	0.1	64.7	1.47%	0	2.1	76	0
7	Mar_30_2011	59.35	59.92	61.07	62.45	62.64	63.21	63.99(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	92	70	60	189	3.6	48%	0.13	66.8	1.47%	0	2.2	76	0
8	Mar_29_2011	59.27	59.6	60.33	61.67	61.98	62.35	62.78(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	60	35	131	4.69	46%	0.1	61.9	1.47%	0	2	59	0
9	Mar_28_2011	59.21	59.32	59.82	61.13	61.34	62.07	61.97(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	90	34	98	3.4	46%	0.07	56	1.47%	0	1.8	57	0
10	Mar_25_2011	59.17	59.11	59.48	60.74	60.84	61.62	62.13(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	90	59	95	2.76	46%	0.08	45.4	1.47%	0	2.3	62	0

11	Mar_24_2011	59.12	58.92	59.06	60.11	60.33	60.62	61.37(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	40	45	53	7	46%	0.08	32.7	1.47%	0	2.1	53	0
12	Mar_23_2011	59.07	58.73	58.7	59.47	59.78	60.06	60.09(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	50	27	12	5.06	43%	0.07	11.9	1.46%	0	1.3	52	0
13	Mar_22_2011	59.03	58.61	58.65	58.78	59.29	60.04	60.07(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	110	45	5	2.75	43%	0.08	-14.6	1.46%	0	1.5	59	0
14	Mar_21_2011	58.98	58.61	58.6	58.3	58.57	59.5	60.05(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	43	130	55	7	3.9	43%	0.1	-36.6	1.46%	0	1.6	61	0
15	Mar_18_2011	58.92	58.51	58.47	58.05	57.81	58.53	58.96(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	27	70	38	-6	7.15	40%	0.07	-37.4	1.43%	0	0.5	54	0

16	Mar_17_2011	58.88	58.54	58.56	57.87	57.69	57.64	58.19(2.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	15	-20	23	-8	7.41	40%	0.05	-42.6	1.43%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Mar_16_2011	58.85	58.6	58.68	57.82	57.59	57.09	56.61(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-70	-45	-28	9.23	36%	0.03	-50.3	1.39%	0	-1.9	47	0
18	Mar_15_2011	58.83	58.76	58.84	58.49	57.85	57.73	57.7(-1.82%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-30	-50	-40	2	15.56	36%	0.03	-50.9	1.37%	0	-1.1	51	0
19	Mar_14_2011	58.81	58.86	58.82	58.92	58.6	58.09	58.77(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-80	-3	30	4.27	38%	0.07	-54.7	1.37%	0	-0.1	54	0
20	Mar_11_2011	58.77	58.89	58.76	58.95	58.91	57.96	58.1(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-110	-61	-8	5.96	38%	0.07	-72	1.36%	0	-0.8	40	0

21	Mar_10_2011	58.73	58.98	58.81	59.35	59.31	59.11	57.93(-3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-31	-30	-44	8	4.96	38%	0.07	-74.2	1.37%	0	-1.1	43	0
22	Mar_9_2011	58.69	59.13	58.82	59.65	59.76	59.85	59.95(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	20	28	39	2.52	42%	0.14	-71.3	1.3%	0	0.8	51	0
23	Mar_8_2011	58.61	59.25	58.6	59.23	59.59	59.52	59.86(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	20	5	2.53	42%	0.07	-68.3	1.31%	0	0.5	50	0
24	Mar_7_2011	58.57	59.38	58.41	58.7	59.07	59.66	58.91(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	90	13	-33	3.63	39%	0.05	-64.2	1.3%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Mar_4_2011	58.54	59.58	58.54	58.53	58.72	59.65	60.12(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	47	120	67	-12	4.49	41%		-55.4	1.26%	0	0.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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