Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $50.8300 (0.34%) ($50.7300 - $51.0200) on Mon. Aug. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $50.8300(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(80%)    EWG(72%)    SPY(72%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.76(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.14(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.11(3.5%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.73%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.98%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2010	48.32	49.11	50.14	50.76	50.67	50.69	50.83(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-0	6	70	2.1	50%	0.04	79.3	2.13%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Aug_6_2010	48.3	48.94	50	50.72	50.63	50.47	50.66(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	21	-30	1	82	1.9	47%	0.02	92.6	2.13%	0	1.3	81	0
3	Aug_5_2010	48.29	48.78	49.83	50.4	50.65	50.65	50.6(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	8	88	2.08	45%	0.02	94.2	2.19%	0	1.4	83	0
4	Aug_4_2010	48.28	48.58	49.6	50.08	50.27	50.79	50.87(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	80	16	83	2.45	42%	0.06	92.6	2.2%	0	1.7	64	0
5	Aug_3_2010	48.25	48.33	49.27	49.71	49.85	50.65	50.83(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	120	30	73	3.25	42%	0.04	87.8	2.26%	0	1.8	63	0

6	Aug_2_2010	48.23	48.06	48.96	49.43	49.46	49.75	50.63(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	40	22	62	1.97	42%	0.04	83.8	2.26%	0	2	64	0
7	Jul_30_2010	48.21	47.75	48.59	49.22	49.26	49.06	49.05(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-30	-3	44	2.3	39%	0	63.3	2.24%	0	0.9	60	0
8	Jul_29_2010	48.21	47.55	48.34	49.18	49.35	49.17	49(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-2	39	2.6	39%	0	52.1	2.25%	0	1	61	0
9	Jul_28_2010	48.21	47.34	48.25	49.04	49.19	49.47	49.06(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	50	8	48	3.14	39%	0	38.7	2.25%	0	1.1	66	0
10	Jul_27_2010	48.21	47.14	48.17	48.72	48.93	49.53	49.41(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	100	26	58	2.92	36%	0.02	24.3	2.26%	0	1.5	71	0

11	Jul_26_2010	48.2	47.01	48	48.4	48.41	48.91	49.56(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	70	28	61	2.39	36%	0.02	14.6	2.3%	0	1.8	74	0
12	Jul_23_2010	48.19	46.89	47.78	47.88	47.92	48.33	48.85(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	60	24	61	2.25	36%	0.04	3.2	2.29%	0	1.5	77	0
13	Jul_22_2010	48.17	46.8	47.63	47.38	47.48	47.9	48.33(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	70	13	56	3.2	36%	0.04	-6.4	2.29%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Jul_21_2010	48.15	46.76	47.45	47.36	47.16	47.51	47.45(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	40	5	62	2.1	36%	0	-5.4	2.28%	0	0.6	68	0
15	Jul_20_2010	48.15	46.77	47.33	47.54	47.26	47.06	47.81(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-50	2	74	3.76	36%	0.04	1.5	2.28%	0	0.8	66	0

16	Jul_19_2010	48.13	46.8	47.1	47.55	47.47	46.82	46.96(1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-100	-19	59	1.95	36%	0.02	11.9	2.28%	0	0.1	48	0
17	Jul_16_2010	48.12	46.85	46.86	47.67	47.7	47.45	46.37(-3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-30	-20	48	2.8	35%	0.02	24.1	2.27%	0	-0.4	45	0
18	Jul_15_2010	48.11	46.88	46.74	47.88	47.85	48.11	48.19(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	40	13	57	3.06	37%	0.04	36.5	2.24%	0	1	53	0
19	Jul_14_2010	48.09	46.82	46.39	47.54	47.66	47.95	48.36(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	50	22	34	3.15	40%	0.06	42	2.24%	0	1.2	51	0
20	Jul_13_2010	48.06	46.75	46.05	47.08	47.24	47.59	47.87(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	60	21	4	2.79	40%	0	43.8	2.26%	0	0.9	47	0

21	Jul_12_2010	48.06	46.65	45.94	46.59	46.68	47.38	47.54(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	110	30	-17	2.48	40%	0.02	42	2.25%	0	0.7	39	0
22	Jul_9_2010	48.05	46.53	45.9	45.94	46.2	46.88	47.45(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	120	40	-37	2.51	40%	0	29.5	2.26%	0	0.7	46	0
23	Jul_8_2010	48.05	46.4	45.86	45.43	45.45	45.98	46.5(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	80	23	-59	3.14	40%	0	15.7	2.24%	0	0.1	47	0
24	Jul_7_2010	48.05	46.28	45.95	45.07	45.04	45.51	46.03(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	70	18	-71	2.85	40%	-0.02	3.9	2.24%	0	-0.2	44	0
25	Jul_6_2010	48.06	46.21	46.12	44.88	44.94	44.92	45.45(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	0	1	-82	4.54	40%		2.8	2.23%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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