Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.6400 (3.87%) ($48.9800 - $49.8400) on Wed. Sep. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $49.6400(3.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(80%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.26(-10.84%)
5 Day Moving Average   $48.14(3.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.41(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.84(1.64%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.63%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.73%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.21%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2010	48	48.84	48.41	48.14	48.25	48.55	49.64(3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	27	50	37	-5	3.37	52%	-0.02	-43.2	1.64%	0	0.7	64	0
2	Aug_31_2010	48.01	48.89	48.36	47.73	47.81	48.55	47.79(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	30	-1	-30	2.78	45%	-0.08	-44	1.59%	0	-0.9	49	0
3	Aug_30_2010	48.05	49.04	48.51	47.83	47.73	47.95	47.92(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	30	3	-30	2.32	45%	-0.08	-36.6	1.6%	0	-0.9	34	0
4	Aug_27_2010	48.09	49.17	48.56	48.03	47.75	47.66	48(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-30	-8	-43	2.08	56%	-0.08	-28.8	1.62%	0	-1	30	0
5	Aug_26_2010	48.13	49.24	48.6	48.28	48.1	47.51	47.34(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-100	-26	-52	2.56	56%	-0.1	-23.1	1.79%	0	-1.7	27	0

6	Aug_25_2010	48.18	49.33	48.67	48.71	48.49	47.84	47.59(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-110	-42	-60	2.71	51%	-0.08	-10.8	1.79%	0	-1.7	28	0
7	Aug_24_2010	48.22	49.42	48.74	49.08	49.05	48.69	48.28(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-50	-21	-55	2.63	51%	-0.08	6.1	1.82%	0	-1.2	30	0
8	Aug_23_2010	48.26	49.48	48.92	49.27	49.33	49.14	48.96(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-20	-6	-47	1.87	51%	0	19.7	1.82%	0	-0.6	33	0
9	Aug_20_2010	48.26	49.51	49.08	49.15	49.38	49.41	49.25(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	20	5	-46	1.49	43%	-0.04	28.9	1.83%	0	-0.3	37	0
10	Aug_19_2010	48.28	49.5	49.21	48.96	49.14	49.52	49.49(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	70	16	-36	2.63	43%	0	34.2	2.01%	0	-0	55	0

11	Aug_18_2010	48.28	49.45	49.3	48.63	48.78	49.36	49.41(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	90	28	-34	1.36	41%	-0.02	23.8	2.01%	0	-0	55	0
12	Aug_17_2010	48.29	49.36	49.43	48.36	48.31	48.75	49.24(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	60	14	-39	1.71	41%	0	12.4	2.04%	0	-0.1	53	0
13	Aug_16_2010	48.29	49.3	49.58	48.54	48.05	48.19	48.36(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-9	-36	1.46	41%	-0.02	15.5	2.04%	0	-0.8	44	0
14	Aug_13_2010	48.3	49.24	49.81	49.03	48.51	47.88	48.28(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-120	-20	-19	1.98	41%	-0.02	22.4	2.04%	0	-0.7	42	0
15	Aug_12_2010	48.31	49.17	49.92	49.51	49.17	47.91	47.85(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-200	-52	-16	2.53	41%	-0.02	29.1	2.04%	0	-1	46	0

16	Aug_11_2010	48.32	49.2	50.07	50.06	49.91	49.14	48.08(-4.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-37	-120	-51	7	2.98	39%	-0.02	47.4	2.04%	0	-0.8	53	0
17	Aug_10_2010	48.33	49.22	50.2	50.62	50.46	50.44	50.13(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10	-12	52	3.35	50%	0.02	67.6	1.99%	0	0.7	76	0
18	Aug_9_2010	48.32	49.11	50.14	50.76	50.67	50.69	50.83(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-0	6	70	2.1	50%	0.04	79.3	2.13%	0	1.3	78	0
19	Aug_6_2010	48.3	48.94	50	50.72	50.63	50.47	50.66(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	21	-30	1	82	1.9	47%	0.02	92.6	2.13%	0	1.3	81	0
20	Aug_5_2010	48.29	48.78	49.83	50.4	50.65	50.65	50.6(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	8	88	2.08	45%	0.02	94.2	2.19%	0	1.4	83	0

21	Aug_4_2010	48.28	48.58	49.6	50.08	50.27	50.79	50.87(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	80	16	83	2.45	42%	0.06	92.6	2.2%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Aug_3_2010	48.25	48.33	49.27	49.71	49.85	50.65	50.83(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	120	30	73	3.25	42%	0.04	87.8	2.26%	0	1.8	63	0
23	Aug_2_2010	48.23	48.06	48.96	49.43	49.46	49.75	50.63(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	40	22	62	1.97	42%	0.04	83.8	2.26%	0	2	64	0
24	Jul_30_2010	48.21	47.75	48.59	49.22	49.26	49.06	49.05(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-30	-3	44	2.3	39%	0	63.3	2.24%	0	0.9	60	0
25	Jul_29_2010	48.21	47.55	48.34	49.18	49.35	49.17	49(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-2	39	2.6	39%		52.1	2.25%	0	1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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